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Secrets of Strixhaven — Collector Booster EV

Estimate the expected value (EV) of Secrets of Strixhaven Collector Booster boxes using generated TCG, Mana Pool, and Cardmarket prices. This calculator uses the published SOS collector-slot odds and treatment pools to model full packs before applying optional Sift filtering.

Model assumptions & evidence

Each sealed box is modeled with 12 collector boosters and exact slot draws for commons, uncommons, Mystical Archive cards, full-art lands, commander reprints, booster-fun cards, Special Guests, and the foil booster-fun rare/mythic slot.

Set theme: Secrets of Strixhaven highlights the Mystical Archive bonus sheet with English and Japanese art variants, borderless Elder Dragons and planeswalkers, field notes treatments, full-art lands, and Commander reprints.

Note: The serialized double rainbow foil Emeritus of Ideation (SOS 306) is excluded from the baseline under the serialized-card policy. Wizards publishes only a sub-1% description, not an exact aggregate pull rate. The remaining published rounded foil Booster Fun weights total 100.1% and are normalized proportionally: each modeled outcome uses its listed weight divided by 100.1. No exact serialized rate is inferred.
Model provenance: Slot and treatment inputs follow Wizards' Collecting Secrets of Strixhaven article (March 31, 2026). Generated model: data-static/magic/sos/models/collector-box.json. Cards within each published rarity and treatment bucket are modeled with equal weights; factory slot and pack correlations are not published, so independent draws are assumed. The uncommon Mystical Archive weights total 100.1% and the rare/mythic Archive weights total 99.9%; each is normalized within its slot. All 180 game cards are drawn before Sift or pool filtering, without rerolls or backfill. Gross EV deducts no fees; the separate net result applies the selected seller fees. Because the serialized rate is unknown and excluded, the calculator does not claim a chase-inclusive dollar sensitivity.
12 packs / box 15 game cards / pack Collector treatments by SOS/SOC/SOA CN ranges SOS treatment slot model
SnapshotTCG Market + $0.25 SiftBased on TCG Market pricing with Sift applied only after complete modeled contents are drawn.

Note: The serialized double rainbow foil Emeritus of Ideation (SOS 306) is excluded from the baseline under the serialized-card policy.

Calculation settingsSift off

Selling Fees

Row shows pct + txn (2.5% processing). Seller-type order fees are applied in the summary.

Value Threshold

Prices load from generated card-prices snapshots. TCG, Mana Pool, and Cardmarket choices use the same card rows; EV applies Sift only after each pack's contents are drawn.
Sift is applied after draw; EV respects the Sift toggle.

EV Range (Monte Carlo)

Purchase EV

Included bucketsChoose which modeled pools count toward EV.Model controls

Simulation Results (after Sift)

Confidence band: —
Each bar groups simulated box totals after cards are drawn, then Sift is applied to pack hits. X-axis = box value, Y-axis = number of simulations in that range.

Pack & Box EV

Pack and box expected value summary across low, mid, and high estimates.
MetricLowMidHigh
Pack EV (gross)$0.00$0.00$0.00
Box EV × 12 (gross)$0.00$0.00$0.00
Gross EV/box (Purchase ÷ Boxes)$0.00$0.00$0.00
Fees/box$0.00$0.00$0.00
Net after fees/box$0.00$0.00$0.00
Profit after fees/box$0.00$0.00$0.00
Break‑even price/box (mid)$0.00

Purchase EV & Profit

Purchase-level expected value and profit across low, mid, and high estimates.
All boxesLowMidHigh
Gross EV$0.00$0.00$0.00
Total fees$0.00$0.00$0.00
Net after fees$0.00$0.00$0.00
Profit after expenses$0.00$0.00$0.00
ROI vs cost———
Boxes: 0 • Price/box: $0.00 • Total cost: $0.00

Content Snapshot

Secrets of Strixhaven — Collector Booster EV Content Snapshot

The calculator retains this product's existing slot model and resolves complete contents before included-pool controls or optional Sift score the result.

Packs
12 packs / box
Cards
15 game cards / pack
Product detail
Collector treatments by SOS/SOC/SOA CN ranges
Rows
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Pack Structure

Each Secrets of Strixhaven — Collector Booster EV is modeled with 15 game-card slots.

Foil Commons4 cards / pack
Pool: 86 modeled card outcomes.Foil commons: 4 expected / pack.
Foil Uncommons3 cards / pack
Pool: 100 modeled card outcomes.Foil uncommons: 3 expected / pack.
Land1 card / pack
Pool: 5 modeled card outcomes.Foil full-art land: 1 expected / pack.
Foil Rare / Mythic1 card / pack
Pool: 80 modeled card outcomes.Foil Rare/Mythic: 1 expected / pack.
Nonfoil Booster Fun1 card / pack
Pool: 80 modeled card outcomes.NF Booster Fun R/M: 1 expected / pack.
Foil Booster Fun1 card / pack
Pool: 130 modeled card outcomes.Foil Booster Fun R/M: 1 expected / pack.
R/M Mystical Archive1 card / pack
Pool: 120 modeled card outcomes.R/M Mystical Archive: 1 expected / pack.
Uncommon Mystical Archive2 cards / pack
Pool: 100 modeled card outcomes.Uncommon Mystical Archive: 2 expected / pack.
NF Commander R/M1 card / pack
Pool: 58 modeled card outcomes.NF Commander R/M: 1 expected / pack.

Future EV calculations should draw all 15 game-card slots first, then apply any Sift or filtering logic after the draw.

Non-game inserts are not counted toward EV unless the model explicitly lists them.

Showing all cards
Modeled card rows with current value, seller fees, and expected copies per product.
Name Set Card # Rarity Treatment Value Seller fees Boxes / copy
Total (Expected copies / box) — included pools & Sift 0.00
Expected copies / box0.00