Kaladesh Draft Booster Box EV Calculator

Estimate the expected value (EV) of Kaladesh Booster Box using daily generated TCGplayer price snapshots and the backend draft-box model.

Model assumptions & evidence

This historical model draws all game-card slots first, then applies included-bucket toggles and optional Sift filtering as post-draw scoring filters.

Full-product EV is unavailable: the retained model uses an ordinary-foil rate of 1/56 per modeled position, while original Kaladesh packaging states approximate premium odds of 1:67 cards. The relation between that premium aggregate and the separately stated 1:2160 Masterpiece aggregate, plus their replacement/joint allocation, has not been verified. No unverified overlap interpretation is used to change card probabilities. This retained 36-pack scenario draws 540 game-card positions before Sift or user filters. Eligible pools are KLD1-264 in both finishes and English foil MPS1-30. Planeswalker Deck exclusives, tokens and advertising inserts are excluded. Every original printing expectation and price identity is preserved. The retained numerical scenario uses 1/56 same-rarity ordinary-foil selection per modeled position, 1/144 Invention per pack replacing a basic land, uniform printings within rarity and a 7:1 rare/mythic aggregate. These are not all verified product facts: Wizards gives the approximate Kaladesh Invention frequency, but its common-replacement rule conflicts with the retained same-rarity ordinary-foil placement. The printed 1:67 premium aggregate cannot be reconciled by borrowing neighboring rates or assuming how it overlaps Masterpieces. Factory inner weights and joint events remain unresolved. Complete each retained scenario pack with ten common positions, three uncommon positions, one rare/mythic position and one land/Invention position, then apply Sift and included-pool scoring. The correlated position draws repair independent row rounding without claiming factory collation or changing any expected card quantity. Filters never reroll or backfill rejected cards; 540-card counts alone do not resolve the probability evidence gap. Wind Drake product 200910 (17/264 source variant) and Brazen Scourge product 600353 (Reprint source variant) are excluded from booster pools rather than retained as unpriced duplicate outcomes.
36 packs / box15 game cards / pack540 modeled card slots / boxBackend Draft Booster model
SnapshotTCG Market + $0.25 SiftBased on TCG Market pricing with Sift applied only after complete modeled contents are drawn.

Full-product EV is unavailable: the retained model uses an ordinary-foil rate of 1/56 per modeled position, while original Kaladesh packaging states approximate premium odds of 1:67 cards.

Calculation settingsSift off

Selling Fees

Row fees show pct + txn. Order fees are added only in the summary.

Value Threshold

Prices load from daily generated TCGplayer, Mana Pool, and Cardmarket snapshots. EV applies Sift after modeled contents are drawn.
Rows with Value >= Sift tint green. EV uses Sift only when the toggle is checked.

EV Range (Monte Carlo)

Purchase EV

Included model bucketsChoose which modeled pools count toward EV.Model controls
Rows are grouped by backend model bucket. Sift is applied only after model contents are drawn.

Simulation Results (after Sift)

Simulated outcome interval: -
Each bar groups simulated box totals after modeled contents are drawn, then Sift and included-bucket filters are applied.

Pack & Box EV

Expected value summary across low, mid, and high Monte Carlo estimates.
MetricLowMidHigh
Average pack EV (gross)$0.00$0.00$0.00
Box EV x 36 (gross)$0.00$0.00$0.00
Gross EV per box$0.00$0.00$0.00
Total fees per box$0.00$0.00$0.00
Net after fees per box$0.00$0.00$0.00
Profit after fees per box$0.00$0.00$0.00
Break-even price/box (mid)$0.00

Purchase EV & Profit

Purchase expected value and profit summary across all selected boxes.
All boxesLowMidHigh
Gross EV$0.00$0.00$0.00
Total fees$0.00$0.00$0.00
Net after fees$0.00$0.00$0.00
Profit after expenses$0.00$0.00$0.00
ROI vs cost---
Boxes: 0 | Price/box: $0.00 | Total cost: $0.00

Content Snapshot

Kaladesh Draft Booster Content Snapshot

The calculator retains this product's existing slot model and resolves complete contents before included-pool controls or optional Sift score the result.

Packs
36 packs / box
Cards
15 game cards / pack
Modeled total
540 modeled card slots / box
Rows
Loading

Pack Structure

Each Kaladesh booster contains 15 game cards; the 36-pack box contains 540. All original card expectations are retained while physical scenario draws are corrected. This does not resolve the printed premium-rate and replacement conflict.

Common positions10 per pack
Retained nonfoil/foil common expectations; same-rarity foil placement remains an unverified scenario.
Uncommon positions3 per pack
Retained nonfoil/foil uncommon expectations.
Rare / Mythic position1 per pack
Retained nonfoil/foil rare and mythic expectations.
Land / Invention position1 per pack
Retained basic-land and Invention branch; replacement relationship is unresolved.

Draw all game-card slots first, then apply any Sift or filtering logic afterward.

Non-game inserts are not counted toward EV unless the model explicitly lists them.

Release-specific model analysis

What drives Kaladesh Booster Box

Product profile. This draft booster box resolves 540 card positions across 558 named outcomes. The model snapshot dated August 24, 2026 contains 202 Common, 160 Uncommon, 106 Rare, 60 Mythic Rare, 30 Basic Land. Its largest slot groups are 101 old common, 101 old common foil, 80 old uncommon, 80 old uncommon foil, 53 old rare. Every listed outcome contributes to the published baseline unless the visitor applies a post-draw filter.

Largest modeled weights. Accomplished Automaton #191 (3.50 expected per draft booster box), Acrobatic Maneuver #1 (3.50 expected per draft booster box), Aether Theorist #37 (3.50 expected per draft booster box), Aether Tradewinds #38 (3.50 expected per draft booster box), Ambitious Aetherborn #72 (3.50 expected per draft booster box). These are frequency leaders in the product model, not a promise that any individual opening will contain them.

Release-specific card examples. Aerial Responder #2, Aether Hub #242, Aether Vial (Kaladesh Invention) #6, Aetherflux Reservoir #192, Aethersquall Ancient #39, Aetherworks Marvel #193, Angel of Invention #4, Appetite for the Unnatural #141, Aetherstorm Roc #3. Seeing the named pool makes it possible to compare this release with adjacent sets instead of treating every sealed product as the same generic pack calculation.

Reference snapshot value concentration. At the TCGplayer Market snapshot dated August 12, 2026, 558 modeled outcomes have a usable direct or documented fallback price. The largest deterministic contributions come from Aetherflux Reservoir #192 ($13.25), Sol Ring (Kaladesh Invention) #24 ($10.27), Inventors' Fair #247 ($9.33), Mox Opal (Kaladesh Invention) #19 ($9.32), Mana Vault (Kaladesh Invention) #17 ($8.11). Together those five rows account for 25.4% of the modeled gross value. This dated reference does not update with the live calculator's prices or Sift settings.

The baseline product model is constructed first, including any documented chase exclusions. The calculator then draws the complete baseline product. Included-pool controls and optional Sift evaluate that completed draw afterward and do not alter its collation.

Showing all cards
Modeled card expected value rows for this product.
NameSetCard #RarityTreatmentValue ($)Seller fees (pct + txn)Boxes / copy
Total expected copies / box - included buckets & Sift0.00
Expected copies / box0.00