Scars of Mirrodin Draft Booster Box EV Calculator

Inspect a conditional Scars of Mirrodin box scenario using exact-printing prices. Full-product EV remains unverified because common-run and foil-event marginal weights are unresolved.

Model assumptions & evidence

This model draws every card in the complete 540-card display before Sift or included-pool filters score the result, without reroll or backfill.

A display contains 36 fifteen-card boosters. Before premium replacement each pack has ten commons, three uncommons, one rare/mythic and one basic land. The reported advertised 1:67-card foil rate is represented as 15/67 packs with a foil replacing a common. All 249 main-set printings are modeled in both finishes. Common-card weights remain a conditional uniform projection: Golem Foundry is source-identified as short-printed, and foil events displace different common runs, but the full allocation is unresolved. Ordinary and foil rare sheets use 2:1 per-printing rare/mythic weights; conditional foil rarity allocation and independent draws are disclosed below.
36 packs / box15 game cards / pack540 modeled card slots / boxBackend Draft Booster model
SnapshotTCG Market + $0.25 SiftBased on TCG Market pricing with Sift applied only after complete modeled contents are drawn.
Calculation settingsSift off

Selling Fees

Row fees show pct + txn. Order fees are added only in the summary.

Value Threshold

Prices load from daily generated TCGplayer, Mana Pool, and Cardmarket snapshots. EV applies Sift after modeled contents are drawn.
Rows with Value >= Sift tint green. EV uses Sift only when the toggle is checked.

EV Range (Monte Carlo)

Purchase EV

Included model bucketsChoose which modeled pools count toward EV.Model controls
Rows are grouped by backend model bucket. Sift is applied only after model contents are drawn.

Simulation Results (after Sift)

Simulated outcome interval: -
Each bar groups simulated box totals after modeled contents are drawn, then Sift and included-bucket filters are applied.

Conditional Pack & Box Value

Expected value summary across low, mid, and high Monte Carlo estimates.
MetricLowMidHigh
Conditional pack value (gross)$0.00$0.00$0.00
Conditional box value x 36 (gross)$0.00$0.00$0.00
Conditional gross value per box$0.00$0.00$0.00
Total fees per box$0.00$0.00$0.00
Net after fees per box$0.00$0.00$0.00
Profit after fees per box$0.00$0.00$0.00
Break-even price/box (mid)$0.00

Purchase EV & Profit

Purchase expected value and profit summary across all selected boxes.
All boxesLowMidHigh
Gross EV$0.00$0.00$0.00
Total fees$0.00$0.00$0.00
Net after fees$0.00$0.00$0.00
Profit after expenses$0.00$0.00$0.00
ROI vs cost---
Boxes: 0 | Price/box: $0.00 | Total cost: $0.00

Content Snapshot

Scars of Mirrodin Draft Booster Content Snapshot

This conditional projection draws complete 540-card contents before filters; historical common-card weights remain unresolved. It does not establish verified full-product EV.

Packs
36 packs / box
Cards
15 game cards / pack
Modeled total
540 modeled card slots / box
Rows
Loading

Pack Structure

Each Scars of Mirrodin Draft Booster Box is modeled with 15 game-card slots.

Ordinary positions10 commons, 3 uncommons, 1 rare/mythic and 1 basic land before foil replacement.
Traditional foil15/67 packs in this reported-rate scenario; replaces one common. All 249 main-set printings, including twenty basic-land arts, are eligible in foil.
Rarity allocationOrdinary and foil rare/mythic printing weights 2:1. Conditional foil buckets: common/basic 60%, uncommon 25%, rare/mythic 15%.

Draw all 540 game cards first, then apply Sift and included-pool filters without reroll or backfill.

Non-game inserts are not counted toward EV unless the model explicitly lists them.

Release-specific model analysis

What drives Scars of Mirrodin Booster Box

Product profile. This draft booster box resolves 540 card positions across 498 named outcomes. The model snapshot dated August 25, 2026 contains 202 Common, 120 Uncommon, 106 Rare, 40 Basic Land, 30 Mythic Rare. Its largest slot groups are 249 som foil, 101 som common, 68 som rare mythic, 60 som uncommon, 20 som basic. Every listed outcome contributes to the published baseline unless the visitor applies a post-draw filter.

Largest modeled weights. Accorder's Shield #136 (3.48 expected per draft booster box), Alpha Tyrranax #109 (3.48 expected per draft booster box), Arrest #2 (3.48 expected per draft booster box), Assault Strobe #82 (3.48 expected per draft booster box), Auriok Replica #138 (3.48 expected per draft booster box). These are frequency leaders in the product model, not a promise that any individual opening will contain them.

Release-specific card examples. Abuna Acolyte #1, Acid Web Spider #108, Argent Sphinx #28, Auriok Sunchaser #4, Forest #246, Auriok Edgewright #3, Dispense Justice #5, Elspeth Tirel #6. Seeing the named pool makes it possible to compare this release with adjacent sets instead of treating every sealed product as the same generic pack calculation.

Reference snapshot value concentration. At the TCGplayer Market snapshot dated August 12, 2026, 498 modeled outcomes have a usable direct or documented fallback price. The largest deterministic contributions come from Mox Opal #179 ($73.59), Tainted Strike #80 ($10.59), Nihil Spellbomb #187 ($9.16), Grafted Exoskeleton #162 ($8.98), Galvanic Blast #91 ($8.15). Together those five rows account for 30.2% of the modeled gross value. This dated reference does not update with the live calculator's prices or Sift settings.

The baseline product model is constructed first, including any documented chase exclusions. The calculator then draws the complete baseline product. Included-pool controls and optional Sift evaluate that completed draw afterward and do not alter its collation.

Showing all cards
Modeled card expected value rows for this product.
NameSetCard #RarityTreatmentValue ($)Seller fees (pct + txn)Boxes / copy
Total expected copies / box - included buckets & Sift0.00
Expected copies / box0.00