Secrets of Strixhaven Bundle EV Calculator

Estimate the expected value (EV) of the Secrets of Strixhaven Bundle using daily generated TCGplayer price snapshots. This calculator models the bundle as 9 Play Boosters + 30 basic lands (15 traditional foil + 15 nonfoil) + 1 traditional foil Wisdom of Ages promo (SOS 368).

Model assumptions & evidence

Pack contents are drawn slot-by-slot using Wizards’ published SOS slot rates and the allocation assumptions below. Simulations always open the full product first and only apply optional Sift filtering afterward so EV follows true opening order across all nine Play Boosters and the fixed bundle extras.

Model assumptions: for published rates below 1%, the nonfoil wildcard assigns 0.3% to borderless and 0.1% to field notes; the rare slot assigns 0.6% to field-notes mythics. The foil slot assigns 0.4% to borderless, 0.2% to field notes, 0.6% to Mystical Archive rares, and 0.2% to Mystical Archive mythics. Cards within each pool and fixed basic-land artwork are allocated uniformly. These allocations and unspecified factory correlations are estimates, not published per-card odds. This calculator models non-Japanese Play Boosters.

9 Play Boosters / bundle 15 foil + 15 NF basic lands / bundle 1 traditional foil Wisdom of Ages promo (SOS 368) / bundle
SnapshotTCG Market + $0.25 SiftBased on TCG Market pricing with Sift applied only after complete modeled contents are drawn.
Calculation settingsSift off

Selling Fees

Card-level fees use the selected seller model. Applicable order costs are added in the summary.

Value Threshold

Prices load from generated card-prices snapshots. TCG, Mana Pool, and Cardmarket choices use the same card rows; EV applies Sift only after each pack's contents are drawn.
Rows with Value ≥ Sift tint green. EV only uses Sift if toggled on, and it is applied after each pack’s cards are drawn.

EV Range (Monte Carlo)

Runs per summary update; higher counts smooth the bands but take longer.
Low/High = central quantiles measured from Monte Carlo pack openings.

Purchase EV

Included setsChoose which modeled pools count toward EV.Model controls
Sift is a price floor (USD): rows with Value ≥ Sift tint green. EV only uses Sift if you enable the toggle below.

Simulation Results (after Sift)

Confidence band: —
Each bar groups simulated bundle totals after the product is opened, then Sift is applied to the resulting hits. X-axis = bundle value, Y-axis = number of simulations in that range.

Bundle EV

Bundle expected value summary across low, mid, and high estimates.
MetricLowMidHigh
Bundle EV (gross)$0.00$0.00$0.00
Total fees per bundle$0.00$0.00$0.00
Net after fees per bundle$0.00$0.00$0.00
Profit after fees per bundle (Purchase ÷ Bundles)$0.00$0.00$0.00
Break‑even price/bundle (mid)$0.00

Purchase EV & Profit

Purchase expected value summary.
All bundlesLowMidHigh
Gross EV$0.00$0.00$0.00
Total fees$0.00$0.00$0.00
Net after fees$0.00$0.00$0.00
Profit after expenses$0.00$0.00$0.00
ROI vs cost———
Bundles: 0 • Price/bundle: $0.00 • Total cost: $0.00

Content Snapshot

Secrets of Strixhaven Bundle Content Snapshot

The calculator retains this product's existing slot model and resolves complete contents before included-pool controls or optional Sift score the result.

Boosters
9 Play Boosters / bundle
Product detail
15 foil + 15 NF basic lands / bundle
Product detail
1 traditional foil Wisdom of Ages promo (SOS 368) / bundle
Rows
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Product Structure

This Secrets of Strixhaven Bundle is modeled from the complete product components listed below.

Play Boosters9 Play Boosters / bundle
Complete modeled contents are drawn before included-pool controls and optional Sift are applied as scoring filters.
Basic Lands15 foil + 15 NF basic lands / bundle
This component remains governed by the calculator's existing product-specific model.
Promos1 traditional foil Wisdom of Ages promo (SOS 368) / bundle
This component remains governed by the calculator's existing product-specific model.

Future EV calculations should draw all 9 Play Boosters and fixed cards first, then apply any Sift or filtering logic after the draw.

Non-game inserts are not counted toward EV unless the model explicitly lists them.

Release-specific model analysis

What drives Secrets of Strixhaven Bundle

Product profile. This bundle resolves 157 card positions across 771 named outcomes. The model snapshot dated September 3, 2026 contains 250 Uncommon, 192 Rare, 162 Common, 106 Mythic Rare, 60 Basic Land, 1 P. Its largest slot groups are 261 sos, 261 sosf, 65 ma, 65 maf, 40 land. Every listed outcome contributes to the published baseline unless the visitor applies a post-draw filter.

Largest modeled weights. Forest (Basic Land (Foil, Fixed)) #280 (1.50 expected per bundle), Forest (Basic Land (Foil, Fixed)) #281 (1.50 expected per bundle), Forest (Basic Land (NF, Fixed)) #280 (1.50 expected per bundle), Forest (Basic Land (NF, Fixed)) #281 (1.50 expected per bundle), Island (Basic Land (Foil, Fixed)) #274 (1.50 expected per bundle). These are frequency leaders in the product model, not a promise that any individual opening will contain them.

Release-specific card examples. Aberrant Manawurm (Normal (Foil)) #138, Aberrant Manawurm #138, Abrade (Mystical Archive (Foil)) #37, Abrade (Mystical Archive) #37, Adrix and Nev, Twincasters (Special Guests) #156, Blech, Loafing Pest (Field Notes (Foil)) #298, Blech, Loafing Pest (Field Notes) #298, Deathcap Glade (Borderless (Foil)) #301, Akroma's Will (Mystical Archive (Foil)) #1. Seeing the named pool makes it possible to compare this release with adjacent sets instead of treating every sealed product as the same generic pack calculation.

Reference snapshot value concentration. At the TCGplayer Market snapshot dated September 3, 2026, 771 modeled outcomes have a usable direct or documented fallback price. The largest deterministic contributions come from Force of Will (Mystical Archive) #19 ($1.06), Vampiric Tutor (Mystical Archive) #35 ($0.93), Emeritus of Woe #80 ($0.88), Erode #15 ($0.85), Jeska's Will (Mystical Archive) #44 ($0.80). Together those five rows account for 8.3% of the modeled gross value. This dated reference does not update with the live calculator's prices or Sift settings.

The baseline product model is constructed first, including any documented chase exclusions. The calculator then draws the complete baseline product. Included-pool controls and optional Sift evaluate that completed draw afterward and do not alter its collation.

Showing all cards
Modeled card rows and expected copies per bundle.
Name Set Card # Rarity Treatment Value Seller fees Boxes / copy
Total (Expected / bundle) — included sets & Sift 0.00
Expected / bundle0.00