Digimon Card Game / Booster Display

World Convergence [BT21] 24-Pack Booster Display EV Calculator

Estimate this physical product's no-chase expected value with a product-, region-, language-, and printing-specific model, then compare the modeled range with your entered cost. Estimated ROI is a planning metric, not a guaranteed return.

Release
April 25, 2025
Product
24-Pack Booster Display

Sealed Price / EV

Marketplace rows retain marketplace-only labels and use each marketplace's low sealed-product price.

Low sealed marketplace price compared with the current Mid break-even price.
MarketplaceProduct priceBreak-even priceP/EBasis

Simulation Results

Low, Mid, and High are all derived from this same recalculated result set.

Confidence band: --

Modeled contribution mix

Card Value Breakdown

See which rarities and treatments are carrying the current gross EV.

Waiting for modeled rows

Card contribution data appears after prices load.Contents are drawn first; included-pool controls and optional Sift are applied afterward.
Included poolsChoose which already-drawn pools count toward EV.
Model & EvidenceHow this calculation is supportedReview the product evidence, price coverage, and chase policy. EvidenceBest Evidence — Japanese collation proxyReviewed September 3, 2026 Price coverage (reviewed)100.0% modeled mass100.0% measured rows Chase policyNo-chase baseline2 chase families excluded

Generated model: /data-static/digimon/world-convergence/models/booster-display-no-chase.json

Best Evidence — Japanese collation proxy

Evidence

This calculator is based on Best Evidence — Japanese collation proxy reviewed September 3, 2026.

Sources

Limitations

  • The immutable product revision does not publish a qualifying English sealed-case rarity breakdown.
  • Modeling policy approved 2026-09-03: every supported ordinary card in the same slot, rarity, treatment, and finish pool receives one equal positive selection weight. This is a transparent modeling assumption where the publisher or empirical sample gives pool odds but not card-level sheet weights.
  • Best Evidence — Japanese collation proxy: exact English wrapper and card-price identities are combined with an owner-approved Japanese-product collation proxy because a complete English rate ledger is not published. This is an estimate, not a factory guarantee.
  • Only booster-pack slot counts and rarity probabilities are proxied. Card identities, treatments, TCGplayer Low prices, sealed-product identity, language, region, release date, and any explicitly modeled fixed bonus come from the exact English release.
  • The proxy is first-order and product-family-specific. No display or case correlation is inherited, and no target is used as a donor for another target.
  • Within each retained English rarity/treatment pool, exact positively priced card SKUs use equal positive weight where publisher sheet weights are unavailable.
  • Per pack proxy: 7 Common, 3 Uncommon, 1 guaranteed Rare, and 1 Rare-or-higher slot weighted 16/24 Rare, 7/24 Super Rare, and 1/24 Secret Rare.
  • Replace this proxy when a complete, attributable English collation ledger or publisher rate table becomes available for the exact release.
  • The reviewed Japanese BT21 estimate reports about 7 regular Super Rares and 0.5 regular Secret Rares per 24-pack box alongside multiple premium branches. After removing those premium branches, the 16 Rare, 7 Super Rare, and 1 Secret Rare retained-slot recipe is a conditional no-chase normalization, not a claim that raw sealed boxes contain one regular Secret Rare.
  • The English display includes two fixed bonuses outside the 24 booster packs. Bandai states that the Illustration Celebration Pack contains 2 cards from 6 and the Limited Card Pack contains 7 cards from 10 types; the reviewed English Limited Card Pack checklist identifies those seven as all 6 LM-039 through LM-044 promos plus 1 random alternate art from 4. These 9 bonus cards are included, for 297 modeled cards per display.
  • The publisher does not state individual selection weights for the two Illustration Celebration cards or the Limited Card Pack alternate art. Each exact English card in the applicable bonus pool therefore receives equal positive weight; no no-duplicate guarantee is inferred for the Illustration Celebration Pack.
  • These rate-supported English box bonuses are not chase-excluded. Unrelated promotional cards and unsupported alternate-art, Rare Pull, SP, signed, and serialized branches remain absent before the draw.
  • The displayed single-pack EV uses only the 12 booster-pack cards; the 9 box-only bonus cards contribute to display EV but are not prorated into loose-pack EV.
  • No within-display booster correlation or case guarantee is modeled; the two publisher-stated box bonuses are modeled separately from the 24 booster packs.
  • No-chase redraw policy approved 2026-09-03: Curio, Enchanted, alternate-art, parallel, showcase, serialized, signature, premium-rarity, promotional, and any other card or treatment without a supported pull rate are excluded. A chase hit is redrawn from the applicable supported ordinary pool, so excluded cards occupy no modeled outcome.
  • Simulation ordering is draw the complete disclosed no-chase product first, record that draw, and only then apply Sift or another user filter. Sift never changes or backfills the completed modeled draw.

Local price snapshots

Pricing

TCGplayer Low is the default singles price for the first calculation and remains selected until changed. Resetting the price source returns to TCGplayer Low.

Row coverage (reviewed)
100.0%
Modeled mass coverage (reviewed)
100.0%
Coverage observed
September 4, 2026
Low-price source
Available Via Tcgcsv

No catalog-level price fallbacks are recorded. Runtime gaps are disclosed below when data loads.

TCGplayer Low coverage will be checked against the loaded local price snapshot.

Generated model and price snapshot dates load with this calculator.

No-chase model

Chase Exclusions

Excluded chase families are removed from the model entirely. They are never retained as zero-EV occupied outcomes. Each affected physical position is instead filled from its disclosed supported ordinary pool before the product draw is completed.

  • Alternate-art, parallel, and promotional cards
  • Unsupported premium or foil treatments

Model assumptions & evidence

Simulation order: complete product contents are drawn first. Included-pool controls and optional Sift are applied only after the draw, and filtered outcomes are never replaced or backfilled.

Product snapshot

Modeled Product Structure

Cards per pack
12
Packs per booster display
24
Draw order
Complete draw, then filters

All modeled slots are resolved before pool toggles or Sift score the opened product. This ordering prevents replacement draws from inflating EV.

Release-specific model analysis

What drives World Convergence [BT21] 24-Pack Booster Display

Product profile. This booster display resolves 297 card positions across 118 named outcomes. The model snapshot dated September 4, 2026 contains 40 Common, 26 Uncommon, 23 Rare, 14 Super Rare, 12 Promo, 3 Secret Rare. Its largest slot groups are 40 common, 26 uncommon, 23 rare, 14 super rare, 12 promo. Every listed outcome contributes to the published baseline unless the visitor applies a post-draw filter.

Largest modeled weights. Agumon BT21 007 #BT21-007 C (4.20 expected per booster display), App Link #BT21-097 C (4.20 expected per booster display), Armor Digivolution #BT21-094 C (4.20 expected per booster display), BetelGammamon #BT21-019 C (4.20 expected per booster display), BurningGreymon #BT21-014 C (4.20 expected per booster display). These are frequency leaders in the product model, not a promise that any individual opening will contain them.

Release-specific card examples. Agumon BT21 040 #BT21-040 U, Aldamon #BT21-020 R, Angewomon ACE Limited Card Pack (Alternate Art) #BT15-038 SR, Calendamon #BT21-041 C, Darkdramon ACE Limited Card Pack #LM-043 P, Gaiamon #BT21-101 SEC, Gallantmon Limited Card Pack (Alternate Art) #BT13-111 SEC, Patamon Limited Card Pack (Alternate Art) #BT14-033 SR. Seeing the named pool makes it possible to compare this release with adjacent sets instead of treating every sealed product as the same generic pack calculation.

Current value concentration. At the TCGplayer Low snapshot dated September 4, 2026, 52 modeled outcomes have a usable direct or documented fallback price. The largest deterministic contributions come from Elizamon #BT21-008 R ($1.82), Analog Youth Limited Card Pack (Alternate Art) #EX1-066 R ($1.50), Patamon Limited Card Pack (Alternate Art) #BT14-033 SR ($1.37), Angewomon ACE Limited Card Pack (Alternate Art) #BT15-038 SR ($1.33), Tai Kamiya #BT21-102 SEC ($1.13). Together those five rows account for 35.9% of the modeled gross value, so changes in those cards can move the estimate materially.

The baseline product model is constructed first, including any documented chase exclusions. The calculator then draws the complete baseline product. Included-pool controls and optional Sift evaluate that completed draw afterward and do not alter its collation.

Pack & Booster Display EV

Pack and per-product Low, Mid, and High expected value ranges from one recalculation. Each physical unit is simulated separately. Fractional display-rate slots are coupled as needed to keep the full pack card count and preserve expected slot weights; factory pack correlations remain an approximation.
MetricLowMidHigh
Pack EV (gross)$0.00$0.00$0.00
Booster Display EV × 24 packs (gross)$0.00$0.00$0.00
Seller fees$0.00$0.00$0.00
Net after fees$0.00$0.00$0.00
Profit after purchase$0.00$0.00$0.00
Break-even price (Mid)$0.00

Purchase EV & Estimated ROI

Purchase Low, Mid, and High EV and estimated ROI values from the same recalculated simulation.
MetricLowMidHigh
Gross EV$0.00$0.00$0.00
Total fees$0.00$0.00$0.00
Net after fees$0.00$0.00$0.00
Profit after expenses$0.00$0.00$0.00
Modeled ROI vs entered cost------

booster displays: 0 · Price/booster display: $0.00 · Total cost: $0.00

How is estimated ROI calculated? It equals modeled profit divided by the entered product cost. Modeled profit subtracts that product cost, selected seller fees, and any entered order or shipping costs from the modeled resale value. It is not a guaranteed return; pull variance, market price changes, taxes, and other unmodeled selling costs can change actual resale results.

Expected contribution

Card Value Breakdown

Modeled card rows, current values, fees, and expected products per copy.
NameSetCard #RarityTreatmentValueSeller feesProducts / copy
Expected cards/booster display after toggles and Sift0.00
Preparing calculator...

The simulator draws the full physical product first, then applies disabled pools and optional Sift. Filtered outcomes occupy their actual slots and are never backfilled.

Calculation Controls

Calculation settingsSift off

Selling Fees

Price and Sift

EV RangeMonte CarloAdvanced

Purchase EV