Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles — Collector Booster EV

Estimate the expected value (EV) of Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles Collector Booster boxes using generated TCG, Mana Pool, and Cardmarket prices. This calculator uses the published TMNT collector-slot odds and treatment pools to model full packs before applying optional Sift filtering.

Model assumptions & evidence

Each sealed box is modeled with 12 collector boosters and exact slot draws for commons, uncommons, commander reprints, lands, booster-fun cards, source material cards, and the foil booster-fun rare/mythic slot.

Set theme: Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles highlights comic-style variants, pizza-themed basics, sewer frames, silhouette cards, Japan Showcase cards, source material cards, and Kevin Eastman headliners.

Note: Signature Headliner chase outcomes are modeled only in the foil booster-fun rare/mythic slot, where Wizards lists them only as a low-rate hit. When the Signature Headliner bucket is enabled, the model uses 1 in 500 packs for any Signature Headliner hit. They remain excluded by default so the baseline EV does not rely on an unpublished exact pull rate.

Model basis: One display contains twelve 15-card boosters. Signature Headliners and Japan Showcase Fracture Foils have no exact published aggregate rate and are excluded from baseline EV. Eligible outcomes are normalized within the same foil Booster Fun slot before drawing; Sift and ordinary pool filters apply afterward without replacements. The optional Headliner comparison uses an assumed 1-in-500 rate and does not enter the stored baseline. Japan Showcase traditional foils use the published English printing for non-Japanese packs. Published input percentages follow Wizards' collecting guide. The three ordinary BF/TMC less-than-1% branches retain the equal residual allocation (0.8% divided by three), and the ordinary foil extended-art mythic retains its 0.85% input assumption. Remaining finale weights total 98.95% before chase normalization. Printings within each bucket are uniform assumptions.

12 packs / box 15 game cards / pack Collector treatments by TMT/TMC/PZA CN ranges TMNT treatment slot model

SnapshotTCG Market + $0.25 SiftBased on TCG Market pricing with Sift applied only after complete modeled contents are drawn.

Note: Signature Headliner chase outcomes are modeled only in the foil booster-fun rare/mythic slot, where Wizards lists them only as a low-rate hit.

Calculation settingsSift off

Selling Fees

TCG seller type

Row shows pct + txn (2.5% processing). Seller-type order fees are applied in the summary.

Value Threshold

Price source for EV

Prices load from generated card-prices snapshots. TCG, Mana Pool, and Cardmarket choices use the same card rows; EV applies Sift only after each pack's contents are drawn.

Sift

Sift is applied after draw; EV respects the Sift toggle.

EV Range (Monte Carlo)

Central interval

Simulations

Use Sift (≥) in EV

Purchase EV

Boxes Purchased

Price per box ($)

Free shipping?

Included bucketsChoose which modeled pools count toward EV.Model controls

TMNT — 5× Traditional foil commons TMNT — 3× Traditional foil uncommons TMC reprint slot — 1× non-foil / surge foil Basic land slot — 1× pizza or rooftop full-art land TMNT — 1× traditional foil rare / mythic 2× Booster Fun / TMC slot Source Material slot — 1× Foil booster-fun rare / mythic slot — 1× TMNT Signature Headliner chase (1 in 500 packs when enabled; excluded by default)

Sealed Price / EV

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Marketplace sealed box price compared to the current break-even price/box (mid).
Source	Box price	Break-even price/box (mid)	P/E	Basis
Mana Pool	—	—	—	Unavailable
TCGplayer	—	—	—	Unavailable
eBay	—	—	—	Unavailable
Amazon	—	—	—	Unavailable

Simulation Results (after Sift)

Confidence band: —

Each bar groups simulated box totals after cards are drawn, then Sift is applied to pack hits. X-axis = box value, Y-axis = number of simulations in that range.

Pack & Box EV

Pack and box expected value summary across low, mid, and high estimates.
Metric	Low	Mid	High
Pack EV (gross)	$0.00	$0.00	$0.00
Box EV × 12 (gross)	$0.00	$0.00	$0.00
Gross EV/box (Purchase ÷ Boxes)	$0.00	$0.00	$0.00
Fees/box	$0.00	$0.00	$0.00
Net after fees/box	$0.00	$0.00	$0.00
Profit after fees/box	$0.00	$0.00	$0.00
Break‑even price/box (mid)	$0.00

Purchase EV & Profit

Purchase-level expected value and profit across low, mid, and high estimates.
All boxes	Low	Mid	High
Gross EV	$0.00	$0.00	$0.00
Total fees	$0.00	$0.00	$0.00
Net after fees	$0.00	$0.00	$0.00
Profit after expenses	$0.00	$0.00	$0.00
ROI vs cost	—	—	—

Boxes: 0 • Price/box: $0.00 • Total cost: $0.00

Content Snapshot

Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles — Collector Booster EV Content Snapshot

The calculator retains this product's existing slot model and resolves complete contents before included-pool controls or optional Sift score the result.

Packs: 12 packs / box
Cards: 15 game cards / pack
Product detail: Collector treatments by TMT/TMC/PZA CN ranges
Rows: Loading

Pack Structure

Each Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles — Collector Booster EV is modeled with 15 game-card slots.

Foil Commons5 cards / pack

Pool: 69 modeled card outcomes.Foil commons: 5 expected / pack.

Foil Uncommons3 cards / pack

Pool: 68 modeled card outcomes.Foil uncommons: 3 expected / pack.

Land1 card / pack

Pool: 15 modeled card outcomes.Basic land: 1 expected / pack.

Nonfoil Booster Fun2 cards / pack

Pool: 212 modeled card outcomes.Booster Fun / TMC: 2 expected / pack.

Foil Booster Fun0.998 expected / pack

Pool: 85 modeled card outcomes.Foil Booster Fun rare / mythic: 0.998 expected / pack (99.8% expected per pack).

Source material1 card / pack

Pool: 40 modeled card outcomes.Source material: 1 expected / pack.

Commander reprint1 card / pack

Pool: 26 modeled card outcomes.Commander reprint: 1 expected / pack.

Foil rare / mythic1 card / pack

Pool: 68 modeled card outcomes.Foil rare / mythic: 1 expected / pack.

All game-card slots are modeled first; Sift and default-off bucket filtering are applied only after pack contents are drawn or loaded.

Non-game inserts are not counted toward EV unless the model explicitly lists them.

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Modeled card rows with current value, seller fees, and expected copies per product.
Name	Set	Card #	Rarity	Treatment	Value	Seller fees	Boxes / copy
Total (Expected copies / box) — included pools & Sift							0.00
Sanity total (Expected / box) — all modeled rows (game cards)							0.00
Gap to 180 cards/box							0.00

Expected copies / box0.00

Sanity check totals (ignore Sift & set toggles; exclude non‑game items)