Innistrad: Crimson Vow Collector Booster Display EV Calculator

Estimate the expected value (EV) of Innistrad: Crimson Vow Collector Booster Display using daily generated TCGplayer price snapshots and the backend collector-box model.

Model assumptions & evidence

The calculator draws modeled box contents first from the backend slot contributions, then applies included-bucket toggles and optional Sift filtering as post-draw scoring filters.

Each display draws twelve complete 15-card Collector Boosters and two foil Dracula Box Toppers. Each pack contains four foil commons, two foil uncommons, one foil Eternal Night basic land, one regular foil rare/mythic, one main-set and one Commander extended-art card, one foil premium rare/mythic, one foil Dracula uncommon or showcase common/uncommon, and three coupled nonfoil positions. Exactly one nonfoil Dracula card appears: a rare/mythic replaces the nonfoil Booster Fun rare/mythic and leaves two showcase common/uncommons; otherwise a Dracula uncommon accompanies one Booster Fun rare/mythic and one showcase common/uncommon. Foil tokens are excluded from game-card EV. The retained 9/17 uncommon and 8/17 rare/mythic Dracula allocation approximates the publisher's slightly-over-half description, for both the nonfoil Dracula and toppers; it is not an exact published rate. The approximate published foil Dracula rates are modeled at 14% uncommon and 11% rare/mythic. Dracula rares/mythics remain uniform within their combined 12-card pool. Other rare/mythic slots retain the 7:1 aggregate assumption; the Commander extended-art slot uses the published twice-per-rare weighting across 32 rares and 6 mythics. New showcase common/uncommon positions and basic lands use uniform printing weights. Independent draws within these pools are assumptions; the published nonfoil Dracula coupling is enforced. Draw the complete 182-card display before applying Sift or user filters. Rejected cards are never rerolled or replaced. No serialized or unknown-rate chase treatments are in these eligible pools.
12 packs / box15 game cards / pack182 modeled card slots / boxBackend Collector Booster model
SnapshotTCG Market + $0.25 SiftBased on TCG Market pricing with Sift applied only after complete modeled contents are drawn.

Each display draws twelve complete 15-card Collector Boosters and two foil Dracula Box Toppers.

Calculation settingsSift off

Selling Fees

Row fees show pct + txn. Order fees are added only in the summary.

Value Threshold

Prices load from daily generated TCGplayer, Mana Pool, and Cardmarket snapshots. EV applies Sift after modeled contents are drawn.
Rows with Value >= Sift tint green. EV uses Sift only when the toggle is checked.

EV Range (Monte Carlo)

Purchase EV

Included model bucketsChoose which modeled pools count toward EV.Model controls
Rows are grouped by backend model bucket. Sift is applied only after model contents are drawn.

Simulation Results (after Sift)

Confidence band: -
Each bar groups simulated box totals after modeled contents are drawn, then Sift and included-bucket filters are applied.

Pack & Box EV

Expected value summary across low, mid, and high Monte Carlo estimates.
MetricLowMidHigh
Average pack EV (gross)$0.00$0.00$0.00
Box EV x 12 (gross)$0.00$0.00$0.00
Gross EV per box$0.00$0.00$0.00
Total fees per box$0.00$0.00$0.00
Net after fees per box$0.00$0.00$0.00
Profit after fees per box$0.00$0.00$0.00
Break-even price/box (mid)$0.00

Purchase EV & Profit

Purchase-level expected value and profit across low, mid, and high Monte Carlo estimates.
All boxesLowMidHigh
Gross EV$0.00$0.00$0.00
Total fees$0.00$0.00$0.00
Net after fees$0.00$0.00$0.00
Profit after expenses$0.00$0.00$0.00
ROI vs cost---
Boxes: 0 | Price/box: $0.00 | Total cost: $0.00

Content Snapshot

Innistrad: Crimson Vow Collector Booster Content Snapshot

The calculator retains this product's existing slot model and resolves complete contents before included-pool controls or optional Sift score the result.

Packs
12 packs / box
Cards
15 game cards / pack
Modeled total
182 modeled card slots / box
Rows
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Pack Structure

Each Innistrad: Crimson Vow Collector Booster is modeled with 15 game-card slots.

Foil commons4 / pack
100 main-set commons
Foil uncommons2 / pack
83 main-set uncommons
Foil Eternal Night land1 / pack
10 numbered basic lands, 268–277
Regular foil rare/mythic1 / pack
64 rares and 20 mythics
Main-set extended art1 / pack
40 rares and 12 mythics
Commander extended art1 / pack
32 rares and 6 mythics; each rare twice as likely
Nonfoil coupled positions3 / pack
One Dracula card plus two other cards: Dracula uncommon + Booster Fun rare/mythic + showcase common/uncommon, or Dracula rare/mythic + two showcase common/uncommons.
Foil common/uncommon treatment1 / pack
14% Dracula uncommon; 86% showcase common/uncommon
Foil premium rare/mythic1 / pack
11% Dracula; 89% showcase, borderless or main-set extended art
Dracula Box Toppers2 / display
17 foil Dracula printings

Draw all 182 game cards before Sift or filters; rejected cards are not replaced. The foil token is outside game-card EV. Dracula rarity and within-pool assumptions are described above.

Showing all cards
Collector Booster model rows with current value, seller fees, and expected boxes per copy.
NameSetCard #RarityTreatmentValue ($)Seller fees (pct + txn)Boxes / copy
Total expected copies / box - included buckets & Sift0.00
Expected copies / box0.00