Exodus Draft Booster Box EV Calculator
Estimate the expected value (EV) of Exodus Booster Box using daily generated TCGplayer price snapshots and the backend draft-box model.
Model assumptions & evidence
This historical model draws all game-card slots first, then applies included-bucket toggles and optional Sift filtering as post-draw scoring filters.
Selling Fees
Value Threshold
EV Range (Monte Carlo)
Purchase EV
Included model bucketsChoose which modeled pools count toward EV.Model controls
Sealed Price / EV
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| Source | Box price | Break-even price/box (mid) | P/E | Basis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mana Pool | - | - | - | Unavailable |
| TCGplayer | - | - | - | Unavailable |
| eBay | - | - | - | Unavailable |
| Amazon | - | - | - | Unavailable |
Simulation Results (after Sift)
Pack & Box EV
| Metric | Low | Mid | High |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average pack EV (gross) | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Box EV x 36 (gross) | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Gross EV per box | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Total fees per box | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Net after fees per box | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Profit after fees per box | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Break-even price/box (mid) | $0.00 | ||
Purchase EV & Profit
| All boxes | Low | Mid | High |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gross EV | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Total fees | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Net after fees | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Profit after expenses | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| ROI vs cost | - | - | - |
Content Snapshot
Exodus Draft Booster Content Snapshot
The calculator retains this product's existing slot model and resolves complete contents before included-pool controls or optional Sift score the result.
- Packs
- 36 packs / box
- Cards
- 15 game cards / pack
- Modeled total
- 540 modeled card slots / box
- Rows
- Loading
Pack Structure
Each Exodus Draft Booster is modeled with 15 game-card slots.
Commons11 cards / pack
Uncommons3 cards / pack
Rare / Mythic1 card / pack
Draw all game-card slots first, then apply any Sift or filtering logic afterward.
Non-game inserts are not counted toward EV unless the model explicitly lists them.
Release-specific model analysis
What drives Exodus Booster Box
Product profile. This draft booster box resolves 540 card positions across 143 named outcomes. The model snapshot dated June 4, 2026 contains 55 Common, 44 Rare, 44 Uncommon. Its largest slot groups are 55 old common, 44 old rare, 44 old uncommon. Every listed outcome contributes to the published baseline unless the visitor applies a post-draw filter.
Largest modeled weights. Aether Tide #27 (7.20 expected per draft booster box), Allay #1 (7.20 expected per draft booster box), Anarchist #79 (7.20 expected per draft booster box), Angelic Blessing #2 (7.20 expected per draft booster box), Avenging Druid #105 (7.20 expected per draft booster box). These are frequency leaders in the product model, not a promise that any individual opening will contain them.
Release-specific card examples. Bequeathal #106, Cartographer #107, Cataclysm #3, Charging Paladin #4, Convalescence #5, Exalted Dragon #6, High Ground #7, Keeper of the Light #8. Seeing the named pool makes it possible to compare this release with adjacent sets instead of treating every sealed product as the same generic pack calculation.
Reference snapshot value concentration. At the TCGplayer Market snapshot dated August 12, 2026, 143 modeled outcomes have a usable direct or documented fallback price. The largest deterministic contributions come from City of Traitors #143 ($437.23), Survival of the Fittest #129 ($328.31), Recurring Nightmare #72 ($67.66), Culling the Weak #55 ($54.29), Hatred #64 ($51.87). Together those five rows account for 66.6% of the modeled gross value. This dated reference does not update with the live calculator's prices or Sift settings.
The baseline product model is constructed first, including any documented chase exclusions. The calculator then draws the complete baseline product. Included-pool controls and optional Sift evaluate that completed draw afterward and do not alter its collation.
| Name | Set | Card # | Rarity | Treatment | Value ($) | Seller fees (pct + txn) | Boxes / copy |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total expected copies / box - included buckets & Sift | 0.00 | ||||||