Strixhaven: School of Mages Draft Booster EV Calculator

Estimate the expected value (EV) of Strixhaven: School of Mages Draft Booster Box using live TCGplayer market prices and the backend draft-box model.

The calculator draws modeled box contents first from the backend slot contributions, then applies included-bucket toggles and optional Sift filtering as post-draw scoring filters.

36 packs / box15 game cards / pack540 modeled card slots / boxBackend Draft Booster model
STX Draft Booster Displays model 36 packs with the published rare/mythic slot, including the nine eligible mythic planeswalker and Elder Dragon identities replacing their regular-frame version with borderless one-third of the time. The model also includes three uncommons, nine common positions with a one-in-three foil replacement, one Lesson slot, and the English global Mystical Archive slot at 67% uncommon, 26.4% rare, and 6.6% mythic rare. Lesson and foil replacement branches remain occupied zero-EV slots. Draw all pack and display slots first, then apply any Sift or filtering logic afterward.
SnapshotTCG Market + $0.25 SiftBased on TCG Market pricing with Sift applied only after complete modeled contents are drawn.

Content Snapshot

Strixhaven: School of Mages Draft Booster Content Snapshot

The calculator retains this product's existing slot model and resolves complete contents before included-pool controls or optional Sift score the result.

Packs
36 packs / box
Cards
15 game cards / pack
Modeled total
540 modeled card slots / box
Rows
Loading

Pack Structure

Each Strixhaven: School of Mages Draft Booster is modeled with 15 game-card slots.

Uncommons3 cards / pack
Pool: 72 modeled card outcomes.3 uncommons: 3 expected / pack.
Rare / Mythic1 card / pack
Pool: 89 modeled card outcomes.Rare or mythic rare with eligible borderless identity replacement regular-frame share: 0.9812 expected / pack (98.12% expected per pack).Rare or mythic rare with eligible borderless identity replacement alternate-treatment share: 0.0187 expected / pack (1.87% expected per pack).
Mystical Archive1 card / pack
Pool: 63 modeled card outcomes.Mystical Archive uncommon: 0.67 expected / pack (67% expected per pack).Mystical Archive rare: 0.264 expected / pack (26.4% expected per pack).Mystical Archive mythic rare: 0.066 expected / pack (6.6% expected per pack).
Commons after foil replacement8.6667 expected / pack
Pool: 86 modeled card outcomes.Commons after foil replacement: 8.6667 expected / pack.
Lesson slot1 card / pack
Pool: 1 modeled card outcome.Lesson slot: 1 expected / pack.
Traditional foil replacement0.3333 expected / pack
Pool: 1 modeled card outcome.Traditional foil replacement: 0.3333 expected / pack (33.33% expected per pack).

Draw all pack and display slots first, then apply any Sift or filtering logic afterward.

Non-game inserts are not counted toward EV unless the model explicitly lists them.

Included model bucketsChoose which modeled pools count toward EV.Model controls
Rows are grouped by backend model bucket. Sift is applied only after model contents are drawn.

Selling Fees

Row fees show pct + txn. Order fees are added only in the summary.

Value Threshold

Prices load from generated snapshots when available, with TCGCSV price groups as a live fallback. EV applies Sift after modeled contents are drawn.
Rows with Value >= Sift tint green. EV uses Sift only when the toggle is checked.

EV Range (Monte Carlo)

Purchase EV

Pack & Box EV

Expected value summary across low, mid, and high Monte Carlo estimates.
MetricLowMidHigh
Average pack EV (gross)$0.00$0.00$0.00
Box EV x 36 (gross)$0.00$0.00$0.00
Gross EV per box$0.00$0.00$0.00
Total fees per box$0.00$0.00$0.00
Net after fees per box$0.00$0.00$0.00
Profit after fees per box$0.00$0.00$0.00
Break-even price/box (mid)$0.00

Purchase EV & Profit

Purchase expected value and profit summary across all selected boxes.
All boxesLowMidHigh
Gross EV$0.00$0.00$0.00
Total fees$0.00$0.00$0.00
Net after fees$0.00$0.00$0.00
Profit after expenses$0.00$0.00$0.00
ROI vs cost---
Boxes: 0 | Price/box: $0.00 | Total cost: $0.00

Simulation Results (after Sift)

Confidence band: -
Each bar groups simulated box totals after modeled contents are drawn, then Sift and included-bucket filters are applied.
Showing all cards
Modeled card expected value rows for this product.
NameSetCard #RarityTreatmentValue ($)Seller fees (pct + txn)Boxes / copy
Total expected copies / box - included buckets & Sift0.00
Expected / box0.00