March of the Machine Collector Booster EV Calculator

Estimate the expected value (EV) of March of the Machine Collector Booster Display using live TCGplayer market prices and the backend collector-box model.

The calculator draws modeled box contents first from the backend slot contributions, then applies included-bucket toggles and optional Sift filtering as post-draw scoring filters.

12 packs / box 15 game cards / pack 180 modeled card slots / box Backend Collector Booster model

MOM Collector Booster Displays use MOM 22875, MOC 22979 booster-eligible and extended-art rows, and MUL 22989 regular, foil-etched, and Halo foil Multiverse Legends rows. Token, art, promo-pack, art-series, Planechase, display commander, serialized, and non-game rows are excluded from the model.

SnapshotTCG Market + $0.25 SiftBased on TCG Market pricing with Sift applied only after complete modeled contents are drawn.

Content Snapshot

March of the Machine Collector Booster Content Snapshot

The calculator retains this product's existing slot model and resolves complete contents before included-pool controls or optional Sift score the result.

Packs: 12 packs / box
Cards: 15 game cards / pack
Modeled total: 180 modeled card slots / box
Rows: Loading

Pack Structure

Each March of the Machine Collector Booster is modeled with 15 game-card slots.

Foil Commons5 cards / pack

Pool: 126 modeled card outcomes.5 traditional foil commons: 5 expected / pack.

Foil Uncommons2 cards / pack

Pool: 85 modeled card outcomes.2 traditional foil uncommons: 2 expected / pack.

Land1 card / pack

Pool: 10 modeled card outcomes.Traditional foil full-art basic land: 1 expected / pack.

Foil Booster Fun0.99 expected / pack

Pool: 123 modeled card outcomes.Traditional foil Booster Fun, extended-art, or Commander rare/mythic slot: 0.99 expected / pack (99% expected per pack).

Multiverse Legends0.99 expected / pack

Pool: 135 modeled card outcomes.Foil rare/mythic Multiverse Legends slot: 0.99 expected / pack (99% expected per pack).

Traditional foil MOM or Set Booster Commander rare/mythic slot1 card / pack

Pool: 134 modeled card outcomes.Traditional foil MOM or Set Booster Commander rare/mythic slot: 1 expected / pack.

Traditional foil uncommon Multiverse Legends1 card / pack

Pool: 20 modeled card outcomes.Traditional foil uncommon Multiverse Legends: 1 expected / pack.

Foil uncommon Multiverse Legends special-finish slot0.99 expected / pack

Pool: 40 modeled card outcomes.Foil uncommon Multiverse Legends special-finish slot: 0.99 expected / pack (99% expected per pack).

Nonfoil Extended Art2 cards / pack

Pool: 128 modeled card outcomes.Nonfoil Jumpstart or Commander extended-art rare/mythic slot: 1 expected / pack.Nonfoil MOM planar, borderless, or extended-art rare/mythic slot: 1 expected / pack.

Future EV calculations should draw all 12 Collector Boosters first, keep token branches excluded from card EV, then apply any Sift or filtering logic after the draw. Serialized less-than-1% outcomes are excluded from baseline EV rather than backfilled.

Traditional foil double-sided token: The non-playable token slot is excluded from EV and does not backfill from another pool. Serialized cards: Serialized Multiverse Legends and Praetor outcomes are published only as less-than-1% branches, so they are excluded instead of inferred. Non-game inserts are not counted toward EV unless the model explicitly lists them.

Included model bucketsChoose which modeled pools count toward EV.Model controls

Loading backend model buckets...

Rows are grouped by backend model bucket. Sift is applied only after model contents are drawn.

Selling Fees

TCG seller type

Row fees show pct + txn. Order fees are added only in the summary.

Value Threshold

Price source for EV

Prices load from generated snapshots when available, with TCGCSV price groups as a live fallback. EV applies Sift after modeled contents are drawn.

Sift

Rows with Value >= Sift tint green. EV uses Sift only when the toggle is checked.

EV Range (Monte Carlo)

Central interval

Simulations

Use Sift (>=) in EV

Purchase EV

Boxes Purchased

Price per box ($)

Pack & Box EV

Expected value summary across low, mid, and high Monte Carlo estimates.
Metric	Low	Mid	High
Average pack EV (gross)	$0.00	$0.00	$0.00
Box EV x 12 (gross)	$0.00	$0.00	$0.00
Gross EV per box	$0.00	$0.00	$0.00
Total fees per box	$0.00	$0.00	$0.00
Net after fees per box	$0.00	$0.00	$0.00
Profit after fees per box	$0.00	$0.00	$0.00
Break-even price/box (mid)	$0.00

Purchase EV & Profit

Purchase-level expected value and profit across low, mid, and high Monte Carlo estimates.
All boxes	Low	Mid	High
Gross EV	$0.00	$0.00	$0.00
Total fees	$0.00	$0.00	$0.00
Net after fees	$0.00	$0.00	$0.00
Profit after expenses	$0.00	$0.00	$0.00
ROI vs cost	-	-	-

Boxes: 0 | Price/box: $0.00 | Total cost: $0.00

Sealed Price / EV

Advertising disclosure: As an eBay Partner Network affiliate, The Expected Value may earn from qualifying purchases. Some marketplace links are affiliate links.

Marketplace sealed box price compared to the current break-even price/box (mid).
Source	Box price	Break-even price/box (mid)	P/E	Basis
Mana Pool	-	-	-	Unavailable
TCGplayer	-	-	-	Unavailable
eBay	-	-	-	Unavailable
Amazon	-	-	-	Unavailable

Simulation Results (after Sift)

Confidence band: -

Each bar groups simulated box totals after modeled contents are drawn, then Sift and included-bucket filters are applied.

Find cards

Showing all cards

Collector Booster model rows with current value, seller fees, and expected boxes per copy.
Name	Set	Card #	Rarity	Treatment	Value ($)	Seller fees (pct + txn)	Boxes / copy
Total expected copies / box - included buckets & Sift							0.00
Sanity total expected copies / box - all modeled rows							0.00
Gap to 180 modeled card slots / box							0.00

Expected / box0.00

Sanity check totals (ignore Sift and bucket toggles)

Model source: data-static/magic/mom/models/collector-box.json. The model documents draw order as drawing the sealed product contents first, then applying Sift or filtering logic afterward.