Portal Three Kingdoms Draft Booster Box EV Calculator

Estimate the expected value (EV) of Portal Three Kingdoms Booster Box using daily generated TCGplayer price snapshots and the backend draft-box model.

Model assumptions & evidence

This historical model draws all game-card slots first, then applies included-bucket toggles and optional Sift filtering as post-draw scoring filters.

One English Portal Three Kingdoms display (manufacturer WOC17058) contains 60 boosters of 10 game cards, or 600 cards. The former 36-pack display count was incorrect. Each retained pack draws five commons, two uncommons, one rare and two basic lands; all 180 original nonfoil printing identities and per-pack probabilities are unchanged. The 5/2/1/2 pack recipe is corroborated by the product-specific community pack reconstruction and historical sealed-product descriptions. Uniform allocation among each 55-card rarity pool and the fifteen basic-land printings, independent draws with replacement and absence of box sequencing guarantees remain explicit modeling assumptions. The printed English collector numbers are retained, including the duplicated 155 on Trained Cheetah and Trained Jackal. Draw all 600 game-card positions before Sift or user filters. Rejected cards are never rerolled or backfilled. Non-game inserts are excluded from game-card EV; no foil or chase branch is introduced.
60 packs / box10 game cards / pack600 modeled card slots / boxBackend Draft Booster model
SnapshotTCG Market + $0.25 SiftBased on TCG Market pricing with Sift applied only after complete modeled contents are drawn.

One English Portal Three Kingdoms display (manufacturer WOC17058) contains 60 boosters of 10 game cards, or 600 cards.

Calculation settingsSift off

Selling Fees

Row fees show pct + txn. Order fees are added only in the summary.

Value Threshold

Prices load from daily generated TCGplayer, Mana Pool, and Cardmarket snapshots. EV applies Sift after modeled contents are drawn.
Rows with Value >= Sift tint green. EV uses Sift only when the toggle is checked.

EV Range (Monte Carlo)

Purchase EV

Included model bucketsChoose which modeled pools count toward EV.Model controls
Rows are grouped by backend model bucket. Sift is applied only after model contents are drawn.

Simulation Results (after Sift)

Confidence band: -
Each bar groups simulated box totals after modeled contents are drawn, then Sift and included-bucket filters are applied.

Pack & Box EV

Expected value summary across low, mid, and high Monte Carlo estimates.
MetricLowMidHigh
Average pack EV (gross)$0.00$0.00$0.00
Box EV x 60 (gross)$0.00$0.00$0.00
Gross EV per box$0.00$0.00$0.00
Total fees per box$0.00$0.00$0.00
Net after fees per box$0.00$0.00$0.00
Profit after fees per box$0.00$0.00$0.00
Break-even price/box (mid)$0.00

Purchase EV & Profit

Purchase expected value and profit summary across all selected boxes.
All boxesLowMidHigh
Gross EV$0.00$0.00$0.00
Total fees$0.00$0.00$0.00
Net after fees$0.00$0.00$0.00
Profit after expenses$0.00$0.00$0.00
ROI vs cost---
Boxes: 0 | Price/box: $0.00 | Total cost: $0.00

Content Snapshot

Portal Three Kingdoms Draft Booster Content Snapshot

The calculator retains this product's existing slot model and resolves complete contents before included-pool controls or optional Sift score the result.

Packs
60 packs / box
Cards
10 game cards / pack
Modeled total
600 modeled card slots / box
Rows
Loading

Pack Structure

One English WOC17058 display contains 60 ten-card boosters, or 600 game cards. Each pack uses the retained five-common, two-uncommon, one-rare and two-basic-land recipe; uniform allocation and independent draws are assumptions, not factory sequencing guarantees.

Commons5 cards / pack
Pool: 55 modeled card outcomes.Common slots: 5 expected / pack.
Uncommons2 cards / pack
Pool: 55 modeled card outcomes.Uncommon slots: 2 expected / pack.
Land2 cards / pack
Pool: 15 modeled card outcomes.Basic land slots: 2 expected / pack.
Rare1 card / pack
Pool: 55 modeled card outcomes.Rare slot: 1 expected / pack.

Draw all game-card slots first, then apply any Sift or filtering logic afterward.

Non-game inserts are not counted toward EV unless the model explicitly lists them.

Release-specific model analysis

What drives Portal Three Kingdoms Booster Box

Product profile. This draft booster box resolves 600 card positions across 180 named outcomes. The model snapshot dated October 12, 2026 contains 55 Common, 55 Rare, 55 Uncommon, 15 Basic Land. Its largest slot groups are 55 old common, 55 old rare, 55 old uncommon, 15 old basic. Every listed outcome contributes to the published baseline unless the visitor applies a post-draw filter.

Largest modeled weights. Forest (178) (8.00 expected per draft booster box), Forest (179) (8.00 expected per draft booster box), Forest (180) (8.00 expected per draft booster box), Island (169) (8.00 expected per draft booster box), Island (170) (8.00 expected per draft booster box). These are frequency leaders in the product model, not a promise that any individual opening will contain them.

Release-specific card examples. Alert Shu Infantry #1, Ambition's Cost #67, Barbarian Horde #101, Island (171), Eightfold Maze #2, Empty City Ruse #3, False Defeat #4, Flanking Troops #5. Seeing the named pool makes it possible to compare this release with adjacent sets instead of treating every sealed product as the same generic pack calculation.

Reference snapshot value concentration. At the TCGplayer Market snapshot dated August 12, 2026, 180 modeled outcomes have a usable direct or documented fallback price. The largest deterministic contributions come from Imperial Seal #78 ($945.45), Riding the Dilu Horse #144 ($599.18), Zodiac Dragon #131 ($593.45), Three Visits #153 ($492.11), Imperial Recruiter #113 ($288.98). Together those five rows account for 23.3% of the modeled gross value. This dated reference does not update with the live calculator's prices or Sift settings.

The baseline product model is constructed first, including any documented chase exclusions. The calculator then draws the complete baseline product. Included-pool controls and optional Sift evaluate that completed draw afterward and do not alter its collation.

Showing all cards
Modeled card expected value rows for this product.
NameSetCard #RarityTreatmentValue ($)Seller fees (pct + txn)Boxes / copy
Total expected copies / box - included buckets & Sift0.00
Expected copies / box0.00