Magic: The Gathering | The Hobbit Prerelease Pack EV Calculator

Estimate the expected value of a Magic: The Gathering | The Hobbit Prerelease Pack from the generated prerelease-pack model and HOB daily price snapshots.

The browser simulator draws the full bundle contents first, then applies disabled pools and Sift filtering afterward. Disabled pools do not backfill into other rows.

Prerelease / provisional EV: Magic: The Gathering | The Hobbit releases on August 14, 2026. Singles and sealed prices are still forming and may move quickly before release.

Best-estimate probability note: Published percentages are applied first; the remaining probability is divided evenly among the named Play Booster pools Wizards labels only as less than 1%.

Chase exclusion: The approximately 500-copy Gleaming Gold Smaug is absent from card prices, simulations, stored EV, sealed P/E, and Market Ping. The non-chase foil Booster Fun outcomes are normalized to fill that slot.

Prerelease promo estimate: Wizards gives no rare/mythic split, so the model uses the published 87.6% rare / 12.4% mythic main-set split.

6 Play Boosters / prerelease pack4 fixed nonfoil seasonal Hobbit basic lands1 traditional foil rare or mythic promo89 modeled game cards

SnapshotTCG Market + $0.25 SiftBased on TCG Market pricing with Sift applied only after complete modeled contents are drawn.

Content Snapshot

Magic: The Gathering | The Hobbit Prerelease Pack Content Snapshot

The calculator retains this product's existing slot model and resolves complete contents before included-pool controls or optional Sift score the result.

Boosters: 6 Play Boosters / prerelease pack
Product detail: 4 fixed nonfoil seasonal Hobbit basic lands
Product detail: 1 traditional foil rare or mythic promo
Rows: Loading

Product Structure

This Magic: The Gathering | The Hobbit Prerelease Pack is modeled from the complete product components listed below.

Play Boosters6 Play Boosters / prerelease pack

Complete modeled contents are drawn before included-pool controls and optional Sift are applied as scoring filters.

Basic Lands4 fixed nonfoil seasonal Hobbit basic lands

This component remains governed by the calculator's existing product-specific model.

Promos1 traditional foil rare or mythic promo

This component remains governed by the calculator's existing product-specific model.

Modeled Contents89 modeled game cards

This component remains governed by the calculator's existing product-specific model.

Future EV calculations should draw all 6 Play Boosters, the foil promo, and 4 seasonal lands first, then apply any Sift or filtering logic after the draw.

Non-game inserts are not counted toward EV unless the model explicitly lists them.

Included poolsChoose which modeled pools count toward EV.Model controls

Sift tints rows by price. EV uses Sift only when enabled, after the complete bundle has been opened.

Selling Fees

Seller type

Card-level fees use the selected seller model. Free-shipping order costs are added in the summary.

Value Threshold

Price source for EV

Prices load from generated HOB card-prices snapshots.

Sift

EV Range (Monte Carlo)

Central interval

Simulations

Use Sift in EV

Purchase EV

Bundles Purchased

Price per bundle ($)

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Bundle EV

Per-product expected value summary.
Metric	Low	Mid	High
bundle EV (gross)	$0.00	$0.00	$0.00
Total fees per bundle	$0.00	$0.00	$0.00
Net after fees per bundle	$0.00	$0.00	$0.00
Profit after fees per bundle	$0.00	$0.00	$0.00
Break-even price/bundle (mid)	$0.00

Purchase EV & Profit

Purchase expected value and profit after selected fees and costs.
All bundles	Low	Mid	High
Gross EV	$0.00	$0.00	$0.00
Total fees	$0.00	$0.00	$0.00
Net after fees	$0.00	$0.00	$0.00
Profit after expenses	$0.00	$0.00	$0.00
ROI vs cost	-	-	-

Bundles: 0 | Price/bundle: $0.00 | Total cost: $0.00

Sealed Price / EV

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Generated sealed product prices compared to the current break-even price per bundle.
Source	Product price	Break-even price/bundle (mid)	P/E	Basis

Simulation Results (after Sift)

Confidence band: -

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Modeled Bundle card rows, prices, fees, and expected products per copy.
Name	Set	Card #	Rarity	Treatment	Value	Seller fees	Products / copy
Total expected cards/bundle after toggles and Sift							0.00
Sanity total, all modeled game-card rows							0.00
Gap to expected game cards/bundle							0.00

Expected / bundle0.00

Sanity check totals

Preparing...

EV and Monte Carlo draw the full product first, then apply disabled pools and Sift. Disabled pools do not backfill.