Ikoria: Lair of Behemoths Collector Booster EV Calculator

Review the provisional priced subtotal of Ikoria: Lair of Behemoths Collector Booster Display using daily generated TCGplayer price snapshots and the backend collector-box model.

Model assumptions & evidence

The calculator draws modeled box contents first from the backend slot contributions, then applies included-bucket toggles and optional Sift filtering as post-draw scoring filters.

Full-product EV is unavailable. Three positions per pack have unresolved value: the new Commander 2020 card, foil showcase card of any rarity, and Godzilla Series card. The regular foil rare/mythic estimate also omits the eligible extended-art upgrade allocation. These are not zero-value cards or chase exclusions. Displayed numbers are provisional priced subtotals. Each display has twelve 15-card packs. All positions are drawn before Sift and user filters; rejected cards are not replaced. Unresolved positions remain occupied but have no asserted monetary value. Foil token inserts are outside game-card EV.

12 packs / box 15 game cards / pack 180 modeled card slots / box Backend Collector Booster model

SnapshotTCG Market + $0.25 SiftBased on TCG Market pricing with Sift applied only after complete modeled contents are drawn.

Full-product EV is unavailable.

Calculation settingsSift off

Selling Fees

TCG seller type

Row fees show pct + txn. Order fees are added only in the summary.

Value Threshold

Price source for EV

Prices load from daily generated TCGplayer, Mana Pool, and Cardmarket snapshots. EV applies Sift after modeled contents are drawn.

Sift

Rows with Value >= Sift tint green. EV uses Sift only when the toggle is checked.

EV Range (Monte Carlo)

Central interval

Simulations

Use Sift (>=) in EV

Purchase EV

Boxes Purchased

Price per box ($)

Included model bucketsChoose which modeled pools count toward EV.Model controls

Loading backend model buckets...

Rows are grouped by backend model bucket. Sift is applied only after model contents are drawn.

Sealed Price / EV

Advertising disclosure: The Expected Value may earn commissions from qualifying purchases made through affiliate links. Programs used by the site include TCGplayer, Mana Pool, the eBay Partner Network, and Amazon Associates. As an Amazon Associate, The Expected Value earns from qualifying purchases.

Marketplace sealed box price compared to the current break-even price/box (mid).
Source	Box price	Break-even price/box (mid)	P/E	Basis
Mana Pool	-	-	-	Unavailable
TCGplayer	-	-	-	Unavailable
eBay	-	-	-	Unavailable
Amazon	-	-	-	Unavailable

Simulation Results (after Sift)

Confidence band: -

Each bar groups simulated box totals after modeled contents are drawn, then Sift and included-bucket filters are applied.

Pack & Box Priced Subtotals

Expected value summary across low, mid, and high Monte Carlo estimates.
Metric	Low	Mid	High
Average pack EV (gross)	$0.00	$0.00	$0.00
Display priced subtotal (gross)	$0.00	$0.00	$0.00
Gross priced subtotal per box	$0.00	$0.00	$0.00
Total fees per box	$0.00	$0.00	$0.00
Net after fees per box	$0.00	$0.00	$0.00
Profit after fees per box	$0.00	$0.00	$0.00
Break-even price/box (mid)	$0.00

Purchase EV & Profit

Purchase-level expected value and profit across low, mid, and high Monte Carlo estimates.
All boxes	Low	Mid	High
Gross priced subtotal	$0.00	$0.00	$0.00
Total fees	$0.00	$0.00	$0.00
Net after fees	$0.00	$0.00	$0.00
Profit after expenses	$0.00	$0.00	$0.00
ROI vs cost	-	-	-

Boxes: 0 | Price/box: $0.00 | Total cost: $0.00

Content Snapshot

Ikoria: Lair of Behemoths Collector Booster Content Snapshot

The calculator preserves all occupied product positions before Sift and controls score the priced portion; unresolved positions have unknown value.

Packs: 12 packs / box
Cards: 15 game cards / pack
Modeled total: 180 modeled card slots / box
Rows: Loading

Pack Structure

Each Ikoria: Lair of Behemoths Collector Booster is modeled with 15 game-card slots.

Foil Commons4 cards / pack

Pool: 111 modeled card outcomes.4 foil commons or common dual lands: 4 expected / pack.

Foil Uncommons2 cards / pack

Pool: 80 modeled card outcomes.2 foil uncommons: 2 expected / pack.

Land1 card / pack

Pool: 15 modeled card outcomes.Foil basic land: 1 expected / pack.

Foil Rare / Mythic1 card / pack

Pool: 68 modeled card outcomes.Foil rare or mythic rare baseline: 1 expected / pack.

Ikoria Commander card1 card / pack

Pool: 1 modeled card outcome.Ikoria Commander card: 1 expected / pack.

Godzilla Series Monster card1 card / pack

Pool: 1 modeled card outcome.Godzilla Series Monster card: 1 expected / pack.

Nonfoil Showcase3 cards / pack

Pool: 38 modeled card outcomes.2 showcase mutate commons or uncommons: 2 expected / pack.Showcase or borderless rare or mythic rare: 1 expected / pack.

Foil Showcase1 card / pack

Pool: 1 modeled card outcome.Foil showcase card any rarity: 1 expected / pack.

Nonfoil Extended Art1 card / pack

Pool: 50 modeled card outcomes.Extended-art rare or mythic rare: 1 expected / pack.

Draw all pack and display slots first, then apply any Sift or filtering logic afterward.

Non-game inserts are not counted toward EV unless the model explicitly lists them.

Find cards

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Collector Booster model rows with current value, seller fees, and expected boxes per copy.
Name	Set	Card #	Rarity	Treatment	Value ($)	Seller fees (pct + txn)	Boxes / copy
Total expected copies / box - included buckets & Sift							0.00
Sanity total expected copies / box - all modeled rows							0.00
Gap to 180 modeled card slots / box							0.00

Expected copies / box0.00

Sanity check totals (ignore Sift and bucket toggles)

Model source: data-static/magic/iko/models/collector-box.json. The model documents sealed contents as drawn first, then Sift and bucket filters are applied afterward.