Reality Fracture Prerelease Pack EV Calculator
Estimate the opened-card value of Reality Fracture Prerelease Pack, compare sealed prices, and apply your selling fees and Sift threshold.
Model assumptions & evidence
The Prerelease Pack contains six Play Boosters and one foil rare or mythic promo. Its exact eligible promo printings and odds remain unconfirmed, so the displayed value is an incomplete known-price subtotal. One visibly unidentified promo preserves the 85-card physical count; its missing value is not a zero-price quote. The set released October 2, 2026. The die and deck box have no opened-card value here.
Complete contents, including correlated echoed pairs, are drawn before Sift or pool filters score them. Filtered cards are never rerolled or backfilled.
Selling Fees
Value Threshold
EV Range (Monte Carlo)
Purchase EV
Included poolsChoose which modeled pools count toward EV.Model controls
Sealed Price / EV
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| Source | Product price | Break-even price/prerelease pack (mid) | P/E | Basis |
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Simulation Results (after Sift)
Prerelease Pack EV
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| Profit after fees per prerelease pack | — | — | — |
| Break-even price/prerelease pack (mid) | — | ||
Purchase EV & Profit
| All prerelease packs | Low | Mid | High |
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| Total fees | — | — | — |
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| Profit after expenses | — | — | — |
| ROI vs cost | - | - | - |
Content Snapshot
Reality Fracture Prerelease Pack Contents
The Prerelease Pack contains six Play Boosters and one foil rare or mythic promo. Its exact eligible promo printings and odds remain unconfirmed, so the displayed value is an incomplete known-price subtotal. One visibly unidentified promo preserves the 85-card physical count; its missing value is not a zero-price quote. The set released October 2, 2026. The die and deck box have no opened-card value here.
- Game cards
- 85
- Rows
- Loading
Product Structure
All 85 game-card positions belong to the complete product before Sift or pool filtering. Tokens, art cards, packaging, and accessories are not valued as singles.
Release-specific model analysis
What drives Reality Fracture Prerelease Pack
Product profile. This prerelease pack resolves 85 card positions across 800 named outcomes. The model snapshot dated September 23, 2026 contains 248 Uncommon, 237 Rare, 156 Common, 102 Mythic Rare, 56 Basic Land, 1 Special. Its largest slot groups are 71 fra common foil, 71 fra common nonfoil, 66 fra echoU foil, 66 fra echoU nonfoil, 50 fra rare foil. Every listed outcome contributes to the published baseline unless the visitor applies a post-draw filter.
Largest modeled weights. Unidentified prerelease rare or mythic promo (Prerelease Promo) #PRERELEASE-PROMO (1.00 expected per prerelease pack), Academic Ascent #2 (0.525 expected per prerelease pack), Afterthought Sentry #166 (0.525 expected per prerelease pack), Apex Witchstalker #48 (0.525 expected per prerelease pack), Arcane Amphisbaena #97 (0.525 expected per prerelease pack). These are frequency leaders in the product model, not a promise that any individual opening will contain them.
Release-specific card examples. Aerid Konstrari (Sculptor's Stronghold) #347, Aerid Konstrari #121, Ajani Resolute (Borderless Echoed Pairs) #291, Ajani Resolute #195, Ajani Unrelenting (Borderless Echoed Pairs) #308, Ajani Unrelenting #242, Ajani's Anguish (Braintwister) #367, Ajani's Anguish #72, Emrakul, the Exigent Doom #1. Seeing the named pool makes it possible to compare this release with adjacent sets instead of treating every sealed product as the same generic pack calculation.
Reference snapshot value concentration. At the TCGplayer Market snapshot dated September 23, 2026, 767 modeled outcomes have a usable direct or documented fallback price. The largest deterministic contributions come from Samut, Tyrant of Naktamun #220 ($2.95), Emrakul, the Exigent Doom #1 ($2.94), Hexhaven Invigorator #106 ($2.70), Omnipresence #110 ($1.92), The Theorist, Jace Beleren #43 ($1.59). Together those five rows account for 5.6% of the modeled gross value. This dated reference does not update with the live calculator's prices or Sift settings.
The baseline product model is constructed first, including any documented chase exclusions. The calculator then draws the complete baseline product. Included-pool controls and optional Sift evaluate that completed draw afterward and do not alter its collation.
| Name | Set | Card # | Rarity | Treatment | Value | Seller fees | Products / copy |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total expected cards/prerelease pack after toggles and Sift | 0.00 | ||||||