Mirrodin Besieged Draft Booster Box EV Calculator

Estimate the expected value (EV) of Mirrodin Besieged Booster Box using daily generated TCGplayer price snapshots and the backend draft-box model.

Model assumptions & evidence

This historical model draws all game-card slots first, then applies included-bucket toggles and optional Sift filtering as post-draw scoring filters.

Full-product EV is unavailable: ordinary premium foil outcomes are omitted, and the Mirrodin Besieged aggregate foil frequency has not been verified from readable manufacturer packaging. These outcomes are not chase exclusions. The displayed nonfoil-only scenario is incomplete and its omitted foil effect is unquantified. The nonfoil scenario draws 36 fifteen-card packs (540 positions), each with ten MBS commons, three MBS uncommons, one MBS rare/mythic and one of the ten MBS basic lands numbered 146-155. The incorrect twenty Scars of Mirrodin basic lands have been replaced by the set-specific MBS printings. This is the ordinary booster display, not a prerelease faction display.
36 packs / box15 game cards / pack540 modeled card slots / boxBackend Draft Booster model
SnapshotTCG Market + $0.25 SiftBased on TCG Market pricing with Sift applied only after complete modeled contents are drawn.

Full-product EV is unavailable: ordinary premium foil outcomes are omitted, and the Mirrodin Besieged aggregate foil frequency has not been verified from readable manufacturer packaging.

Calculation settingsSift off

Selling Fees

Row fees show pct + txn. Order fees are added only in the summary.

Value Threshold

Prices load from daily generated TCGplayer, Mana Pool, and Cardmarket snapshots. EV applies Sift after modeled contents are drawn.
Rows with Value >= Sift tint green. EV uses Sift only when the toggle is checked.

EV Range (Monte Carlo)

Purchase EV

Included model bucketsChoose which modeled pools count toward EV.Model controls
Rows are grouped by backend model bucket. Sift is applied only after model contents are drawn.

Simulation Results (after Sift)

Simulated outcome interval: -
Each bar groups simulated box totals after modeled contents are drawn, then Sift and included-bucket filters are applied.

Pack & Box EV

Expected value summary across low, mid, and high Monte Carlo estimates.
MetricLowMidHigh
Average pack EV (gross)$0.00$0.00$0.00
Box EV x 36 (gross)$0.00$0.00$0.00
Gross EV per box$0.00$0.00$0.00
Total fees per box$0.00$0.00$0.00
Net after fees per box$0.00$0.00$0.00
Profit after fees per box$0.00$0.00$0.00
Break-even price/box (mid)$0.00

Purchase EV & Profit

Purchase expected value and profit summary across all selected boxes.
All boxesLowMidHigh
Gross EV$0.00$0.00$0.00
Total fees$0.00$0.00$0.00
Net after fees$0.00$0.00$0.00
Profit after expenses$0.00$0.00$0.00
ROI vs cost---
Boxes: 0 | Price/box: $0.00 | Total cost: $0.00

Content Snapshot

Mirrodin Besieged Draft Booster Content Snapshot

The calculator retains this product's existing slot model and resolves complete contents before included-pool controls or optional Sift score the result.

Packs
36 packs / box
Cards
15 game cards / pack
Modeled total
540 modeled card slots / box
Rows
Loading

Pack Structure

Each Mirrodin Besieged Draft Booster Box contains 36 fifteen-card packs (540 game-card positions). The retained nonfoil scenario omits unresolved ordinary foil replacements.

Commons10 cards / pack
Pool: 60 modeled card outcomes.Common slots: 10 expected / pack.
Uncommons3 cards / pack
Pool: 40 modeled card outcomes.Uncommon slots: 3 expected / pack.
Land1 card / pack
Pool: 20 modeled card outcomes.Basic land slots: 1 expected / pack.
Rare / Mythic1 card / pack
Pool: 45 modeled card outcomes.Rare/mythic slot: 1 expected / pack.

Draw all game-card slots first, then apply any Sift or filtering logic afterward.

Non-game inserts are not counted toward EV unless the model explicitly lists them.

Release-specific model analysis

What drives Mirrodin Besieged Booster Box

Product profile. This draft booster box resolves 540 card positions across 155 named outcomes. The model snapshot dated October 12, 2026 contains 60 Common, 40 Uncommon, 35 Rare, 10 Basic Land, 10 Mythic Rare. Its largest slot groups are 60 old common, 40 old uncommon, 35 old rare, 10 old basic, 10 old mythic. Every listed outcome contributes to the published baseline unless the visitor applies a post-draw filter.

Largest modeled weights. Ardent Recruit #2 (6.00 expected per draft booster box), Banishment Decree #3 (6.00 expected per draft booster box), Bladed Sentinel #98 (6.00 expected per draft booster box), Blightwidow #77 (6.00 expected per draft booster box), Blisterstick Shaman #58 (6.00 expected per draft booster box). These are frequency leaders in the product model, not a promise that any individual opening will contain them.

Release-specific card examples. Accorder Paladin #1, Black Sun's Zenith #39, Blightsteel Colossus #99, Burn the Impure #59, Forest #154, Choking Fumes #4, Divine Offering #5, Frantic Salvage #6. Seeing the named pool makes it possible to compare this release with adjacent sets instead of treating every sealed product as the same generic pack calculation.

Reference snapshot value concentration. At the TCGplayer Market snapshot dated August 12, 2026, 155 modeled outcomes have a usable direct or documented fallback price. The largest deterministic contributions come from Green Sun's Zenith #81 ($28.07), Sword of Feast and Famine #138 ($19.20), Blightsteel Colossus #99 ($18.46), Phyresis #49 ($15.06), Consecrated Sphinx #21 ($13.79). Together those five rows account for 38.3% of the modeled gross value. This dated reference does not update with the live calculator's prices or Sift settings.

The baseline product model is constructed first, including any documented chase exclusions. The calculator then draws the complete baseline product. Included-pool controls and optional Sift evaluate that completed draw afterward and do not alter its collation.

Showing all cards
Modeled card expected value rows for this product.
NameSetCard #RarityTreatmentValue ($)Seller fees (pct + txn)Boxes / copy
Total expected copies / box - included buckets & Sift0.00
Expected copies / box0.00