Dominaria United Draft Booster Box EV Calculator

Estimate the expected value (EV) of Dominaria United Draft Booster Box using daily generated TCGplayer price snapshots and the backend draft-box model.

Model assumptions & evidence

The calculator draws modeled box contents first from the backend slot contributions, then applies included-bucket toggles and optional Sift filtering as post-draw scoring filters.

Full-product EV is unavailable while legendary and wildcard treatment allocation remains unresolved. Unknown positions are not worth zero. The displayed priced subtotal includes verified ordinary slots and the foil Legends Retold topper; it is not a complete opening value.
36 packs / box15 game cards / pack541 modeled card slots / boxBackend Draft Booster model
SnapshotTCG Market + $0.25 SiftBased on TCG Market pricing with Sift applied only after complete modeled contents are drawn.
Calculation settingsSift off

Selling Fees

Row fees show pct + txn. Order fees are added only in the summary.

Value Threshold

Prices load from daily generated TCGplayer, Mana Pool, and Cardmarket snapshots. EV applies Sift after modeled contents are drawn.
Rows with Value >= Sift tint green. EV uses Sift only when the toggle is checked.

EV Range (Monte Carlo)

Purchase EV

Included model bucketsChoose which modeled pools count toward EV.Model controls
Rows are grouped by backend model bucket. Sift is applied only after model contents are drawn.

Simulation Results (after Sift)

Confidence band: -
Each bar groups simulated box totals after modeled contents are drawn, then Sift and included-bucket filters are applied.

Pack & Box Priced Subtotal

Expected value summary across low, mid, and high Monte Carlo estimates.
MetricLowMidHigh
Average pack priced subtotal$0.00$0.00$0.00
Display priced subtotal$0.00$0.00$0.00
Gross priced subtotal per box$0.00$0.00$0.00
Total fees per box$0.00$0.00$0.00
Net after fees per box$0.00$0.00$0.00
Profit after fees per box$0.00$0.00$0.00
Break-even price/box (mid)$0.00

Purchase Priced Subtotal & Profit

Purchase expected value and profit summary across all selected boxes.
All boxesLowMidHigh
Gross priced subtotal$0.00$0.00$0.00
Total fees$0.00$0.00$0.00
Net after fees$0.00$0.00$0.00
Profit after expenses$0.00$0.00$0.00
ROI vs cost---
Boxes: 0 | Price/box: $0.00 | Total cost: $0.00

Content Snapshot

Dominaria United Draft Booster Content Snapshot

The calculator retains this product's existing slot model and resolves complete contents before included-pool controls or optional Sift score the result.

Packs
36 packs / box
Cards
15 game cards / pack
Modeled total
541 modeled card slots / box
Rows
Loading

Pack Structure

Each Dominaria United Draft Booster is modeled with 15 game-card slots.

Land2 cards / pack
Pool: 21 modeled card outcomes.Basic or stained-glass basic land: 1 expected / pack.Basic land/common/foil wildcard slot: 1 expected / pack.
Rare / Mythic1 card / pack
Pool: 73 modeled card outcomes.Rare or mythic rare: 1 expected / pack.
9 commons9 cards / pack
Pool: 90 modeled card outcomes.9 commons: 9 expected / pack.
2 nonlegendary uncommons2 cards / pack
Pool: 80 modeled card outcomes.2 nonlegendary uncommons: 2 expected / pack.
Rare or uncommon legendary creature1 card / pack
Pool: 1 modeled card outcome.Rare or uncommon legendary creature: 1 expected / pack.
Box Topper1 / display
Pool: 1 modeled card outcome.Legends Retold Box Topper: 0.0278 expected / pack (2.78% expected per pack).

Draw all pack and display slots first, then apply any Sift or filtering logic afterward.

Non-game inserts are not counted toward EV unless the model explicitly lists them.

Release-specific model analysis

What drives Dominaria United Draft Booster Box

Product profile. This draft booster box resolves 541 card positions across 283 named outcomes. The model snapshot dated August 6, 2026 contains 101 Common, 70 Rare, 65 Uncommon, 25 Mythic Rare, 20 Basic Land, 2 Unknown. Its largest slot groups are 101 common, 80 rare mythic, 60 uncommon, 20 land, 20 topper. Every listed outcome contributes to the published baseline unless the visitor applies a post-draw filter.

Largest modeled weights. Unresolved common / land / foil wildcard (Unresolved printing) #unresolved (36.0 expected per draft booster box), Unresolved legendary position (Unresolved printing) #unresolved (36.0 expected per draft booster box), Academy Wall #41 (3.21 expected per draft booster box), Aggressive Sabotage #78 (3.21 expected per draft booster box), Argivian Cavalier #4 (3.21 expected per draft booster box). These are frequency leaders in the product model, not a promise that any individual opening will contain them.

Release-specific card examples. Academy Loremaster #40, Argivian Phalanx #5, Ayesha Tanaka, Armorer #29, Balduvian Atrocity #79, Forest (Stained Glass) #281, Karn, Living Legacy #1, Anointed Peacekeeper #2, Archangel of Wrath #3. Seeing the named pool makes it possible to compare this release with adjacent sets instead of treating every sealed product as the same generic pack calculation.

Reference snapshot value concentration. At the TCGplayer Market snapshot dated August 12, 2026, 281 modeled outcomes have a usable direct or documented fallback price. The largest deterministic contributions come from Sheoldred, the Apocalypse #107 ($21.21), Plains (Stained Glass) #277 ($5.98), Plaza of Heroes #252 ($3.90), Vodalian Hexcatcher #75 ($3.44), Relic of Legends #236 ($3.30). Together those five rows account for 23.5% of the modeled gross value. This dated reference does not update with the live calculator's prices or Sift settings.

The baseline product model is constructed first, including any documented chase exclusions. The calculator then draws the complete baseline product. Included-pool controls and optional Sift evaluate that completed draw afterward and do not alter its collation.

Showing all cards
Modeled card expected value rows for this product.
NameSetCard #RarityTreatmentValue ($)Seller fees (pct + txn)Boxes / copy
Total expected copies / box - included buckets & Sift0.00
Expected copies / box0.00