Planeshift Draft Booster Box EV Calculator

Estimate the expected value (EV) of Planeshift Booster Box using daily generated TCGplayer price snapshots and the backend draft-box model.

Model assumptions & evidence

This historical model draws all game-card slots first, then applies included-bucket toggles and optional Sift filtering as post-draw scoring filters.

11 Normal nonfoil common slots, 3 Normal nonfoil uncommon slots, and 1 Normal nonfoil rare slot per pack. Each slot is modeled uniformly within the current TCGCSV rarity pool; exact old print-sheet ordering and collation are not inferred. Premium foil replacements are modeled at 1 per 100 card slots; each foil replaces the same-rarity regular card slot before Sift/filtering, so foil branches share the existing slot totals instead of adding cards. Because Planeshift has no dedicated collector product and source-backed dedicated odds are not configured, the three Alt. Art foil chase products are absent from this conservative no-chase baseline rather than represented as zero-EV occupied outcomes.

36 packs / box15 game cards / pack540 modeled card slots / boxBackend Draft Booster model

SnapshotTCG Market + $0.25 SiftBased on TCG Market pricing with Sift applied only after complete modeled contents are drawn.

11 Normal nonfoil common slots, 3 Normal nonfoil uncommon slots, and 1 Normal nonfoil rare slot per pack.

Calculation settingsSift off

Selling Fees

TCG seller type

Row fees show pct + txn. Order fees are added only in the summary.

Value Threshold

Price source for EV

Prices load from daily generated TCGplayer, Mana Pool, and Cardmarket snapshots. EV applies Sift after modeled contents are drawn.

Sift

Rows with Value >= Sift tint green. EV uses Sift only when the toggle is checked.

EV Range (Monte Carlo)

Central interval

Simulations

Use Sift (>=) in EV

Purchase EV

Boxes Purchased

Price per box ($)

Included model bucketsChoose which modeled pools count toward EV.Model controls

Loading backend model buckets...

Rows are grouped by backend model bucket. Sift is applied only after model contents are drawn.

Sealed Price / EV

Advertising disclosure: The Expected Value may earn commissions from qualifying purchases made through affiliate links. Programs used by the site include TCGplayer, Mana Pool, the eBay Partner Network, and Amazon Associates. As an Amazon Associate, The Expected Value earns from qualifying purchases.

Marketplace sealed box price compared to the current break-even price/box (mid).
Source	Box price	Break-even price/box (mid)	P/E	Basis
Mana Pool	-	-	-	Unavailable
TCGplayer	-	-	-	Unavailable
eBay	-	-	-	Unavailable
Amazon	-	-	-	Unavailable

Simulation Results (after Sift)

Confidence band: -

Each bar groups simulated box totals after modeled contents are drawn, then Sift and included-bucket filters are applied.

Pack & Box EV

Expected value summary across low, mid, and high Monte Carlo estimates.
Metric	Low	Mid	High
Average pack EV (gross)	$0.00	$0.00	$0.00
Box EV x 36 (gross)	$0.00	$0.00	$0.00
Gross EV per box	$0.00	$0.00	$0.00
Total fees per box	$0.00	$0.00	$0.00
Net after fees per box	$0.00	$0.00	$0.00
Profit after fees per box	$0.00	$0.00	$0.00
Break-even price/box (mid)	$0.00

Purchase EV & Profit

Purchase expected value and profit summary across all selected boxes.
All boxes	Low	Mid	High
Gross EV	$0.00	$0.00	$0.00
Total fees	$0.00	$0.00	$0.00
Net after fees	$0.00	$0.00	$0.00
Profit after expenses	$0.00	$0.00	$0.00
ROI vs cost	-	-	-

Boxes: 0 | Price/box: $0.00 | Total cost: $0.00

Content Snapshot

Planeshift Draft Booster Content Snapshot

The calculator retains this product's existing slot model and resolves complete contents before included-pool controls or optional Sift score the result.

Packs: 36 packs / box
Cards: 15 game cards / pack
Modeled total: 540 modeled card slots / box
Rows: Loading

Pack Structure

One Planeshift display contains 36 fifteen-card packs: 540 game cards before Sift or filters.

Common positions11 cards / pack

55 ordinary identities; each position retains the modeled 1% same-rarity foil replacement probability.

Uncommon positions3 cards / pack

44 ordinary identities; each position retains the modeled 1% same-rarity foil replacement probability.

Rare position1 card / pack

44 ordinary identities; the position retains the modeled 1% same-rarity foil replacement probability.

Manufacturer wrappers print approximate premium odds of 1:100 cards. Independent position events, same-rarity replacement and uniform printing weights are retained modeling assumptions. The three documented alternate-art foil chase printings remain excluded before drawing; regular foil versions remain eligible. Draw the complete product before Sift or filters, without rerolls or backfill.

Release-specific model analysis

What drives Planeshift Booster Box

Product profile. This draft booster box resolves 540 card positions across 286 named outcomes. The model snapshot dated October 12, 2026 contains 110 Common, 88 Rare, 88 Uncommon. Its largest slot groups are 55 old common, 55 old common foil, 44 old rare, 44 old rare foil, 44 old uncommon. Every listed outcome contributes to the published baseline unless the visitor applies a post-draw filter.

Largest modeled weights. Amphibious Kavu #78 (7.13 expected per draft booster box), Arctic Merfolk #21 (7.13 expected per draft booster box), Aura Blast #1 (7.13 expected per draft booster box), Aurora Griffin #2 (7.13 expected per draft booster box), Bog Down #39 (7.13 expected per draft booster box). These are frequency leaders in the product model, not a promise that any individual opening will contain them.

Release-specific card examples. Allied Strategies #20, Alpha Kavu #77, Ancient Spider #96, Caldera Kavu #58, Cavern Harpy #97, Cloud Cover #98, Disciple of Kangee #3, Dominaria's Judgment #4. Seeing the named pool makes it possible to compare this release with adjacent sets instead of treating every sealed product as the same generic pack calculation.

Reference snapshot value concentration. At the TCGplayer Market snapshot dated August 12, 2026, 286 modeled outcomes have a usable direct or documented fallback price. The largest deterministic contributions come from Meddling Mage #116 ($28.33), Sunscape Familiar #17 ($22.03), Diabolic Intent #42 ($19.76), Orim's Chant #11 ($19.18), Forsaken City #139 ($10.20). Together those five rows account for 30.3% of the modeled gross value. This dated reference does not update with the live calculator's prices or Sift settings.

The baseline product model is constructed first, including any documented chase exclusions. The calculator then draws the complete baseline product. Included-pool controls and optional Sift evaluate that completed draw afterward and do not alter its collation.

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Modeled card expected value rows for this product.
Name	Set	Card #	Rarity	Treatment	Value ($)	Seller fees (pct + txn)	Boxes / copy
Total expected copies / box - included buckets & Sift							0.00
Sanity total expected copies / box - all modeled rows							0.00
Gap to 540 modeled card slots / box							0.00

Expected copies / box0.00

Sanity check totals (ignore Sift and bucket toggles)

Model source: data-static/magic/pls/models/draft-box.json. Runtime disclosures are generated from the active model. TCGplayer products 77304, 77305, and 77306 are explicitly excluded from the no-chase baseline.