Modern Horizons 2 Collector Booster EV Calculator

Estimate the expected value (EV) of Modern Horizons 2 Collector Booster Display using live TCGplayer market prices and the backend collector-box model.

The calculator draws modeled box contents first from the backend slot contributions, then applies included-bucket toggles and optional Sift filtering as post-draw scoring filters.

12 packs / box15 game cards / pack180 modeled card slots / boxBackend Collector Booster model

MH2 Collector Boosters model the published 15-card, 12-pack display with four rare/mythic cards, three foil-etched slots, nine traditional foils, and three nonfoils. Fixed normal, extended-art, foil common/uncommon/rare, foil-etched land, and booster-fun rare/mythic branches are modeled; mixed etched, wildcard, and premium foil branches remain occupied zero-EV slots. MH2 Collector Booster Box keeps the occupied zero-EV slot "foil-etched common or uncommon" instead of inventing missing odds or price identity. Draw all pack and display slots first, then apply any Sift or filtering logic afterward.

SnapshotTCG Market + $0.25 SiftBased on TCG Market pricing with Sift applied only after complete modeled contents are drawn.

Content Snapshot

Modern Horizons 2 Collector Booster Content Snapshot

The calculator retains this product's existing slot model and resolves complete contents before included-pool controls or optional Sift score the result.

Packs: 12 packs / box
Cards: 15 game cards / pack
Modeled total: 180 modeled card slots / box
Rows: Loading

Pack Structure

Each Modern Horizons 2 Collector Booster is modeled with 15 game-card slots.

Foil Commons5 cards / pack

Pool: 101 modeled card outcomes.5 traditional foil commons: 5 expected / pack.

Foil Uncommons2 cards / pack

Pool: 80 modeled card outcomes.2 traditional foil uncommons: 2 expected / pack.

Land1 card / pack

Pool: 10 modeled card outcomes.Foil-etched basic land: 1 expected / pack.

Foil Rare / Mythic1 card / pack

Pool: 77 modeled card outcomes.Traditional foil rare or mythic rare: 1 expected / pack.

Foil-etched common or uncommon1 card / pack

Pool: 1 modeled card outcome.Foil-etched common or uncommon: 1 expected / pack.

Foil-etched rare or mythic rare1 card / pack

Pool: 1 modeled card outcome.Foil-etched rare or mythic rare: 1 expected / pack.

Nonfoil new-to-Modern or old-border wildcard slot1 card / pack

Pool: 1 modeled card outcome.Nonfoil new-to-Modern or old-border wildcard slot: 1 expected / pack.

Traditional foil booster-fun wildcard slot1 card / pack

Pool: 1 modeled card outcome.Traditional foil booster-fun wildcard slot: 1 expected / pack.

Nonfoil Borderless1 card / pack

Pool: 90 modeled card outcomes.Retro, sketch, or borderless rare or mythic rare: 1 expected / pack.

Nonfoil Extended Art1 card / pack

Pool: 39 modeled card outcomes.Extended-art rare: 1 expected / pack.

Draw all pack and display slots first, then apply any Sift or filtering logic afterward.

Non-game inserts are not counted toward EV unless the model explicitly lists them.

Included model bucketsChoose which modeled pools count toward EV.Model controls

Loading backend model buckets...

Rows are grouped by backend model bucket. Sift is applied only after model contents are drawn.

Selling Fees

TCG seller type

Row fees show pct + txn. Order fees are added only in the summary.

Value Threshold

Price source for EV

Prices load from generated snapshots when available, with TCGCSV price groups as a live fallback. EV applies Sift after modeled contents are drawn.

Sift

Rows with Value >= Sift tint green. EV uses Sift only when the toggle is checked.

EV Range (Monte Carlo)

Central interval

Simulations

Use Sift (>=) in EV

Purchase EV

Boxes Purchased

Price per box ($)

Pack & Box EV

Expected value summary across low, mid, and high Monte Carlo estimates.
Metric	Low	Mid	High
Average pack EV (gross)	$0.00	$0.00	$0.00
Box EV x 12 (gross)	$0.00	$0.00	$0.00
Gross EV per box	$0.00	$0.00	$0.00
Total fees per box	$0.00	$0.00	$0.00
Net after fees per box	$0.00	$0.00	$0.00
Profit after fees per box	$0.00	$0.00	$0.00
Break-even price/box (mid)	$0.00

Purchase EV & Profit

Purchase-level expected value and profit across low, mid, and high Monte Carlo estimates.
All boxes	Low	Mid	High
Gross EV	$0.00	$0.00	$0.00
Total fees	$0.00	$0.00	$0.00
Net after fees	$0.00	$0.00	$0.00
Profit after expenses	$0.00	$0.00	$0.00
ROI vs cost	-	-	-

Boxes: 0 | Price/box: $0.00 | Total cost: $0.00

Sealed Price / EV

Advertising disclosure: As an eBay Partner Network affiliate, The Expected Value may earn from qualifying purchases. Some marketplace links are affiliate links.

Marketplace sealed box price compared to the current break-even price/box (mid).
Source	Box price	Break-even price/box (mid)	P/E	Basis
Mana Pool	-	-	-	Unavailable
TCGplayer	-	-	-	Unavailable
eBay	-	-	-	Unavailable
Amazon	-	-	-	Unavailable

Simulation Results (after Sift)

Confidence band: -

Each bar groups simulated box totals after modeled contents are drawn, then Sift and included-bucket filters are applied.

Find cards

Showing all cards

Collector Booster model rows with current value, seller fees, and expected boxes per copy.
Name	Set	Card #	Rarity	Treatment	Value ($)	Seller fees (pct + txn)	Boxes / copy
Total expected copies / box - included buckets & Sift							0.00
Sanity total expected copies / box - all modeled rows							0.00
Gap to 180 modeled card slots / box							0.00

Expected / box0.00

Sanity check totals (ignore Sift and bucket toggles)

Model source: data-static/magic/mh2/models/collector-box.json. The model documents sealed contents as drawn first, then Sift and bucket filters are applied afterward.