Murders at Karlov Manor Prerelease Pack EV Calculator
Estimate the conditional priced subtotal of this Murders at Karlov Manor Prerelease Pack using daily card-price snapshots.
Model assumptions & evidence
The browser simulator draws the complete product contents first, then applies disabled pools and optional Sift filtering afterward. Disabled pools do not redraw or backfill outcomes.
Selling Fees
Value Threshold
EV Range (Monte Carlo)
Purchase EV
Included poolsChoose which modeled pools count toward EV.Model controls
Sealed Price / EV
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| Source | Product price | Break-even price/prerelease pack (mid) | P/E | Basis |
|---|
Simulation Results (after Sift)
Prerelease Pack EV
| Metric | Low | Mid | High |
|---|---|---|---|
| bundle conditional subtotal (gross) | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Total fees per bundle | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Net after fees per bundle | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Profit after fees per bundle | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Break-even price/bundle (mid) | $0.00 | ||
Purchase EV & Profit
| All bundles | Low | Mid | High |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gross conditional subtotal | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Total fees | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Net after fees | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Profit after expenses | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| ROI vs cost | - | - | - |
Content Snapshot
Murders at Karlov Manor Prerelease Pack Content Snapshot
The calculator resolves the complete generated product model before included-pool controls or optional Sift score the result.
- Contents
- 6 Play Boosters
- Product detail
- 1 year-stamped foil promo + 1 exclusive foil mythic
- Product detail
- 86 modeled card slots / prerelease pack
- Rows
- Loading
Product Structure
This Murders at Karlov Manor Prerelease Pack is modeled from the complete product components listed below.
Modeled product6 Play Boosters
Included component1 year-stamped foil promo + 1 exclusive foil mythic
Included component86 modeled card slots / prerelease pack
All modeled contents are drawn first. Included-pool controls and optional Sift are applied afterward and never redraw or backfill an excluded result.
Non-game inserts are not counted toward EV unless the generated model explicitly lists them.
Release-specific model analysis
What drives Murders at Karlov Manor Prerelease Pack
Product profile. This prerelease pack resolves 86 card positions across 864 named outcomes. The model snapshot dated October 11, 2026 contains 297 Rare, 242 Uncommon, 181 Common, 114 Mythic Rare, 30 Basic Land. Its largest slot groups are 100 mkm u, 100 mkm u f, 90 prerelease f, 81 mkm c, 81 mkm c f. Every listed outcome contributes to the published baseline unless the visitor applies a post-draw filter.
Largest modeled weights. Agency Coroner #75 (0.547 expected per prerelease pack), Airtight Alibi #149 (0.547 expected per prerelease pack), Alley Assailant #76 (0.547 expected per prerelease pack), Basilica Stalker #78 (0.547 expected per prerelease pack), Behind the Mask #39 (0.547 expected per prerelease pack). These are frequency leaders in the product model, not a promise that any individual opening will contain them.
Release-specific card examples. A Killer Among Us (Normal (Foil)) #167, A Killer Among Us #167, Agency Coroner (Normal (Foil)) #75, Agrus Kos, Spirit of Justice (Normal (Foil)) #184, Agrus Kos, Spirit of Justice (Prerelease Promo (Foil)) #184, Agrus Kos, Spirit of Justice (Showcase Dossier (Foil)) #354, Agrus Kos, Spirit of Justice (Showcase Dossier) #354, Agrus Kos, Spirit of Justice #184, Burden of Guilt (The List) #4/158. Seeing the named pool makes it possible to compare this release with adjacent sets instead of treating every sealed product as the same generic pack calculation.
Reference snapshot value concentration. At the TCGplayer Market snapshot dated September 3, 2026, 861 modeled outcomes have a usable direct or documented fallback price. The largest deterministic contributions come from Thundering Falls #269 ($1.38), Undercity Sewers #270 ($1.24), Underground Mortuary #271 ($1.16), Slime Against Humanity #177 ($1.03), Meticulous Archive #264 ($0.97). Together those five rows account for 13.5% of the modeled gross value. This dated reference does not update with the live calculator's prices or Sift settings.
The baseline product model is constructed first, including any documented chase exclusions. The calculator then draws the complete baseline product. Included-pool controls and optional Sift evaluate that completed draw afterward and do not alter its collation.
| Name | Set | Card # | Rarity | Treatment | Value | Seller fees | Products / copy |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total expected cards/bundle after toggles and Sift | 0.00 | ||||||