Wilds of Eldraine Draft Booster Display EV Calculator

Estimate the expected value (EV) of Wilds of Eldraine Draft Booster Display using daily generated TCGplayer price snapshots and the backend draft-box model.

Model assumptions & evidence

The calculator draws modeled box contents first from the backend slot contributions, then applies included-bucket toggles and optional Sift filtering as post-draw scoring filters.

Each pack draws nine commons, three uncommons, one rare or mythic, one Enchanting Tales card and one basic land. A traditional foil replaces a common in 33% of packs. Published anime Enchanting Tales rates are included; inner printing weights remain qualified community estimates. Draw all 540 game cards before Sift or pool filters, without reroll or backfill.
36 packs / box 15 game cards / pack 540 modeled card slots / box Backend Draft Booster model
SnapshotTCG Market + $0.25 SiftBased on TCG Market pricing with Sift applied only after complete modeled contents are drawn.
Calculation settingsSift off

Selling Fees

Row fees show pct + txn. Order fees are added only in the summary.

Value Threshold

Prices load from daily generated TCGplayer, Mana Pool, and Cardmarket snapshots. EV applies Sift after modeled contents are drawn.
Rows with Value >= Sift tint green. EV uses Sift only when the toggle is checked.

EV Range (Monte Carlo)

Purchase EV

Included model bucketsChoose which modeled pools count toward EV.Model controls
Rows are grouped by backend model bucket. Sift is applied only after model contents are drawn.

Simulation Results (after Sift)

Confidence band: -
Each bar groups simulated box totals after modeled contents are drawn, then Sift and included-bucket filters are applied.

Pack & Box EV

Expected value summary across low, mid, and high Monte Carlo estimates.
MetricLowMidHigh
Average pack EV (gross)$0.00$0.00$0.00
Box EV x 36 (gross)$0.00$0.00$0.00
Gross EV per box$0.00$0.00$0.00
Total fees per box$0.00$0.00$0.00
Net after fees per box$0.00$0.00$0.00
Profit after fees per box$0.00$0.00$0.00
Break-even price/box (mid)$0.00

Purchase EV & Profit

Purchase expected value and profit summary across all selected boxes.
All boxesLowMidHigh
Gross EV$0.00$0.00$0.00
Total fees$0.00$0.00$0.00
Net after fees$0.00$0.00$0.00
Profit after expenses$0.00$0.00$0.00
ROI vs cost---
Boxes: 0 | Price/box: $0.00 | Total cost: $0.00

Content Snapshot

Wilds of Eldraine Draft Booster Content Snapshot

The complete fifteen-game-card recipe is drawn before included-pool controls or optional Sift score the result.

Packs
36 packs / box
Cards
15 game cards / pack
Modeled total
540 modeled card slots / box
Rows
Loading

Pack Structure

Each Wilds of Eldraine Draft Booster is modeled with 15 game-card slots.

Common8.67 expected / pack
Nine commons, or eight when a traditional foil replaces one; 101 eligible main commons.
Uncommon3 cards / pack
80 eligible main uncommons.
Rare / mythic1 card / pack
Main rare/mythic cards with eligible showcase and borderless alternatives; community inner weights.
Enchanting Tales1 card / pack
One dedicated nonfoil WOT card; published anime rare 1.1% and anime mythic 1.7%, with qualified remaining regular weights.
Basic land1 card / pack
Fifteen artworks; one-third full-art aggregate approximates the published 33%.
Traditional foil0.33 expected / pack
One foil replaces one common in 33% of packs; eligible WOE and WOT traditional foils, never Collector-only confetti foil.

Draw all pack and display slots first, then apply any Sift or filtering logic afterward.

Non-game inserts are not counted toward EV unless the model explicitly lists them.

Release-specific model analysis

What drives Wilds of Eldraine Draft Booster Display

Product profile. This draft booster box resolves 540 card positions across 780 named outcomes. The model snapshot dated October 16, 2026 contains 226 Rare, 202 Common, 196 Uncommon, 126 Mythic Rare, 30 Basic Land. Its largest slot groups are 390 woe draft foilwithshowcase, 111 woe draft raremythicwithshowcase, 101 woe draft common, 83 woe draft enchantingtales, 80 woe draft uncommon. Every listed outcome contributes to the published baseline unless the visitor applies a post-draw filter.

Largest modeled weights. Aquatic Alchemist #40 (3.09 expected per draft booster box), Archon's Glory #2 (3.09 expected per draft booster box), Armory Mice #3 (3.09 expected per draft booster box), Barrow Naughty #81 (3.09 expected per draft booster box), Beanstalk Wurm #161 (3.09 expected per draft booster box). These are frequency leaders in the product model, not a promise that any individual opening will contain them.

Release-specific card examples. A Tale for the Ages #34, Agatha of the Vile Cauldron #199, Agatha's Champion #160, Aggravated Assault (Anime Borderless) #76, Bellowing Bruiser #121, Forest (0266) (Basic Land), Forest (0275) (Basic Land), Forest (0276) (Basic Land). Seeing the named pool makes it possible to compare this release with adjacent sets instead of treating every sealed product as the same generic pack calculation.

Reference snapshot value concentration. At the TCGplayer Market snapshot dated September 3, 2026, 780 modeled outcomes have a usable direct or documented fallback price. The largest deterministic contributions come from Rhystic Study #25 ($15.47), Smothering Tithe #13 ($10.59), Agatha's Soul Cauldron #242 ($9.60), Aggravated Assault #39 ($8.91), Smothering Tithe (Anime Borderless) #67 ($8.15). Together those five rows account for 14.1% of the modeled gross value. This dated reference does not update with the live calculator's prices or Sift settings.

The baseline product model is constructed first, including any documented chase exclusions. The calculator then draws the complete baseline product. Included-pool controls and optional Sift evaluate that completed draw afterward and do not alter its collation.

Showing all cards
Modeled card expected value rows for this product.
NameSetCard #RarityTreatmentValue ($)Seller fees (pct + txn)Boxes / copy
Total expected copies / box - included buckets & Sift0.00
Expected copies / box0.00