Modern Horizons 2 Draft Booster EV Calculator
Estimate the expected value (EV) of Modern Horizons 2 Draft Booster Box using live TCGplayer market prices and the backend draft-box model.
The calculator draws modeled box contents first from the backend slot contributions, then applies included-bucket toggles and optional Sift filtering as post-draw scoring filters.
36 packs / box15 game cards / pack540 modeled card slots / boxBackend Draft Booster model
MH2 Draft Booster Displays model the published rare/mythic slot with the 9% showcase, retro-frame, or borderless identity replacement and the eligible common/uncommon showcase branches at the published 2-to-1 regular-to-showcase relationship: 23 common identities and 24 uncommon identities across sketch and retro frames. Later H2R products are excluded from these original MH2 treatment pools. The new-to-Modern reprint and foil replacement branches remain occupied zero-EV slots. Draw all contents first, then apply any Sift or filtering logic afterward.
SnapshotTCG Market + $0.25 SiftBased on TCG Market pricing with Sift applied only after complete modeled contents are drawn.
Content Snapshot
Modern Horizons 2 Draft Booster Content Snapshot
The calculator retains this product's existing slot model and resolves complete contents before included-pool controls or optional Sift score the result.
- Packs
- 36 packs / box
- Cards
- 15 game cards / pack
- Modeled total
- 540 modeled card slots / box
- Rows
- Loading
Pack Structure
Each Modern Horizons 2 Draft Booster is modeled with 15 game-card slots.
Uncommons3 cards / pack
Pool: 104 modeled card outcomes.3 uncommons with eligible sketch or retro-frame identity replacement regular-frame share: 2.7 expected / pack.3 uncommons with eligible sketch or retro-frame identity replacement alternate-treatment share: 0.3 expected / pack (30% expected per pack).
Showcase, retro-frame, or borderless rare or mythic rare replacement0.09 expected / pack
Pool: 98 modeled card outcomes.Showcase, retro-frame, or borderless rare or mythic rare replacement: 0.09 expected / pack (9% expected per pack).
Regular rare or mythic rare0.91 expected / pack
Pool: 80 modeled card outcomes.Regular rare or mythic rare: 0.91 expected / pack (91% expected per pack).
Commons after foil replacement with eligible sketch or retro-frame identity replacement regular-frame share9.6667 expected / pack
Pool: 124 modeled card outcomes.Commons after foil replacement with eligible sketch or retro-frame identity replacement regular-frame share: 8.9329 expected / pack.Commons after foil replacement with eligible sketch or retro-frame identity replacement alternate-treatment share: 0.7338 expected / pack (73.38% expected per pack).
New-to-Modern reprint slot1 card / pack
Pool: 1 modeled card outcome.New-to-Modern reprint slot: 1 expected / pack.
Traditional foil replacement0.3333 expected / pack
Pool: 1 modeled card outcome.Traditional foil replacement: 0.3333 expected / pack (33.33% expected per pack).
Draw all pack and display slots first, then apply any Sift or filtering logic afterward.
Non-game inserts are not counted toward EV unless the model explicitly lists them.
Included model bucketsChoose which modeled pools count toward EV.Model controls
Rows are grouped by backend model bucket. Sift is applied only after model contents are drawn.
Selling Fees
Row fees show pct + txn. Order fees are added only in the summary.
Value Threshold
Prices load from generated snapshots when available, with TCGCSV price groups as a live fallback. EV applies Sift after modeled contents are drawn.
Rows with Value >= Sift tint green. EV uses Sift only when the toggle is checked.
EV Range (Monte Carlo)
Purchase EV
Pack & Box EV
| Metric | Low | Mid | High |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average pack EV (gross) | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Box EV x 36 (gross) | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Gross EV per box | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Total fees per box | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Net after fees per box | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Profit after fees per box | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Break-even price/box (mid) | $0.00 | ||
Purchase EV & Profit
| All boxes | Low | Mid | High |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gross EV | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Total fees | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Net after fees | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Profit after expenses | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| ROI vs cost | - | - | - |
Boxes: 0 | Price/box: $0.00 | Total cost: $0.00
Sealed Price / EV
Advertising disclosure: As an eBay Partner Network affiliate, The Expected Value may earn from qualifying purchases. Some marketplace links are affiliate links.
| Source | Box price | Break-even price/box (mid) | P/E | Basis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mana Pool | - | - | - | Unavailable |
| TCGplayer | - | - | - | Unavailable |
| eBay | - | - | - | Unavailable |
| Amazon | - | - | - | Unavailable |
Simulation Results (after Sift)
Confidence band: -
Each bar groups simulated box totals after modeled contents are drawn, then Sift and included-bucket filters are applied.
Showing all cards
| Name | Set | Card # | Rarity | Treatment | Value ($) | Seller fees (pct + txn) | Boxes / copy |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total expected copies / box - included buckets & Sift | 0.00 | ||||||
Expected / box0.00