Rivals of Ixalan Draft Booster Box EV Calculator

Explore the conditional priced subtotal of Rivals of Ixalan Booster Box using daily generated TCGplayer price snapshots and the backend draft-box model.

Model assumptions & evidence

This historical model draws all game-card slots first, then applies included-bucket toggles and optional Sift filtering as post-draw scoring filters.

Full Rivals of Ixalan box EV is unavailable: the basic-land/checklist position has unresolved replacement location and frequency. The displayed conditional priced subtotal excludes its unknown value; it is not a zero-value card or a verified full-product EV. Full-product P/E, profit and ROI are unavailable.
36 packs / box15 game cards / pack540 modeled card slots / boxBackend Draft Booster model
SnapshotTCG Market + $0.25 SiftBased on TCG Market pricing with Sift applied only after complete modeled contents are drawn.
Calculation settingsSift off

Selling Fees

Row fees show pct + txn. Order fees are added only in the summary.

Value Threshold

Prices load from daily generated TCGplayer, Mana Pool, and Cardmarket snapshots. EV applies Sift after modeled contents are drawn.
Rows with Value >= Sift tint green. EV uses Sift only when the toggle is checked.

EV Range (Monte Carlo)

Purchase EV

Included model bucketsChoose which modeled pools count toward EV.Model controls
Rows are grouped by backend model bucket. Sift is applied only after model contents are drawn.

Simulation Results (after Sift)

Simulated outcome interval: -
Each bar groups simulated box totals after modeled contents are drawn, then Sift and included-bucket filters are applied.

Conditional Pack & Box Subtotals

Expected value summary across low, mid, and high Monte Carlo estimates.
MetricLowMidHigh
Average priced pack subtotal (gross)$0.00$0.00$0.00
Priced subtotal x 36 (gross)$0.00$0.00$0.00
Priced subtotal per box$0.00$0.00$0.00
Total fees per box$0.00$0.00$0.00
Net after fees per box$0.00$0.00$0.00
Profit after fees per box$0.00$0.00$0.00
Break-even price/box (mid)$0.00

Conditional Purchase Subtotals

Purchase expected value and profit summary across all selected boxes.
All boxesLowMidHigh
Conditional priced subtotal$0.00$0.00$0.00
Total fees$0.00$0.00$0.00
Net after fees$0.00$0.00$0.00
Profit after expenses$0.00$0.00$0.00
ROI vs cost---
Boxes: 0 | Price/box: $0.00 | Total cost: $0.00

Content Snapshot

Rivals of Ixalan Draft Booster Content Snapshot

The calculator draws the stated conditional slot model and resolves complete contents before included-pool controls or optional Sift score the result.

Packs
36 packs / box
Cards
15 game cards / pack
Modeled total
540 modeled card slots / box
Rows
Loading

Pack Structure

Each booster has 15 positions; the box contains 36 boosters and 540 positions. The unresolved land/checklist value is not included in the subtotal.

Commons9 or 10 cards / pack
Pool: 70 modeled card outcomes.10 minus 15/67 expected commons per pack; a foil replaces one common.
Uncommons3 cards / pack
Pool: 60 modeled card outcomes.Uncommon slots: 3 expected / pack.
Unknown land/checklist1 card / pack
Pool: 1 modeled card outcome.Unresolved basic-land/checklist position: one per pack; value unavailable.
Rare / Mythic1 card / pack
Pool: 61 modeled card outcomes.Rare/mythic slot: 1 expected / pack.
Traditional foil15/67 expected / pack
Pool: all 196 booster printings; replaces one common. Conditional inner allocation is disclosed below.

Draw all game-card slots first, then apply any Sift or filtering logic afterward.

Non-game inserts are not counted toward EV unless the model explicitly lists them.

Release-specific model analysis

What drives Rivals of Ixalan Booster Box

Product profile. This draft booster box resolves 540 card positions across 388 named outcomes. The model snapshot dated August 24, 2026 contains 140 Common, 120 Uncommon, 96 Rare, 26 Mythic Rare, 5 Basic Land, 1 unknown. Its largest slot groups are 196 traditional foil, 70 old common, 60 old uncommon, 48 old rare, 13 old mythic. Every listed outcome contributes to the published baseline unless the visitor applies a post-draw filter.

Largest modeled weights. Unresolved basic-land/checklist position (Unresolved) #unknown-land-checklist (36.0 expected per draft booster box), Aggressive Urge #122 (5.03 expected per draft booster box), Bombard #93 (5.03 expected per draft booster box), Brazen Freebooter #95 (5.03 expected per draft booster box), Buccaneer's Bravado #96 (5.03 expected per draft booster box). These are frequency leaders in the product model, not a promise that any individual opening will contain them.

Release-specific card examples. Admiral's Order #31, Angrath, the Flame-Chained #152, Aquatic Incursion #32, Arch of Orazca #185, Canal Monitor #63, Baffling End #1, Bishop of Binding #2, Blazing Hope #3. Seeing the named pool makes it possible to compare this release with adjacent sets instead of treating every sealed product as the same generic pack calculation.

Reference snapshot value concentration. At the TCGplayer Market snapshot dated August 12, 2026, 387 modeled outcomes have a usable direct or documented fallback price. The largest deterministic contributions come from Pitiless Plunderer #81 ($7.90), Polyraptor #144 ($5.80), Nezahal, Primal Tide #45 ($5.50), The Immortal Sun #180 ($4.08), Journey to Eternity #160 ($3.98). Together those five rows account for 17.8% of the modeled gross value. This dated reference does not update with the live calculator's prices or Sift settings.

The baseline product model is constructed first, including any documented chase exclusions. The calculator then draws the complete baseline product. Included-pool controls and optional Sift evaluate that completed draw afterward and do not alter its collation.

Showing all cards
Modeled card expected value rows for this product.
NameSetCard #RarityTreatmentValue ($)Seller fees (pct + txn)Boxes / copy
Total expected copies / box - included buckets & Sift0.00
Expected copies / box0.00