Secrets of Strixhaven Codex Bundle EV Calculator

Estimate the expected value (EV) of the Secrets of Strixhaven Codex Bundle using daily generated TCGplayer price snapshots. This calculator models the bundle as 6 Play Boosters + 2 Collector Boosters + 20 traditional foil basic lands + 2 traditional foil Codex Bundle promos.

Model assumptions & evidence

Pack contents use Wizards’ published SOS slot rates and the allocation assumptions below. Simulations always open the full product first and only apply optional Sift filtering afterward so EV follows true opening order across both booster types and the fixed bundle extras.

Collector slot note: The serialized double rainbow foil Emeritus of Ideation (SOS 306) is excluded; eligible foil Booster Fun outcomes are normalized to fill its slot before drawing.

6 Play Boosters / bundle 2 Collector Boosters / bundle 20 foil basic lands + 2 foil promos / bundle
SnapshotTCG Market + $0.25 SiftBased on TCG Market pricing with Sift applied only after complete modeled contents are drawn.

Collector slot note: The serialized double rainbow foil Emeritus of Ideation (SOS 306) is excluded; eligible foil Booster Fun outcomes are normalized to fill its slot before drawing.

Calculation settingsSift off

Selling Fees

Fees follow the selected seller tier. Fixed fees use that tier’s per-card or per-order basis.

Value Threshold

Prices load from generated card-prices snapshots. TCG, Mana Pool, and Cardmarket choices use the same card rows; EV applies Sift only after each pack's contents are drawn.
Rows with Value ≥ Sift tint green. EV only uses Sift if toggled on, and it is applied after each pack’s cards are drawn.

EV Range (Monte Carlo)

Runs per summary update; higher counts smooth the bands but take longer.
Low/High = central quantiles measured from Monte Carlo pack openings.

Purchase EV

Included setsChoose which modeled pools count toward EV.Model controls
Sift is a price floor (USD): rows with Value ≥ Sift tint green. EV only uses Sift if you enable the toggle below.

Simulation Results (after Sift)

Confidence band: —
Each bar groups simulated bundle totals after the product is opened, then Sift is applied to the resulting hits. X-axis = bundle value, Y-axis = number of simulations in that range.

Bundle EV

Codex Bundle expected value summary across low, mid, and high estimates.
MetricLowMidHigh
Bundle EV (gross)$0.00$0.00$0.00
Total fees per bundle$0.00$0.00$0.00
Net after fees per bundle$0.00$0.00$0.00
Profit after fees per bundle (Purchase ÷ Bundles)$0.00$0.00$0.00
Break‑even price/bundle (mid)$0.00

Purchase EV & Profit

Purchase expected value summary.
All bundlesLowMidHigh
Gross EV$0.00$0.00$0.00
Total fees$0.00$0.00$0.00
Net after fees$0.00$0.00$0.00
Profit after expenses$0.00$0.00$0.00
ROI vs cost———
Bundles: 0 • Price/bundle: $0.00 • Total cost: $0.00

Content Snapshot

Secrets of Strixhaven Codex Bundle Content Snapshot

The calculator retains this product's existing slot model and resolves complete contents before included-pool controls or optional Sift score the result.

Boosters
6 Play Boosters / bundle
Boosters
2 Collector Boosters / bundle
Product detail
20 foil basic lands + 2 foil promos / bundle
Rows
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Product Structure

This Secrets of Strixhaven Codex Bundle is modeled from the complete product components listed below.

Play Boosters6 Play Boosters / bundle
Complete modeled contents are drawn before included-pool controls and optional Sift are applied as scoring filters.
Collector Boosters2 Collector Boosters / bundle
This component remains governed by the calculator's existing product-specific model.
Basic Lands20 foil basic lands + 2 foil promos / bundle
This component remains governed by the calculator's existing product-specific model.

Future EV calculations should draw all 6 Play Boosters, 2 Collector Boosters, and fixed cards first, then apply any Sift or filtering logic after the draw.

Non-game inserts are not counted toward EV unless the model explicitly lists them.

Release-specific model analysis

What drives Secrets of Strixhaven Codex Bundle

Product profile. This codex bundle resolves 136 card positions across 1,416 named outcomes. The model snapshot dated June 10, 2026 contains 450 Uncommon, 449 Rare, 243 Common, 213 Mythic Rare, 55 Basic Land, 6 P. Its largest slot groups are 447 sosf, 261 sos, 130 ma, 130 maf, 65 majp. Every listed outcome contributes to the published baseline unless the visitor applies a post-draw filter.

Largest modeled weights. Forest (Foil Basic Land) #280 (2.00 expected per codex bundle), Forest (Foil Basic Land) #281 (2.00 expected per codex bundle), Island (Foil Basic Land) #274 (2.00 expected per codex bundle), Island (Foil Basic Land) #275 (2.00 expected per codex bundle), Mountain (Foil Basic Land) #278 (2.00 expected per codex bundle). These are frequency leaders in the product model, not a promise that any individual opening will contain them.

Release-specific card examples. Aberrant Manawurm (Normal (Foil)) #138, Aberrant Manawurm #138, Abrade (Mystical Archive (Foil EN)) #37, Abrade (Mystical Archive (NF EN)) #37, Abrade (Mystical Archive (NF JP)) #102, Abrade (Silver Scroll Foil) #167, Abstract Performance (Extended Art) #67, Adrix and Nev, Twincasters (Foil Special Guests) #156, Akroma's Will (Mystical Archive (Foil EN)) #1. Seeing the named pool makes it possible to compare this release with adjacent sets instead of treating every sealed product as the same generic pack calculation.

Reference snapshot value concentration. At the TCGplayer Market snapshot dated September 3, 2026, 1416 modeled outcomes have a usable direct or documented fallback price. The largest deterministic contributions come from Sol Ring (Codex Bundle Promo (Foil)) #427 ($5.05), Force of Will (Silver Scroll Foil) #149 ($2.96), Talisman of Creativity (Codex Bundle Promo (Foil)) #429 ($2.91), Talisman of Hierarchy (Codex Bundle Promo (Foil)) #431 ($2.39), Vampiric Tutor (Silver Scroll Foil) #165 ($2.02). Together those five rows account for 13.8% of the modeled gross value. This dated reference does not update with the live calculator's prices or Sift settings.

The baseline product model is constructed first, including any documented chase exclusions. The calculator then draws the complete baseline product. Included-pool controls and optional Sift evaluate that completed draw afterward and do not alter its collation.

Allocation assumptions

This model uses non-Japanese Play Boosters. Cards within each published treatment and rarity bucket receive equal weight. Rounded Collector slot rates are normalized; serialized cards are removed before eligible outcomes fill the complete slot.

Published Play rates below 1% use these retained estimates: wildcard borderless 0.3% and field notes 0.1%; rare-slot field notes mythics 0.6%; foil borderless 0.4%, field notes 0.2%, Mystical Archive rares 0.6% and mythics 0.2%. These allocations are assumptions, not exact publisher odds.

The 20 fixed foil lands use two copies of each default art, SOS272–281. The two foil promos use equal weight across SOC427–432 and independent draws, so duplicates are possible in the model. Wizards confirms the counts and six promo options but does not specify those artwork quantities or the promo pair distribution.

Wizards product contents and published slot rates

Showing all cards
Modeled card rows and expected copies per bundle.
Name Set Card # Rarity Treatment Value Seller fees Boxes / copy
Total (Expected / bundle) — included sets & Sift 0.00
Expected / bundle0.00