Reality Fracture Bundle EV Calculator

Estimate the opened-card value of Reality Fracture Bundle, compare sealed prices, and apply your selling fees and Sift threshold.

Model assumptions & evidence

The regular Bundle combines nine Play Boosters with thirty basic lands and one foil Carnivorous Cultivator (FRA #437). Its exact TCGplayer printing and price are still unavailable, so the displayed value is an incomplete known-price subtotal. The missing promo is not valued at zero. Land artworks use the user-directed even split by type, with remainder copies assigned to the lowest collector numbers.

Complete contents, including correlated echoed pairs, are drawn before Sift or pool filters score them. Filtered cards are never rerolled or backfilled.

Prelaunch / provisional prices: Reality Fracture releases October 2, 2026. Prices and card coverage can change sharply before release. Missing prices contribute $0 to this lower-bound estimate; that does not value those cards at $0.
9 Play Boosters15 nonfoil + 15 foil basic lands1 foil promo157 game cards
SnapshotTCG Market + $0.25 SiftBased on TCG Market pricing with Sift applied only after complete modeled contents are drawn.
Calculation settingsSift off

Selling Fees

Card-level fees use the selected seller model. Free-shipping order costs are added in the summary.

Value Threshold

Prices load from generated FRA card-prices snapshots.

EV Range (Monte Carlo)

Purchase EV

Included poolsChoose which modeled pools count toward EV.Model controls
Sift tints rows by price. EV uses Sift only when enabled, after the complete bundle has been opened.

Sealed Price / EV

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Generated sealed product prices compared to the current break-even price per bundle.
SourceProduct priceBreak-even price/bundle (mid)P/EBasis

Simulation Results (after Sift)

Simulated outcome interval: -

Bundle EV

Per-product expected value summary.
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Purchase EV & Profit

Purchase expected value and profit after selected fees and costs.
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bundles: 0 | Price/bundle: $0.00 | Total cost: $0.00

Content Snapshot

Reality Fracture Bundle Contents

The regular Bundle combines nine Play Boosters with thirty basic lands and one foil Carnivorous Cultivator (FRA #437). Its exact TCGplayer printing and price are still unavailable, so the displayed value is an incomplete known-price subtotal. The missing promo is not valued at zero. Land artworks use the user-directed even split by type, with remainder copies assigned to the lowest collector numbers.

Game cards
157
Rows
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Product Structure

Play Boosters9 × 14 game cards
Basic landsModeled per finish as 10 default and 5 borderless tower lands, evenly allocated by type and artwork
PromoOne traditional foil Carnivorous Cultivator (FRA #437); exact printing and price unresolved

All 157 game-card positions belong to the complete product before Sift or pool filtering. Tokens, art cards, packaging, and accessories are not valued as singles.

Release-specific model analysis

What drives Reality Fracture Bundle

Product profile. This bundle resolves 157 card positions across 830 named outcomes. The model snapshot dated September 23, 2026 contains 248 Uncommon, 238 Rare, 170 Common, 102 Mythic Rare, 72 Basic Land. Its largest slot groups are 71 fra common foil, 71 fra common nonfoil, 66 fra echoU foil, 66 fra echoU nonfoil, 50 fra rare foil. Every listed outcome contributes to the published baseline unless the visitor applies a post-draw filter.

Largest modeled weights. Carnivorous Cultivator // Enroot (Default) #437 (1.00 expected per bundle), Forest (Default Basic Land) #289 (1.00 expected per bundle), Forest (Default Basic Land) #289 (1.00 expected per bundle), Forest (Default Basic Land) #290 (1.00 expected per bundle), Forest (Default Basic Land) #290 (1.00 expected per bundle). These are frequency leaders in the product model, not a promise that any individual opening will contain them.

Release-specific card examples. Academic Ascent #2, Aerid Konstrari (Sculptor's Stronghold) #347, Aerid Konstrari #121, Afterthought Sentry #166, Ajani Resolute (Borderless Echoed Pairs) #291, Ajani Resolute #195, Ajani Unrelenting (Borderless Echoed Pairs) #308, Ajani Unrelenting #242, Emrakul, the Exigent Doom #1. Seeing the named pool makes it possible to compare this release with adjacent sets instead of treating every sealed product as the same generic pack calculation.

Reference snapshot value concentration. At the TCGplayer Market snapshot dated September 23, 2026, 797 modeled outcomes have a usable direct or documented fallback price. The largest deterministic contributions come from Samut, Tyrant of Naktamun #220 ($4.43), Emrakul, the Exigent Doom #1 ($4.41), Hexhaven Invigorator #106 ($4.06), Plains (Tower Basic Land) #382 ($3.00), Island (Tower Basic Land) #385 ($3.00). Together those five rows account for 5.2% of the modeled gross value. This dated reference does not update with the live calculator's prices or Sift settings.

The baseline product model is constructed first, including any documented chase exclusions. The calculator then draws the complete baseline product. Included-pool controls and optional Sift evaluate that completed draw afterward and do not alter its collation.

Showing all cards
Modeled Bundle card rows, prices, fees, and expected products per copy.
NameSetCard #RarityTreatmentValueSeller feesProducts / copy
Total expected cards/bundle after toggles and Sift0.00
Expected / bundle0.00
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EV and Monte Carlo draw the full product first, then apply disabled pools and Sift. Disabled pools do not backfill.