Commander Legends: Battle for Baldur's Gate Draft Booster Box EV Calculator

Full-product EV is unavailable. Numeric values below are provisional normal-printing subtotals. Traditional foil and alternate-treatment allocations remain unresolved.

Model assumptions & evidence

The calculator draws modeled box contents first from the backend slot contributions, then applies included-bucket toggles and optional Sift filtering as post-draw scoring filters.

Full-product EV is unavailable. The guaranteed traditional foil has unknown value, and eligible rulebook/borderless treatment replacements are not yet allocated. Displayed numbers are provisional normal-printing priced subtotals, not complete product EV. The published about-10% nonfoil alternate rare/mythic incidence and 44% chance of at least two rares/mythics are not reproduced by this partial model. Full EV, sealed P/E, profit and ROI remain unavailable; the missing ordinary foil is not a chase exclusion. One display contains 24 packs of 20 game cards: thirteen common positions, three uncommons, one nonlegendary rare/mythic, one legendary creature or planeswalker, one Background and one traditional foil. Faceless One replaces one common in about one in six packs, represented as a 1/6 point estimate. The legend is rare/mythic in 31% of packs; the Background is rare in one in twelve. Foil-etched and extended-art cards are not Draft contents. Token/ad/dungeon inserts and conditional store Buy-a-Box promos are outside the sealed game-card EV. Conditional allocation assumptions: use normal printings only until treatment allocation is resolved; dedicated legends and Backgrounds are separated from ordinary common/uncommon/rare pools. Keep the prior 7:1 rare/mythic split within each applicable slot; allocate uniformly within rarity. Nonrare Backgrounds are uniform across five common and fifteen uncommon identities. Slots and packs are independent, and duplicates are allowed; factory sheet order and correlations are not asserted. The 60 legends include 57 creatures and three planeswalkers; 25 Backgrounds exclude the separately allocated Faceless One. Draw all 480 physical positions before Sift or user filters, without rerolling or backfilling. The 24 unknown foil positions retain their full probability and are never redistributed to priced cards. Low, Mid and High come from the same recalculated provisional result set.
24 packs / box 20 game cards / pack 480 modeled card slots / box Backend Draft Booster model
SnapshotTCG Market + $0.25 SiftBased on TCG Market pricing with Sift applied only after complete modeled contents are drawn.

Full-product EV is unavailable.

Calculation settingsSift off

Selling Fees

Row fees show pct + txn. Order fees are added only in the summary.

Value Threshold

Prices load from daily generated TCGplayer, Mana Pool, and Cardmarket snapshots. EV applies Sift after modeled contents are drawn.
Rows with Value >= Sift tint green. EV uses Sift only when the toggle is checked.

EV Range (Monte Carlo)

Purchase EV

Included model bucketsChoose which modeled pools count toward EV.Model controls
Rows are grouped by backend model bucket. Sift is applied only after model contents are drawn.

Simulation Results (after Sift)

Confidence band: -
Each bar groups simulated box totals after modeled contents are drawn, then Sift and included-bucket filters are applied.

Pack & Box EV

Expected value summary across low, mid, and high Monte Carlo estimates.
MetricLowMidHigh
Average pack EV (gross)$0.00$0.00$0.00
Box EV x 24 (gross)$0.00$0.00$0.00
Gross EV per box$0.00$0.00$0.00
Total fees per box$0.00$0.00$0.00
Net after fees per box$0.00$0.00$0.00
Profit after fees per box$0.00$0.00$0.00
Break-even price/box (mid)$0.00

Purchase EV & Profit

All boxesLowMidHigh
Gross EV$0.00$0.00$0.00
Total fees$0.00$0.00$0.00
Net after fees$0.00$0.00$0.00
Profit after expenses$0.00$0.00$0.00
ROI vs cost---
Boxes: 0 | Price/box: $0.00 | Total cost: $0.00

Content Snapshot

Commander Legends: Battle for Baldur's Gate Draft Booster Content Snapshot

The partial model draws all 480 physical positions before Sift, including the unknown foil position in every pack. Normal-printing estimates remain conditional until treatment allocations are resolved.

Packs
24 packs / box
Cards
20 game cards / pack
Modeled total
480 modeled card slots / box
Rows
Loading

Pack Structure

Each Commander Legends: Battle for Baldur's Gate Draft Booster is modeled with 20 game-card slots.

Common positions13 cards / pack
136 ordinary commons; Faceless One replaces one common in about one in six packs.
Uncommons3 cards / pack
75 nonlegendary, non-Background normal printings under the stated role allocation assumption.
Nonlegendary rare / mythic1 cards / pack
47 rares and 17 mythics; assumed 7:1 aggregate rarity split.
Legendary creature / planeswalker1 cards / pack
30 uncommons, 25 rares and 5 mythics; published 31% rare/mythic aggregate.
Background1 cards / pack
Five commons, fifteen uncommons and five rares; rare in one in twelve packs.
Traditional foil1 cards / pack
Required physical position with UNKNOWN value. Eligible ordinary foil allocation is unresolved, not chase-excluded.

Draw all pack and display slots first, then apply any Sift or filtering logic afterward.

Non-game inserts are not counted toward EV unless the model explicitly lists them.

Release-specific model analysis

What drives Commander Legends: Battle for Baldur's Gate Draft Booster Box

Product profile. This draft booster box resolves 480 card positions across 362 named outcomes. The model snapshot dated October 12, 2026 contains 142 Common, 120 Uncommon, 77 Rare, 22 Mythic Rare, 1 Unresolved. Its largest slot groups are 136 draft common, 75 draft uncommon, 64 draft rare, 60 draft legend, 25 draft background. Every listed outcome contributes to the published baseline unless the visitor applies a post-draw filter.

Largest modeled weights. Unresolved traditional foil printing (Unresolved printing) #unresolved-foil (24.0 expected per draft booster box), Faceless One #1 (4.00 expected per draft booster box), Aarakocra Sneak #54 (2.26 expected per draft booster box), Ambitious Dragonborn #213 (2.26 expected per draft booster box), Armor of Shadows #112 (2.26 expected per draft booster box). These are frequency leaders in the product model, not a promise that any individual opening will contain them.

Release-specific card examples. Abdel Adrian, Gorion's Ward #2, Acolyte of Bahamut #212, Altar of Bhaal #109, Ambition's Cost #110, Arms of Hadar #113, Ancient Gold Dragon #3, Archivist of Oghma #4, Ascend from Avernus #5. Seeing the named pool makes it possible to compare this release with adjacent sets instead of treating every sealed product as the same generic pack calculation.

Reference snapshot value concentration. At the TCGplayer Market snapshot dated August 12, 2026, 361 modeled outcomes have a usable direct or documented fallback price. The largest deterministic contributions come from Ancient Copper Dragon #161 ($21.57), Breath Weapon #165 ($16.26), Displacer Kitten #63 ($13.85), Morphic Pool #357 ($12.46), Avenging Hunter #215 ($12.16). Together those five rows account for 20.7% of the modeled gross value. This dated reference does not update with the live calculator's prices or Sift settings.

The baseline product model is constructed first, including any documented chase exclusions. The calculator then draws the complete baseline product. Included-pool controls and optional Sift evaluate that completed draw afterward and do not alter its collation.

Showing all cards
Modeled card expected value rows for this product.
NameSetCard #RarityTreatmentValue ($)Seller fees (pct + txn)Boxes / copy
Total expected copies / box - included buckets & Sift0.00
Expected copies / box0.00