Adventures in the Forgotten Realms Draft Booster EV Calculator

Estimate the expected value (EV) of Adventures in the Forgotten Realms Draft Booster Box using live TCGplayer market prices and the backend draft-box model.

The calculator draws modeled box contents first from the backend slot contributions, then applies included-bucket toggles and optional Sift filtering as post-draw scoring filters.

36 packs / box15 game cards / pack540 modeled card slots / boxBackend Draft Booster model
AFR Draft Booster Displays model the published rare/mythic slot with the about-10% rulebook, Dungeon Module, or borderless rare/mythic identity replacement, three uncommons, ten common positions with a one-in-three foil replacement, one basic land, and 36 packs per display. Wizards confirms nonfoil common/uncommon Booster Fun cards can appear in Draft Boosters but does not publish exact treatment rates or slot mapping, so those branches remain unsupported and their probability is not redistributed into priced outcomes. Draw all contents first, then apply any Sift or filtering logic afterward.
SnapshotTCG Market + $0.25 SiftBased on TCG Market pricing with Sift applied only after complete modeled contents are drawn.

Content Snapshot

Adventures in the Forgotten Realms Draft Booster Content Snapshot

The calculator retains this product's existing slot model and resolves complete contents before included-pool controls or optional Sift score the result.

Packs
36 packs / box
Cards
15 game cards / pack
Modeled total
540 modeled card slots / box
Rows
Loading

Pack Structure

Each Adventures in the Forgotten Realms Draft Booster is modeled with 15 game-card slots.

Uncommons3 cards / pack
Pool: 80 modeled card outcomes.3 uncommons: 3 expected / pack.
Land1 card / pack
Pool: 20 modeled card outcomes.Basic land: 1 expected / pack.
Rulebook, module, or borderless rare or mythic rare replacement0.1 expected / pack
Pool: 36 modeled card outcomes.Rulebook, module, or borderless rare or mythic rare replacement: 0.1 expected / pack (10% expected per pack).
Commons after foil replacement9.6667 expected / pack
Pool: 101 modeled card outcomes.Commons after foil replacement: 9.6667 expected / pack.
Regular rare or mythic rare0.9 expected / pack
Pool: 80 modeled card outcomes.Regular rare or mythic rare: 0.9 expected / pack (90% expected per pack).
Traditional foil replacement0.3333 expected / pack
Pool: 1 modeled card outcome.Traditional foil replacement: 0.3333 expected / pack (33.33% expected per pack).

Draw all pack and display slots first, then apply any Sift or filtering logic afterward.

Non-game inserts are not counted toward EV unless the model explicitly lists them.

Included model bucketsChoose which modeled pools count toward EV.Model controls
Rows are grouped by backend model bucket. Sift is applied only after model contents are drawn.

Selling Fees

Row fees show pct + txn. Order fees are added only in the summary.

Value Threshold

Prices load from generated snapshots when available, with TCGCSV price groups as a live fallback. EV applies Sift after modeled contents are drawn.
Rows with Value >= Sift tint green. EV uses Sift only when the toggle is checked.

EV Range (Monte Carlo)

Purchase EV

Pack & Box EV

Expected value summary across low, mid, and high Monte Carlo estimates.
MetricLowMidHigh
Average pack EV (gross)$0.00$0.00$0.00
Box EV x 36 (gross)$0.00$0.00$0.00
Gross EV per box$0.00$0.00$0.00
Total fees per box$0.00$0.00$0.00
Net after fees per box$0.00$0.00$0.00
Profit after fees per box$0.00$0.00$0.00
Break-even price/box (mid)$0.00

Purchase EV & Profit

Purchase expected value and profit summary across all selected boxes.
All boxesLowMidHigh
Gross EV$0.00$0.00$0.00
Total fees$0.00$0.00$0.00
Net after fees$0.00$0.00$0.00
Profit after expenses$0.00$0.00$0.00
ROI vs cost---
Boxes: 0 | Price/box: $0.00 | Total cost: $0.00

Simulation Results (after Sift)

Confidence band: -
Each bar groups simulated box totals after modeled contents are drawn, then Sift and included-bucket filters are applied.
Showing all cards
Modeled card expected value rows for this product.
NameSetCard #RarityTreatmentValue ($)Seller fees (pct + txn)Boxes / copy
Total expected copies / box - included buckets & Sift0.00
Expected / box0.00