Mirrodin Draft Booster EV Calculator

Estimate the expected value (EV) of Mirrodin Booster Box using live TCGplayer market prices and the backend draft-box model.

This historical model draws all game-card slots first, then applies included-bucket toggles and optional Sift filtering as post-draw scoring filters.

36 packs / box15 game cards / pack540 modeled card slots / boxBackend Draft Booster model

10.842857 Normal nonfoil common sheet slots, 2.957142 Normal nonfoil uncommon sheet slots, 0.985714 Normal nonfoil rare sheet slots, 0.157142 Normal foil common or basic sheet slots, 0.042857 Normal foil uncommon sheet slots, and 0.014285 Normal foil rare sheet slots per pack using the committed tcgcsv-sync/magic-old-draft-sheets.json manifest. Sheet weights are applied before Sift/filtering; any source-only placeholder rows price at zero so matched cards are not overweighted.

SnapshotTCG Market + $0.25 SiftBased on TCG Market pricing with Sift applied only after complete modeled contents are drawn.

Content Snapshot

Mirrodin Draft Booster Content Snapshot

The calculator retains this product's existing slot model and resolves complete contents before included-pool controls or optional Sift score the result.

Packs: 36 packs / box
Cards: 15 game cards / pack
Modeled total: 540 modeled card slots / box
Rows: Loading

Pack Structure

Each Mirrodin Draft Booster is modeled with 15 game-card slots.

Foil uncommon sheet slots0.0429 expected / pack

Pool: 88 modeled card outcomes.Foil uncommon sheet slots: 0.0429 expected / pack (4.29% expected per pack).

Uncommon sheet slots2.9571 expected / pack

Pool: 88 modeled card outcomes.Uncommon sheet slots: 2.9571 expected / pack.

Foil common or basic sheet slots0.1571 expected / pack

Pool: 130 modeled card outcomes.Foil common or basic sheet slots: 0.1571 expected / pack (15.71% expected per pack).

Common sheet slots10.8429 expected / pack

Pool: 110 modeled card outcomes.Common sheet slots: 10.8429 expected / pack.

Foil rare sheet slots0.0143 expected / pack

Pool: 88 modeled card outcomes.Foil rare sheet slots: 0.0143 expected / pack (1.43% expected per pack).

Rare sheet slots0.9857 expected / pack

Pool: 88 modeled card outcomes.Rare sheet slots: 0.9857 expected / pack (98.57% expected per pack).

Draw all game-card slots first, then apply any Sift or filtering logic afterward.

Non-game inserts are not counted toward EV unless the model explicitly lists them.

Included model bucketsChoose which modeled pools count toward EV.Model controls

Loading backend model buckets...

Rows are grouped by backend model bucket. Sift is applied only after model contents are drawn.

Selling Fees

TCG seller type

Row fees show pct + txn. Order fees are added only in the summary.

Value Threshold

Price source for EV

Prices load from generated snapshots when available, with TCGCSV price groups as a live fallback. EV applies Sift after modeled contents are drawn.

Sift

Rows with Value >= Sift tint green. EV uses Sift only when the toggle is checked.

EV Range (Monte Carlo)

Central interval

Simulations

Use Sift (>=) in EV

Purchase EV

Boxes Purchased

Price per box ($)

Pack & Box EV

Expected value summary across low, mid, and high Monte Carlo estimates.
Metric	Low	Mid	High
Average pack EV (gross)	$0.00	$0.00	$0.00
Box EV x 36 (gross)	$0.00	$0.00	$0.00
Gross EV per box	$0.00	$0.00	$0.00
Total fees per box	$0.00	$0.00	$0.00
Net after fees per box	$0.00	$0.00	$0.00
Profit after fees per box	$0.00	$0.00	$0.00
Break-even price/box (mid)	$0.00

Purchase EV & Profit

Purchase expected value and profit summary across all selected boxes.
All boxes	Low	Mid	High
Gross EV	$0.00	$0.00	$0.00
Total fees	$0.00	$0.00	$0.00
Net after fees	$0.00	$0.00	$0.00
Profit after expenses	$0.00	$0.00	$0.00
ROI vs cost	-	-	-

Boxes: 0 | Price/box: $0.00 | Total cost: $0.00

Sealed Price / EV

Advertising disclosure: As an eBay Partner Network affiliate, The Expected Value may earn from qualifying purchases. Some marketplace links are affiliate links.

Marketplace sealed box price compared to the current break-even price/box (mid).
Source	Box price	Break-even price/box (mid)	P/E	Basis
Mana Pool	-	-	-	Unavailable
TCGplayer	-	-	-	Unavailable
eBay	-	-	-	Unavailable
Amazon	-	-	-	Unavailable

Simulation Results (after Sift)

Confidence band: -

Each bar groups simulated box totals after modeled contents are drawn, then Sift and included-bucket filters are applied.

Find cards

Showing all cards

Modeled card expected value rows for this product.
Name	Set	Card #	Rarity	Treatment	Value ($)	Seller fees (pct + txn)	Boxes / copy
Total expected copies / box - included buckets & Sift							0.00
Sanity total expected copies / box - all modeled rows							0.00
Gap to 540 modeled card slots / box							0.00

Expected / box0.00

Sanity check totals (ignore Sift and bucket toggles)

Model source: data-static/magic/mrd/models/draft-box.json. 10.842857 Normal nonfoil common sheet slots, 2.957142 Normal nonfoil uncommon sheet slots, 0.985714 Normal nonfoil rare sheet slots, 0.157142 Normal foil common or basic sheet slots, 0.042857 Normal foil uncommon sheet slots, and 0.014285 Normal foil rare sheet slots per pack using the committed tcgcsv-sync/magic-old-draft-sheets.json manifest. Sheet weights are applied before Sift/filtering; any source-only placeholder rows price at zero so matched cards are not overweighted.