Dissension Draft Booster Box EV Calculator

Estimate the expected value (EV) of Dissension Booster Box using daily generated TCGplayer price snapshots and the backend draft-box model.

Model assumptions & evidence

This historical model draws all game-card slots first, then applies included-bucket toggles and optional Sift filtering as post-draw scoring filters.

The manufacturer box gives a 1:70 premium-card ratio. This model retains its existing same-rarity foil replacement and independent sheet assumptions, with 36 complete fifteen-card packs drawn before Sift or filters. All 180 physical identities are represented in normal and foil; each split card counts once.
36 packs / box15 game cards / pack540 modeled card slots / boxBackend Draft Booster model
SnapshotTCG Market + $0.25 SiftBased on TCG Market pricing with Sift applied only after complete modeled contents are drawn.
Calculation settingsSift off

Selling Fees

Row fees show pct + txn. Order fees are added only in the summary.

Value Threshold

Prices load from daily generated TCGplayer, Mana Pool, and Cardmarket snapshots. EV applies Sift after modeled contents are drawn.
Rows with Value >= Sift tint green. EV uses Sift only when the toggle is checked.

EV Range (Monte Carlo)

Purchase EV

Included model bucketsChoose which modeled pools count toward EV.Model controls
Rows are grouped by backend model bucket. Sift is applied only after model contents are drawn.

Simulation Results (after Sift)

Confidence band: -
Each bar groups simulated box totals after modeled contents are drawn, then Sift and included-bucket filters are applied.

Pack & Box EV

Expected value summary across low, mid, and high Monte Carlo estimates.
MetricLowMidHigh
Average pack EV (gross)$0.00$0.00$0.00
Box EV x 36 (gross)$0.00$0.00$0.00
Gross EV per box$0.00$0.00$0.00
Total fees per box$0.00$0.00$0.00
Net after fees per box$0.00$0.00$0.00
Profit after fees per box$0.00$0.00$0.00
Break-even price/box (mid)$0.00

Purchase EV & Profit

Purchase expected value and profit summary across all selected boxes.
All boxesLowMidHigh
Gross EV$0.00$0.00$0.00
Total fees$0.00$0.00$0.00
Net after fees$0.00$0.00$0.00
Profit after expenses$0.00$0.00$0.00
ROI vs cost---
Boxes: 0 | Price/box: $0.00 | Total cost: $0.00

Content Snapshot

Dissension Draft Booster Content Snapshot

The calculator retains this product's existing slot model and resolves complete contents before included-pool controls or optional Sift score the result.

Packs
36 packs / box
Cards
15 game cards / pack
Modeled total
540 modeled card slots / box
Rows
Loading

Pack Structure

Each Dissension Draft Booster is modeled with 15 game-card slots.

Foil common sheet slots0.1571 expected / pack
Pool: 60 modeled card outcomes.Foil common sheet slots: 0.1571 expected / pack (15.71% expected per pack).
Common sheet slots10.8429 expected / pack
Pool: 60 modeled card outcomes.Common sheet slots: 10.8429 expected / pack.
Foil uncommon sheet slots0.0429 expected / pack
Pool: 60 modeled card outcomes.Foil uncommon sheet slots: 0.0429 expected / pack (4.29% expected per pack).
Uncommon sheet slots2.9571 expected / pack
Pool: 60 modeled card outcomes.Uncommon sheet slots: 2.9571 expected / pack.
Foil rare sheet slots0.0143 expected / pack
Pool: 60 modeled card outcomes.Foil rare sheet slots: 0.0143 expected / pack (1.43% expected per pack).
Rare sheet slots0.9857 expected / pack
Pool: 60 modeled card outcomes.Rare sheet slots: 0.9857 expected / pack (98.57% expected per pack).

Draw all game-card slots first, then apply any Sift or filtering logic afterward.

Non-game inserts are not counted toward EV unless the model explicitly lists them.

Release-specific model analysis

What drives Dissension Booster Box

Product profile. This draft booster box resolves 540 card positions across 360 named outcomes. The model snapshot dated June 18, 2026 contains 120 Common, 120 Rare, 120 Uncommon. Its largest slot groups are 60 old common, 60 old foil common, 60 old foil rare, 60 old foil uncommon, 60 old rare. Every listed outcome contributes to the published baseline unless the visitor applies a post-draw filter.

Largest modeled weights. Aquastrand Spider #80 (6.51 expected per draft booster box), Assault Zeppelid #103 (6.51 expected per draft booster box), Aurora Eidolon #1 (6.51 expected per draft booster box), Azorius Chancery #170 (6.51 expected per draft booster box), Azorius First-Wing #105 (6.51 expected per draft booster box). These are frequency leaders in the product model, not a promise that any individual opening will contain them.

Release-specific card examples. Aethermage's Touch #101, Anthem of Rakdos #102, Azorius Aethermage #104, Azorius Guildmage #141, Azorius Signet #159, Beacon Hawk #3, Azorius Herald #2, Blessing of the Nephilim #4. Seeing the named pool makes it possible to compare this release with adjacent sets instead of treating every sealed product as the same generic pack calculation.

Reference snapshot value concentration. At the TCGplayer Market snapshot dated August 12, 2026, 360 modeled outcomes have a usable direct or documented fallback price. The largest deterministic contributions come from Magewright's Stone #162 ($16.36), Breeding Pool #172 ($12.08), Hallowed Fountain #174 ($12.05), Blood Crypt #171 ($11.76), Grand Arbiter Augustin IV #112 ($10.53). Together those five rows account for 20.5% of the modeled gross value. This dated reference does not update with the live calculator's prices or Sift settings.

The baseline product model is constructed first, including any documented chase exclusions. The calculator then draws the complete baseline product. Included-pool controls and optional Sift evaluate that completed draw afterward and do not alter its collation.

Showing all cards
Modeled card expected value rows for this product.
NameSetCard #RarityTreatmentValue ($)Seller fees (pct + txn)Boxes / copy
Total expected copies / box - included buckets & Sift0.00
Expected copies / box0.00