Marvel’s Spider-Man Collector Booster EV Calculator
Estimate the expected value (EV) of Marvel’s Spider-Man Collector Booster boxes using daily generated TCGplayer price snapshots. Updated daily, this calculator uses published collector slot odds where available, documented conservative estimates for unpublished sub-buckets, treatment mappings, and rarity weighting for realistic pack value projections.
Model assumptions & evidence
Each sealed box is modeled using the listed collector pack/slot configuration below (including Spider-Man-specific showcase variants and premium slot behavior where applicable). Simulations always draw full pack contents first, then apply optional Sift filtering afterward so EV follows true opening order.
Set theme: Marvel’s Spider-Man is themed around street-level superhero action in New York, featuring Spider-heroes, villains, and comic-inspired collector treatments.
Odds caveat: Wizards-published foil Booster Fun weights total 98.1%. The remaining 1.9% is allocated as 0.80% scene mythic, 0.80% Costume Change, 0.28% Soul Stone Gauntlet, and 0.02% Soul Stone cosmic foil. Those four values are explicit model assumptions, not separately published rates.
data-static/magic/spm/models/collector-box.json, generated June 4, 2026. The exact residual allocation above is the reproducible sensitivity assumption used by this calculator. Individual printings within each published bucket are equally weighted. Scene rarity membership follows the printed cards: uncommon 199, 203, 204; rare 201, 205, 206, 207; mythic 200, 202. The expected-copy table uses the same chase-normalized slots as the simulation.12 packs / box 15 game cards / pack (tokens & art excluded) Published odds + disclosed estimates Soul Stone (SPM 242) ultra‑rare modeled @ ~1/400 boxes Pricing: TCG generated card-prices (TCGCSV)
Selling Fees
Value Threshold
EV Range (Monte Carlo)
Purchase EV
Included bucketsChoose which modeled pools count toward EV.Model controls
Sealed Price / EV
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| Source | Box price | Break-even price/box (mid) | P/E | Basis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mana Pool | — | — | — | Unavailable |
| TCGplayer | — | — | — | Unavailable |
| eBay | — | — | — | Unavailable |
| Amazon | — | — | — | Unavailable |
Simulation Results (after Sift)
Pack & Box EV
| Metric | Low | Mid | High |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pack EV (gross) | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Box EV × 12 (gross) | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Gross EV per box (Purchase ÷ Boxes) | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Total fees per box (Purchase ÷ Boxes) | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Net after fees per box (Purchase ÷ Boxes) | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Profit after fees per box (Purchase ÷ Boxes) | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Break‑even price/box (mid) | $0.00 | ||
Purchase EV & Profit
| All boxes | Low | Mid | High |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gross EV | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Total fees | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Net after fees | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Profit after expenses | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| ROI vs cost | — | — | — |
Content Snapshot
Marvel’s Spider-Man Collector Booster Content Snapshot
The calculator retains this product's existing slot model and resolves complete contents before included-pool controls or optional Sift score the result.
- Packs
- 12 packs / box
- Cards
- 15 game cards / pack (tokens & art excluded)
- Modeled total
- Published odds + disclosed estimates
- Rows
- Loading
Pack Structure
Each Marvel’s Spider-Man Collector Booster is modeled with 15 game-card slots.
Foil Commons5 cards / pack
Foil Uncommons4 cards / pack
Land1 card / pack
Nonfoil Booster Fun2 cards / pack
Foil Booster Fun1 card / pack
Source material1 card / pack
Foil default rare / mythic1 card / pack
The simulator normalizes the enabled chase comparison before drawing all 15 game-card slots, then applies Sift and ordinary bucket filters without rerolling.
Art_or_token: The Collector Booster art card or traditional foil double-sided token slot is excluded from EV. Non-game inserts are not counted toward EV unless the model explicitly lists them.
| Name | Set | Card # | Rarity | Treatment | Value ($) | Seller fees (pct + txn) | Boxes / copy |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Included rows (expected copies / box) — included buckets & Sift | 0.00 | ||||||