Planar Chaos Draft Booster Box EV Calculator

Estimate the expected value (EV) of Planar Chaos Booster Box using daily generated TCGplayer price snapshots and the backend draft-box model.

Model assumptions & evidence

This historical model draws all game-card slots first, then applies included-bucket toggles and optional Sift filtering as post-draw scoring filters.

One Planar Chaos display contains 36 fifteen-card packs (540 game cards): eight ordinary commons, two ordinary uncommons, one ordinary rare, three colorshifted commons and one colorshifted uncommon/rare (published 75%/25%). The manufacturer display prints approximate premium-card odds of 1:70 cards. A 3/14 foil event replaces one ordinary common, correcting the former 9/40 rate. Conditional foil allocation, uniform within-sheet weights, at most one foil per pack and independent draws remain explicit assumptions. Draw complete contents before Sift or filters; rejected cards are not rerolled.
36 packs / box15 game cards / pack540 modeled card slots / boxBackend Draft Booster model
SnapshotTCG Market + $0.25 SiftBased on TCG Market pricing with Sift applied only after complete modeled contents are drawn.
Calculation settingsSift off

Selling Fees

Row fees show pct + txn. Order fees are added only in the summary.

Value Threshold

Prices load from daily generated TCGplayer, Mana Pool, and Cardmarket snapshots. EV applies Sift after modeled contents are drawn.
Rows with Value >= Sift tint green. EV uses Sift only when the toggle is checked.

EV Range (Monte Carlo)

Purchase EV

Included model bucketsChoose which modeled pools count toward EV.Model controls
Rows are grouped by backend model bucket. Sift is applied only after model contents are drawn.

Simulation Results (after Sift)

Confidence band: -
Each bar groups simulated box totals after modeled contents are drawn, then Sift and included-bucket filters are applied.

Pack & Box EV

Expected value summary across low, mid, and high Monte Carlo estimates.
MetricLowMidHigh
Average pack EV (gross)$0.00$0.00$0.00
Box EV x 36 (gross)$0.00$0.00$0.00
Gross EV per box$0.00$0.00$0.00
Total fees per box$0.00$0.00$0.00
Net after fees per box$0.00$0.00$0.00
Profit after fees per box$0.00$0.00$0.00
Break-even price/box (mid)$0.00

Purchase EV & Profit

Purchase expected value and profit summary across all selected boxes.
All boxesLowMidHigh
Gross EV$0.00$0.00$0.00
Total fees$0.00$0.00$0.00
Net after fees$0.00$0.00$0.00
Profit after expenses$0.00$0.00$0.00
ROI vs cost---
Boxes: 0 | Price/box: $0.00 | Total cost: $0.00

Content Snapshot

Planar Chaos Draft Booster Content Snapshot

The calculator retains this product's existing slot model and resolves complete contents before included-pool controls or optional Sift score the result.

Packs
36 packs / box
Cards
15 game cards / pack
Modeled total
540 modeled card slots / box
Rows
Loading

Pack Structure

Each Planar Chaos Draft Booster Box is modeled with 15 game-card slots.

8 ordinary common positions
40 identities; one position becomes a foil in 3/14 packs.
2 ordinary uncommon positions
40 identities.
1 ordinary rare position
40 identities.
3 colorshifted common positions
20 identities.
1 colorshifted uncommon/rare position
15 uncommons at75% total;10 rares at25% total. Uniform within each published bucket is retained.
Premium replacement
165 eligible printings; retained conditional printing weights; replaces one ordinary common, never adds a sixteenth card.

Release-specific model analysis

What drives Planar Chaos Booster Box

Product profile. This draft booster box resolves 540 card positions across 330 named outcomes. The model snapshot dated October 12, 2026 contains 120 Common, 110 Uncommon, 100 Rare. Its largest slot groups are 165 old foil, 40 old common, 40 old rare, 40 old uncommon, 25 old color shifted uncommon rare. Every listed outcome contributes to the published baseline unless the visitor applies a post-draw filter.

Largest modeled weights. Aquamorph Entity #33 (7.01 expected per draft booster box), Aven Riftwatcher #1 (7.01 expected per draft booster box), Battering Sliver #95 (7.01 expected per draft booster box), Blightspeaker #64 (7.01 expected per draft booster box), Brain Gorgers #65 (7.01 expected per draft booster box). These are frequency leaders in the product model, not a promise that any individual opening will contain them.

Release-specific card examples. Aeon Chronicler #32, Aether Membrane #93, Akroma, Angel of Fury #94, Blood Knight (Colorshifted) #115, Bog Serpent (Colorshifted) #84, Citanul Woodreaders #125, Benalish Commander #2, Crovax, Ascendant Hero #3. Seeing the named pool makes it possible to compare this release with adjacent sets instead of treating every sealed product as the same generic pack calculation.

Reference snapshot value concentration. At the TCGplayer Market snapshot dated August 12, 2026, 330 modeled outcomes have a usable direct or documented fallback price. The largest deterministic contributions come from Urborg, Tomb of Yawgmoth #165 ($54.10), Essence Warden (Colorshifted) #145 ($29.16), Temporal Extortion #81 ($26.71), Vampiric Link (Colorshifted) #92 ($22.25), Pyrohemia (Colorshifted) #119 ($21.89). Together those five rows account for 33.5% of the modeled gross value. This dated reference does not update with the live calculator's prices or Sift settings.

The baseline product model is constructed first, including any documented chase exclusions. The calculator then draws the complete baseline product. Included-pool controls and optional Sift evaluate that completed draw afterward and do not alter its collation.

Showing all cards
Modeled card expected value rows for this product.
NameSetCard #RarityTreatmentValue ($)Seller fees (pct + txn)Boxes / copy
Total expected copies / box - included buckets & Sift0.00
Expected copies / box0.00