Guilds of Ravnica Draft Booster Box EV Calculator

Estimate the expected value (EV) of Guilds of Ravnica Booster Box using daily generated TCGplayer price snapshots and the backend draft-box model.

Model assumptions & evidence

This historical model draws all game-card slots first, then applies included-bucket toggles and optional Sift filtering as post-draw scoring filters.

Each display contains 36 fifteen-card boosters (540 cards). Each pack has 10 commons, 3 uncommons, 1 rare/mythic and 1 Guildgate; a premium foil replaces a common. Original packaging prints approximate premium-card odds of 1:67 cards, modeled as 15/67 of packs containing one foil.
36 packs / box15 game cards / pack540 modeled card slots / boxBackend Draft Booster model
SnapshotTCG Market + $0.25 SiftBased on TCG Market pricing with Sift applied only after complete modeled contents are drawn.
Calculation settingsSift off

Selling Fees

Row fees show pct + txn. Order fees are added only in the summary.

Value Threshold

Prices load from daily generated TCGplayer, Mana Pool, and Cardmarket snapshots. EV applies Sift after modeled contents are drawn.
Rows with Value >= Sift tint green. EV uses Sift only when the toggle is checked.

EV Range (Monte Carlo)

Purchase EV

Included model bucketsChoose which modeled pools count toward EV.Model controls
Rows are grouped by backend model bucket. Sift is applied only after model contents are drawn.

Simulation Results (after Sift)

Simulated outcome interval: -
Each bar groups simulated box totals after modeled contents are drawn, then Sift and included-bucket filters are applied.

Pack & Box EV

Expected value summary across low, mid, and high Monte Carlo estimates.
MetricLowMidHigh
Average pack EV (gross)$0.00$0.00$0.00
Box EV x 36 (gross)$0.00$0.00$0.00
Gross EV per box$0.00$0.00$0.00
Total fees per box$0.00$0.00$0.00
Net after fees per box$0.00$0.00$0.00
Profit after fees per box$0.00$0.00$0.00
Break-even price/box (mid)$0.00

Purchase EV & Profit

Purchase expected value and profit summary across all selected boxes.
All boxesLowMidHigh
Gross EV$0.00$0.00$0.00
Total fees$0.00$0.00$0.00
Net after fees$0.00$0.00$0.00
Profit after expenses$0.00$0.00$0.00
ROI vs cost---
Boxes: 0 | Price/box: $0.00 | Total cost: $0.00

Content Snapshot

Guilds of Ravnica Draft Booster Content Snapshot

The calculator retains this product's existing slot model and resolves complete contents before included-pool controls or optional Sift score the result.

Packs
36 packs / box
Cards
15 game cards / pack
Modeled total
540 modeled card slots / box
Rows
Loading

Pack Structure

Each booster has 15 game-card slots; the 36-pack display contains 540 cards.

Rare / Mythic1 card / pack
Pool: 68 modeled card outcomes.Rare or mythic rare: 1 expected / pack.
9 or 10 nonfoil commonsOne replaced in a foil pack
Pool: 101 modeled card outcomes.10 minus 15/67 expected commons per pack; a foil replaces one common.
3 nonfoil uncommons3 cards / pack
Pool: 80 modeled card outcomes.3 nonfoil uncommons: 3 expected / pack.
Guildgate slot1 card / pack
Pool: 10 modeled card outcomes.Guildgate slot: 1 expected / pack.
Premium foil replacement0 or 1 card / pack
All 259 booster printings are eligible. Printed approximate odds: 1:67 cards, modeled as 15/67 of packs.Foil conditional allocation is explicitly assumed: 60% common, 25% uncommon, 15% rare/mythic; each foil rare has twice each foil mythic's weight.

Draw all pack and display slots first, then apply any Sift or filtering logic afterward.

Non-game inserts are not counted toward EV unless the model explicitly lists them.

Release-specific model analysis

What drives Guilds of Ravnica Booster Box

Product profile. This draft booster box resolves 540 card positions across 518 named outcomes. The model snapshot dated August 24, 2026 contains 222 Common, 160 Uncommon, 106 Rare, 30 Mythic Rare. Its largest slot groups are 259 draft foil, 101 draft common, 80 draft uncommon, 68 draft rare mythic, 10 guildgate. Every listed outcome contributes to the published baseline unless the visitor applies a post-draw filter.

Largest modeled weights. Boros Guildgate #243 (3.60 expected per draft booster box), Boros Guildgate #244 (3.60 expected per draft booster box), Dimir Guildgate #245 (3.60 expected per draft booster box), Dimir Guildgate #246 (3.60 expected per draft booster box), Golgari Guildgate #248 (3.60 expected per draft booster box). These are frequency leaders in the product model, not a promise that any individual opening will contain them.

Release-specific card examples. Affectionate Indrik #121, Arboretum Elemental #122, Arclight Phoenix #91, Artful Takedown #151, Golgari Guildgate #249, Blade Instructor #1, Bounty Agent #2, Candlelight Vigil #3. Seeing the named pool makes it possible to compare this release with adjacent sets instead of treating every sealed product as the same generic pack calculation.

Reference snapshot value concentration. At the TCGplayer Market snapshot dated August 12, 2026, 518 modeled outcomes have a usable direct or documented fallback price. The largest deterministic contributions come from Steam Vents #257 ($6.26), Watery Grave #259 ($5.80), Sacred Foundry #254 ($5.73), Overgrown Tomb #253 ($5.57), Temple Garden #258 ($4.67). Together those five rows account for 20.0% of the modeled gross value. This dated reference does not update with the live calculator's prices or Sift settings.

The baseline product model is constructed first, including any documented chase exclusions. The calculator then draws the complete baseline product. Included-pool controls and optional Sift evaluate that completed draw afterward and do not alter its collation.

Showing all cards
Modeled card expected value rows for this product.
NameSetCard #RarityTreatmentValue ($)Seller fees (pct + txn)Boxes / copy
Total expected copies / box - included buckets & Sift0.00
Expected copies / box0.00