Journey Into Nyx Draft Booster Box EV Calculator

Estimate the expected value (EV) of Journey Into Nyx Booster Box using daily generated TCGplayer price snapshots and the backend draft-box model.

Model assumptions & evidence

This historical model draws all game-card slots first, then applies included-bucket toggles and optional Sift filtering as post-draw scoring filters.

Full-product EV is unavailable: ordinary foil outcomes are omitted from this historical Journey into Nyx model, and the set-specific aggregate premium frequency has not been verified against manufacturer packaging. These are ordinary booster outcomes, not chase exclusions. The displayed nonfoil-only scenario is not a complete product valuation; its omitted net effect is unquantified. The retained scenario resolves 36 fifteen-card packs (540 game-card positions): ten JOU commons, three JOU uncommons, one JOU rare/mythic and one of twenty THS basic-land printings per pack. All original 185 nonfoil printing expectations and exact price identities are preserved pending a supported foil correction. Uniform printings within each rarity, the configured 7:1 rare/mythic split, uniform THS basic-land printings and independent draws with replacement are retained modeling assumptions. The Wizards common-replacement rule corroborates the foil replacement position, but does not supply a JOU-specific frequency. The community pack reconstruction is secondary evidence; its 9/40 foil-pack frequency is not adopted as verified manufacturer odds. Rare all-God packs remain outside this ordinary-pack scenario. No Collector product exists for this set, and their exact aggregate frequency is not established here; no invented God-pack probability is added. Ordinary foil outcomes are a separate unresolved required component, not chase exclusions. Draw the entire scenario before Sift and user filters; rejected cards are never rerolled or backfilled. Tokens and advertising inserts are outside game-card EV. A full 540-position draw does not establish that omitted foil outcomes have been modeled. Full-product sealed P/E and financial metrics remain unavailable.
36 packs / box15 game cards / pack540 modeled card slots / boxBackend Draft Booster model
SnapshotTCG Market + $0.25 SiftBased on TCG Market pricing with Sift applied only after complete modeled contents are drawn.

Full-product EV is unavailable: ordinary foil outcomes are omitted from this historical Journey into Nyx model, and the set-specific aggregate premium frequency has not been verified against manufacturer packaging.

Calculation settingsSift off

Selling Fees

Row fees show pct + txn. Order fees are added only in the summary.

Value Threshold

Prices load from daily generated TCGplayer, Mana Pool, and Cardmarket snapshots. EV applies Sift after modeled contents are drawn.
Rows with Value >= Sift tint green. EV uses Sift only when the toggle is checked.

EV Range (Monte Carlo)

Purchase EV

Included model bucketsChoose which modeled pools count toward EV.Model controls
Rows are grouped by backend model bucket. Sift is applied only after model contents are drawn.

Simulation Results (after Sift)

Simulated outcome interval: -
Each bar groups simulated box totals after modeled contents are drawn, then Sift and included-bucket filters are applied.

Pack & Box EV

Expected value summary across low, mid, and high Monte Carlo estimates.
MetricLowMidHigh
Average pack EV (gross)$0.00$0.00$0.00
Box EV x 36 (gross)$0.00$0.00$0.00
Gross EV per box$0.00$0.00$0.00
Total fees per box$0.00$0.00$0.00
Net after fees per box$0.00$0.00$0.00
Profit after fees per box$0.00$0.00$0.00
Break-even price/box (mid)$0.00

Purchase EV & Profit

Purchase expected value and profit summary across all selected boxes.
All boxesLowMidHigh
Gross EV$0.00$0.00$0.00
Total fees$0.00$0.00$0.00
Net after fees$0.00$0.00$0.00
Profit after expenses$0.00$0.00$0.00
ROI vs cost---
Boxes: 0 | Price/box: $0.00 | Total cost: $0.00

Content Snapshot

Journey Into Nyx Draft Booster Content Snapshot

The retained nonfoil scenario resolves all 540 positions before Sift, but its missing ordinary foil branch prevents full-product valuation.

Packs
36 packs / box
Cards
15 game cards / pack
Modeled total
540 modeled card slots / box
Rows
Loading

Pack Structure

Each Journey into Nyx booster contains 15 game cards; a 36-pack box contains 540. The retained nonfoil-only scenario omits ordinary foil replacements and is not a full-product valuation.

Commons10 cards / pack
Pool: 60 modeled card outcomes.Common slots: 10 expected / pack.
Uncommons3 cards / pack
Pool: 60 modeled card outcomes.Uncommon slots: 3 expected / pack.
Land1 card / pack
Pool: 20 modeled card outcomes.Basic land slots: 1 expected / pack.
Rare / Mythic1 card / pack
Pool: 45 modeled card outcomes.Rare/mythic slot: 1 expected / pack.

Draw all game-card slots first, then apply any Sift or filtering logic afterward.

Non-game inserts are not counted toward EV unless the model explicitly lists them.

Release-specific model analysis

What drives Journey Into Nyx Booster Box

Product profile. This draft booster box resolves 540 card positions across 185 named outcomes. The model snapshot dated August 25, 2026 contains 60 Common, 60 Uncommon, 35 Rare, 20 Basic Land, 10 Mythic Rare. Its largest slot groups are 60 old common, 60 old uncommon, 35 old rare, 20 old basic, 10 old mythic. Every listed outcome contributes to the published baseline unless the visitor applies a post-draw filter.

Largest modeled weights. Aerial Formation #30 (6.00 expected per draft booster box), Ajani's Presence #2 (6.00 expected per draft booster box), Akroan Mastiff #3 (6.00 expected per draft booster box), Armament of Nyx #4 (6.00 expected per draft booster box), Aspect of Gorgon #60 (6.00 expected per draft booster box). These are frequency leaders in the product model, not a promise that any individual opening will contain them.

Release-specific card examples. Aegis of the Gods #1, Agent of Erebos #59, Ajani, Mentor of Heroes #145, Bladetusk Boar #90, Forest #246, Banishing Light #5, Dawnbringer Charioteers #6, Deicide #7. Seeing the named pool makes it possible to compare this release with adjacent sets instead of treating every sealed product as the same generic pack calculation.

Price and model coverage. Current marketplace prices load in the calculator. This 185-outcome model contains nonfoil cards and omits ordinary foil outcomes, so its displayed values are conditional estimates rather than a verified full-product EV. Missing foil rates remain unresolved; no price snapshot or guessed foil value fills that gap.

The baseline product model is constructed first, including any documented chase exclusions. The calculator then draws the complete baseline product. Included-pool controls and optional Sift evaluate that completed draw afterward and do not alter its collation.

Showing all cards
Modeled card expected value rows for this product.
NameSetCard #RarityTreatmentValue ($)Seller fees (pct + txn)Boxes / copy
Total expected copies / box - included buckets & Sift0.00
Expected copies / box0.00