Adventures in the Forgotten Realms Draft Booster EV Calculator

Estimate the expected value (EV) of Adventures in the Forgotten Realms Draft Booster Box using live TCGplayer market prices and the backend draft-box model.

The calculator draws modeled box contents first from the backend slot contributions, then applies included-bucket toggles and optional Sift filtering as post-draw scoring filters.

36 packs / box15 game cards / pack540 modeled card slots / boxBackend Draft Booster model
AFR Draft Booster Displays model the published rare/mythic slot, three uncommons, ten common positions with a one-in-three foil replacement, one basic land, and 36 packs per display. AFR Draft Booster Box keeps the occupied zero-EV slot "traditional foil replacement" instead of inventing missing odds or price identity. Draw all pack and display slots first, then apply any Sift or filtering logic afterward.
Included model buckets
Rows are grouped by backend model bucket. Sift is applied only after model contents are drawn.

Selling Fees

Row fees show pct + txn. Order fees are added only in the summary.

Value Threshold

Prices load from generated snapshots when available, with TCGCSV price groups as a live fallback. EV applies Sift after modeled contents are drawn.
Rows with Value >= Sift tint green. EV uses Sift only when the toggle is checked.

EV Range (Monte Carlo)

Purchase EV

Pack & Box EV

Expected value summary across low, mid, and high Monte Carlo estimates.
MetricLowMidHigh
Average pack EV (gross)$0.00$0.00$0.00
Box EV x 36 (gross)$0.00$0.00$0.00
Gross EV per box$0.00$0.00$0.00
Total fees per box$0.00$0.00$0.00
Net after fees per box$0.00$0.00$0.00
Profit after fees per box$0.00$0.00$0.00
Break-even price/box (mid)$0.00

Purchase EV & Profit

All boxesLowMidHigh
Gross EV$0.00$0.00$0.00
Total fees$0.00$0.00$0.00
Net after fees$0.00$0.00$0.00
Profit after expenses$0.00$0.00$0.00
ROI vs cost---
Boxes: 0 | Price/box: $0.00 | Total cost: $0.00

Simulation Results (after Sift)

Confidence band: -
Each bar groups simulated box totals after modeled contents are drawn, then Sift and included-bucket filters are applied.
NameSetCard #RarityTreatmentValue ($)Seller fees (pct + txn)Boxes / copy
Total expected copies / box - included buckets & Sift0.00