Hour of Devastation Draft Booster Box EV Calculator

Review a conditional ordinary-card value for Hour of Devastation Booster Box using daily generated TCGplayer price snapshots and the backend draft-box model.

Model assumptions & evidence

This historical model draws all game-card slots first, then applies included-bucket toggles and optional Sift filtering as post-draw scoring filters.

Conditional ordinary-card scenario: 36 fifteen-card boosters (540 modeled positions), with three uncommons, one rare/mythic and one basic land per pack. The retained premium replacement model has ten commons otherwise and nine commons plus one ordinary foil in 15/67 packs. Every original printing expectation is unchanged; pack positions now remain complete in every draw. Full-product EV is unavailable. The manufacturer box publishes approximate premium odds of 1:67 cards and Masterpiece odds of 1:1,935 cards (one Invocation per 129 packs on average). The 24 Hour of Devastation Invocations therefore cannot be dismissed as an unknown-rate chase branch. They are not yet represented by generated exact identities and same-observation-time Market quotes in this calculator; their relationship to the ordinary premium branch also remains unverified. Displayed values are conditional ordinary-card estimates, not full-product EV. Omitted Invocations are not worth zero. Retained allocation assumptions: a 7:1 nonfoil rare-to-mythic split, uniform identities within each rarity, foil rarity proportions based on the original slot weights, and independent draws. All fifteen basic-land printings are uniform, including five full-art printings. These assumptions do not establish factory sheet order, duplicate prevention, exact box rarity counts, or the Invocation replacement relationship. Construct and draw all 540 positions of this conditional scenario before Sift or pool filters; never reroll or backfill rejected cards. Low, Mid and High come from the same recalculated samples.
36 packs / box15 game cards / pack540 modeled card slots / boxBackend Draft Booster model
SnapshotTCG Market + $0.25 SiftBased on TCG Market pricing with Sift applied only after complete modeled contents are drawn.

Conditional ordinary-card scenario: 36 fifteen-card boosters (540 modeled positions), with three uncommons, one rare/mythic and one basic land per pack.

Calculation settingsSift off

Selling Fees

Row fees show pct + txn. Order fees are added only in the summary.

Value Threshold

Prices load from daily generated TCGplayer, Mana Pool, and Cardmarket snapshots. EV applies Sift after modeled contents are drawn.
Rows with Value >= Sift tint green. EV uses Sift only when the toggle is checked.

EV Range (Monte Carlo)

Purchase EV

Included model bucketsChoose which modeled pools count toward EV.Model controls
Rows are grouped by backend model bucket. Sift is applied only after model contents are drawn.

Simulation Results (after Sift)

Simulated outcome interval: -
Each bar groups simulated box totals after modeled contents are drawn, then Sift and included-bucket filters are applied.

Pack & Box Conditional Values

Expected value summary across low, mid, and high Monte Carlo estimates.
MetricLowMidHigh
Average pack conditional value (gross)$0.00$0.00$0.00
Box conditional value x 36 (gross)$0.00$0.00$0.00
Gross conditional value per box$0.00$0.00$0.00
Total fees per box$0.00$0.00$0.00
Net after fees per box$0.00$0.00$0.00
Profit after fees per box$0.00$0.00$0.00
Break-even price/box (mid)$0.00

Purchase EV & Profit

Purchase expected value and profit summary across all selected boxes.
All boxesLowMidHigh
Gross conditional value$0.00$0.00$0.00
Total fees$0.00$0.00$0.00
Net after fees$0.00$0.00$0.00
Profit after expenses$0.00$0.00$0.00
ROI vs cost---
Boxes: 0 | Price/box: $0.00 | Total cost: $0.00

Content Snapshot

Hour of Devastation Draft Booster Content Snapshot

The calculator retains this product's existing slot model and resolves complete contents before included-pool controls or optional Sift score the result.

Packs
36 packs / box
Cards
15 game cards / pack
Modeled total
540 modeled card slots / box
Rows
Loading

Pack Structure

Each Hour of Devastation Draft Booster Box contains 36 fifteen-card boosters (540 game cards). The retained ordinary-card scenario below omits Invocations and is not a verified complete product value.

Commons9.7761 expected / pack
Pool: 70 modeled card outcomes.Common slots: 9.7761 expected / pack.
Uncommons3.0448 expected / pack
Pool: 120 modeled card outcomes.Uncommon slots: 3 expected / pack.Foil replacement uncommon slots: 0.0448 expected / pack (4.48% expected per pack).
Land1.0149 expected / pack
Pool: 30 modeled card outcomes.Basic land slots: 1 expected / pack.Foil replacement basic land slots: 0.0149 expected / pack (1.49% expected per pack).
Rare / Mythic1 card / pack
Pool: 54 modeled card outcomes.Rare/mythic slot: 1 expected / pack.
Foil replacement common slots0.1493 expected / pack
Pool: 70 modeled card outcomes.Foil replacement common slots: 0.1493 expected / pack (14.93% expected per pack).
Foil replacement rare/mythic slot0.0149 expected / pack
Pool: 54 modeled card outcomes.Foil replacement rare/mythic slot: 0.0149 expected / pack (1.49% expected per pack).

Draw all game-card slots first, then apply any Sift or filtering logic afterward.

Non-game inserts are not counted toward EV unless the model explicitly lists them.

Release-specific model analysis

What drives Hour of Devastation Booster Box

Product profile. This draft booster box resolves 540 card positions across 398 named outcomes. The model snapshot dated August 24, 2026 contains 140 Common, 120 Uncommon, 84 Rare, 30 Basic Land, 24 Mythic Rare. Its largest slot groups are 70 old common, 70 old common foil, 60 old uncommon, 60 old uncommon foil, 42 old rare. Every listed outcome contributes to the published baseline unless the visitor applies a post-draw filter.

Largest modeled weights. Act of Heroism #1 (5.03 expected per draft booster box), Aerial Guide #29 (5.03 expected per draft booster box), Ambuscade #110 (5.03 expected per draft booster box), Aven of Enduring Hope #5 (5.03 expected per draft booster box), Aven Reedstalker #30 (5.03 expected per draft booster box). These are frequency leaders in the product model, not a promise that any individual opening will contain them.

Release-specific card examples. Abandoned Sarcophagus #158, Abrade #83, Accursed Horde #56, Adorned Pouncer #2, Beneath the Sands #111, Bitterbow Sharpshooters #112, Crested Sunmare #6, Forest - Full Art (Full Art) #189, Angel of Condemnation #3. Seeing the named pool makes it possible to compare this release with adjacent sets instead of treating every sealed product as the same generic pack calculation.

Reference snapshot value concentration. At the TCGplayer Market snapshot dated August 12, 2026, 398 modeled outcomes have a usable direct or documented fallback price. The largest deterministic contributions come from Torment of Hailfire #77 ($28.76), Solemnity #22 ($7.67), Obelisk Spider #141 ($5.56), Razaketh, the Foulblooded #73 ($5.01), Ramunap Excavator #129 ($3.89). Together those five rows account for 31.6% of the modeled gross value. This dated reference does not update with the live calculator's prices or Sift settings.

The baseline product model is constructed first, including any documented chase exclusions. The calculator then draws the complete baseline product. Included-pool controls and optional Sift evaluate that completed draw afterward and do not alter its collation.

Showing all cards
Modeled card expected value rows for this product.
NameSetCard #RarityTreatmentValue ($)Seller fees (pct + txn)Boxes / copy
Total expected copies / box - included buckets & Sift0.00
Expected copies / box0.00