Double Masters 2022 Draft Booster EV Calculator
Estimate the expected value (EV) of Double Masters 2022 Draft Booster Box using live TCGplayer market prices and the backend draft-box model.
The calculator draws modeled box contents first from the backend slot contributions, then applies included-bucket toggles and optional Sift filtering as post-draw scoring filters.
24 packs / box16 game cards / pack384 modeled card slots / boxBackend Draft Booster model
2X2 Draft Booster Displays model 24 packs with eight commons, three uncommons, two rare/mythic slots, two traditional foil slots kept at zero EV, and one Cryptic Spires slot per pack. The nine eligible commons and 21 eligible uncommons replace their regular-frame identity with borderless one-third of the time. The published 11% chance of at least one nonfoil borderless rare/mythic is modeled conservatively as one replacement because Wizards notes that two can occur but does not publish the joint probability; this is therefore a lower-bound treatment model. The traditional foil slots remain occupied zero-EV outcomes. Draw all pack and display slots first, then apply any Sift or filtering logic afterward.
SnapshotTCG Market + $0.25 SiftBased on TCG Market pricing with Sift applied only after complete modeled contents are drawn.
Content Snapshot
Double Masters 2022 Draft Booster Content Snapshot
The calculator retains this product's existing slot model and resolves complete contents before included-pool controls or optional Sift score the result.
- Packs
- 24 packs / box
- Cards
- 16 game cards / pack
- Modeled total
- 384 modeled card slots / box
- Rows
- Loading
Pack Structure
Each Double Masters 2022 Draft Booster is modeled with 16 game-card slots.
Uncommons3 cards / pack
Pool: 101 modeled card outcomes.3 uncommons with eligible borderless identity replacement regular-frame share: 2.7375 expected / pack.3 uncommons with eligible borderless identity replacement alternate-treatment share: 0.2625 expected / pack (26.25% expected per pack).
Regular rare or mythic rare slots after conservative borderless replacement1.89 expected / pack
Pool: 160 modeled card outcomes.Regular rare or mythic rare slots after conservative borderless replacement: 1.89 expected / pack.
8 commons with eligible borderless identity replacement regular-frame share7.7363 expected / pack
Pool: 91 modeled card outcomes.8 commons with eligible borderless identity replacement regular-frame share: 7.7363 expected / pack.
Cryptic Spires1 card / pack
Pool: 1 modeled card outcome.Cryptic Spires: 1 expected / pack.
2 traditional foil cards2 cards / pack
Pool: 1 modeled card outcome.2 traditional foil cards: 2 expected / pack.
Conservative nonfoil borderless rare or mythic rare replacement0.11 expected / pack
Pool: 50 modeled card outcomes.Conservative nonfoil borderless rare or mythic rare replacement: 0.11 expected / pack (11% expected per pack).
8 commons with eligible borderless identity replacement alternate-treatment share0.2637 expected / pack
Pool: 9 modeled card outcomes.8 commons with eligible borderless identity replacement alternate-treatment share: 0.2637 expected / pack (26.37% expected per pack).
Draw all pack and display slots first, then apply any Sift or filtering logic afterward.
Non-game inserts are not counted toward EV unless the model explicitly lists them.
Included model bucketsChoose which modeled pools count toward EV.Model controls
Rows are grouped by backend model bucket. Sift is applied only after model contents are drawn.
Selling Fees
Row fees show pct + txn. Order fees are added only in the summary.
Value Threshold
Prices load from generated snapshots when available, with TCGCSV price groups as a live fallback. EV applies Sift after modeled contents are drawn.
Rows with Value >= Sift tint green. EV uses Sift only when the toggle is checked.
EV Range (Monte Carlo)
Purchase EV
Pack & Box EV
| Metric | Low | Mid | High |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average pack EV (gross) | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Box EV x 24 (gross) | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Gross EV per box | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Total fees per box | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Net after fees per box | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Profit after fees per box | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Break-even price/box (mid) | $0.00 | ||
Purchase EV & Profit
| All boxes | Low | Mid | High |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gross EV | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Total fees | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Net after fees | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Profit after expenses | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| ROI vs cost | - | - | - |
Boxes: 0 | Price/box: $0.00 | Total cost: $0.00
Sealed Price / EV
Advertising disclosure: As an eBay Partner Network affiliate, The Expected Value may earn from qualifying purchases. Some marketplace links are affiliate links.
| Source | Box price | Break-even price/box (mid) | P/E | Basis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mana Pool | - | - | - | Unavailable |
| TCGplayer | - | - | - | Unavailable |
| eBay | - | - | - | Unavailable |
| Amazon | - | - | - | Unavailable |
Simulation Results (after Sift)
Confidence band: -
Each bar groups simulated box totals after modeled contents are drawn, then Sift and included-bucket filters are applied.
Showing all cards
| Name | Set | Card # | Rarity | Treatment | Value ($) | Seller fees (pct + txn) | Boxes / copy |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total expected copies / box - included buckets & Sift | 0.00 | ||||||
Expected / box0.00