Commander Masters Draft Booster EV Calculator
Estimate the expected value (EV) of Commander Masters Draft Booster boxes using daily generated TCGplayer price snapshots. Updated daily, this calculator uses a standalone page-local Draft Booster sheet model for realistic pack value projections.
Model assumptions & evidence
Pack structure follows the published Commander Masters Draft contents; individual printing weights use the committed community MTGJSON sheet reconstruction. These allocation and independent-draw assumptions are not publisher-confirmed factory collation. Card metadata and prices load from generated CMM cards and card-prices snapshots. Set/Collector Booster-only retro-frame basic lands and Collector Booster-only extended-art Commander deck cards are excluded from this Draft Booster model.
24 packs / box
20 game cards / pack (+ 1 token)
1 Traditional Foil / pack
2–4 rares or higher / pack
3 nonfoil legendary cards / pack
Prismatic Piper replaces a common in ~1/6 packs
Borderless treatments in some packs
SnapshotTCG Market + $0.25 SiftBased on TCG Market pricing with Sift applied only after complete modeled contents are drawn.
Pack structure follows the published Commander Masters Draft contents; individual printing weights use the committed community MTGJSON sheet reconstruction.
Calculation settingsSift off
Selling Fees
Per‑row shows combined pct + txn (2.5% processing). $0.30/order added only in summary.
Value Threshold
TCGplayer, Mana Pool, and Cardmarket prices load from generated CMM card price snapshots. EV applies Sift only after each pack's contents are drawn.
Rows with Value ≥ Sift tint green. EV only uses Sift if you enable the toggle below, and it is applied after each pack’s cards are drawn.
EV Range (Monte Carlo)
Default 4,000 for smooth bands.
Purchase EV
Included treatmentsChoose which modeled pools count toward EV.Model controls
References:
Wizards: Collecting Commander Masters (Draft Booster contents).
Page-local CMM Draft Booster sheet model, generated CMM card metadata, and generated CMM card prices.
Sealed Price / EV
Advertising disclosure: The Expected Value may earn commissions from qualifying purchases made through affiliate links. Programs used by the site include TCGplayer, Mana Pool, the eBay Partner Network, and Amazon Associates. As an Amazon Associate, The Expected Value earns from qualifying purchases.
| Source | Box price | Break-even price/box (mid) | P/E | Basis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mana Pool | — | — | — | Loading… |
| TCGplayer | — | — | — | Loading… |
| eBay | — | — | — | Loading… |
| Amazon | — | — | — | Loading… |
How to read this: Think of P/E as “dollars paid for each $1 of expected card value.” 1.00x means the box price and the current mid EV are the same. 1.25x means you are paying $125 for each $100 of expected value. 0.90x means you are paying $90 for each $100 of expected value. Lower is cheaper relative to EV, but EV is only an average estimate, not guaranteed profit.
Simulation Results (after Sift)
Confidence band: —
Each bar groups simulated box totals after cards are drawn, then Sift is applied to pack hits. X-axis = box value, Y-axis = number of simulations in that range.
Pack & Box EV
| Metric | Low | Mid (mean) | High |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pack EV (gross) | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Box EV × 24 (gross) | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Gross EV per box (Purchase ÷ Boxes) | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Total fees per box (Purchase ÷ Boxes) | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Net after fees per box (Purchase ÷ Boxes) | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Profit after fees per box (Purchase ÷ Boxes) | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Break‑even price/box (mid) | $0.00 | ||
Purchase EV & Profit
| All boxes | Low | Mid (mean) | High |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gross EV | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Total fees | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Net after fees | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Profit after expenses | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| ROI vs cost | — | — | — |
Boxes: 0 • Price/box: $0.00 • Total cost: $0.00
Content Snapshot
Commander Masters Draft Booster Content Snapshot
The calculator retains this product's existing slot model and resolves complete contents before included-pool controls or optional Sift score the result.
- Packs
- 24 packs / box
- Cards
- 20 game cards / pack (+ 1 token)
- Product detail
- 1 Traditional Foil / pack
- Rows
- Loading
Pack Structure
Each Commander Masters Draft Booster is modeled with 20 game-card slots.
CMM Draft Booster special sheet0.1667 expected / pack
Pool: 1 modeled card outcome.CMM Draft Booster special sheet: 0.1667 expected / pack (16.67% expected per pack).
CMM Draft Booster foil sheet1 card / pack
Pool: 517 modeled card outcomes.CMM Draft Booster foil sheet: 1 expected / pack.
CMM Draft Booster legendaryRareMythic sheet1 card / pack
Pool: 92 modeled card outcomes.CMM Draft Booster legendaryRareMythic sheet: 1 expected / pack.
CMM Draft Booster nonlegendaryUncommon sheet3.6667 expected / pack
Pool: 94 modeled card outcomes.CMM Draft Booster nonlegendaryUncommon sheet: 3.6667 expected / pack.
CMM Draft Booster commonWithShowcase sheet10.8333 expected / pack
Pool: 142 modeled card outcomes.CMM Draft Booster commonWithShowcase sheet: 10.8333 expected / pack.
CMM Draft Booster legendaryUncommon sheet2 cards / pack
Pool: 59 modeled card outcomes.CMM Draft Booster legendaryUncommon sheet: 2 expected / pack.
CMM Draft Booster nonlegendaryRareMythic sheet1.3333 expected / pack
Pool: 130 modeled card outcomes.CMM Draft Booster nonlegendaryRareMythic sheet: 1.3333 expected / pack.
Draw all 20 game-card slots first, then apply any Sift or filtering logic after the draw.
Non-game inserts are not counted toward EV unless the model explicitly lists them.
Showing all cards
| Name | Set | Card # | Rarity | Treatment | Value ($) | Seller fees (pct + txn) | Boxes / copy |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total (Expected copies / box) — included sets & Sift | 0.00 | ||||||
Expected copies / box0.00