Zendikar Rising Draft Booster EV Calculator

Estimate the expected value (EV) of Zendikar Rising Draft Booster Box using live TCGplayer market prices and the backend draft-box model.

This historical model draws all game-card slots first, then applies included-bucket toggles and optional Sift filtering as post-draw scoring filters.

36 packs / box 15 game cards / pack 541 modeled card slots / box Backend Draft Booster model
ZNR Draft Booster Displays model the published 36-pack display with one Expedition Box Topper. Each pack has 29/3 regular commons after the 1-in-3 traditional foil common replacement, 3 uncommons, 1 rare or mythic rare using the published approximately 1-in-7.4 mythic frequency, and 1 full-art basic land. The foil replacement and Expedition topper remain occupied zero-EV branches. All pack and display contents are drawn before Sift/filtering. Draw all pack and display slots first, then apply any Sift or filtering logic afterward.
Snapshot TCG Market + $0.25 Sift Based on TCG Market pricing with Sift applied only after complete modeled contents are drawn.

Content Snapshot

Draft Booster Content Snapshot

The display resolves all pack slots and its Expedition topper position before included-bucket toggles or optional Sift score the result.

Packs
36 / box
Cards
15 / pack
Display total
541 positions
Rows
Loading

Pack and Display Structure

The conservative historical model keeps the documented physical positions intact.

Regular commons9 2/3 expected / pack
The 29/3 expectation remains after the traditional foil replacement branch.
Traditional foil replacement1 in 3 packs
Preserved as an occupied zero-EV branch because the model does not assign foil identities.
Uncommons3 cards
Main-set nonfoil uncommon outcomes.
Rare or mythic rare1 card
Uses the published approximately 1-in-7.4 mythic frequency.
Full-art basic land1 card
A modeled full-art basic land in every Draft Booster.
Expedition Box Topper1 / display
The topper remains an occupied zero-EV display branch because price identities are not assigned in this model.

Token, ad, and art-card inserts are excluded. The foil replacement and topper positions stay occupied in the 541-position model and are not backfilled.

Included model buckets Choose which backend model buckets count toward EV. Backend model
Rows are grouped by backend model bucket. Sift is applied only after model contents are drawn.

Selling Fees

Row fees show pct + txn. Order fees are added only in the summary.

Value Threshold

Prices load from generated snapshots when available, with TCGCSV price groups as a live fallback. EV applies Sift after modeled contents are drawn.
Rows with Value >= Sift tint green. EV uses Sift only when the toggle is checked.

EV Range (Monte Carlo)

Purchase EV

Pack & Box EV

Expected value summary across low, mid, and high Monte Carlo estimates.
MetricLowMidHigh
Average pack EV (gross)$0.00$0.00$0.00
Box EV x 36 (gross)$0.00$0.00$0.00
Gross EV per box$0.00$0.00$0.00
Total fees per box$0.00$0.00$0.00
Net after fees per box$0.00$0.00$0.00
Profit after fees per box$0.00$0.00$0.00
Break-even price/box (mid)$0.00

Purchase EV & Profit

Purchase expected value and profit summary across all selected boxes.
All boxesLowMidHigh
Gross EV$0.00$0.00$0.00
Total fees$0.00$0.00$0.00
Net after fees$0.00$0.00$0.00
Profit after expenses$0.00$0.00$0.00
ROI vs cost---
Boxes: 0 | Price/box: $0.00 | Total cost: $0.00

Simulation Results (after Sift)

Confidence band: -
Each bar groups simulated box totals after modeled contents are drawn, then Sift and included-bucket filters are applied.
Showing all cards
Modeled card expected value rows for this product.
NameSetCard #RarityTreatmentValue ($)Seller fees (pct + txn)Boxes / copy
Total expected copies / box - included buckets & Sift0.00
Expected / box0.00