Magic: The Gathering Foundations Beginner Box EV Calculator

Estimate the opened-card value of this Magic: The Gathering Foundations Beginner Box using daily card-price snapshots.

Model assumptions & evidence

The browser simulator draws the complete product contents first, then applies disabled pools and optional Sift filtering afterward. Disabled pools do not redraw or backfill outcomes.

10 themed half-decksIncludes 2 tutorial half-decks200 modeled card slots / beginner box
SnapshotTCG Market + $0.25 SiftBased on TCG Market pricing with Sift applied only after complete modeled contents are drawn.
Calculation settingsSift off

Selling Fees

Card-level fees use the selected seller model. Free-shipping order costs are added in the summary.

Value Threshold

Prices load from same-origin generated daily card-price snapshots.

EV Range (Monte Carlo)

Purchase EV

Included poolsChoose which modeled pools count toward EV.Model controls
Sift tints rows by price. EV uses Sift only when enabled, after the complete beginner box has been opened.

Sealed Price / EV

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Generated sealed product prices compared to the current break-even price per beginner box.
SourceProduct priceBreak-even price/beginner box (mid)P/EBasis

Simulation Results (after Sift)

Simulated outcome interval: -

Beginner Box EV

Per-product expected value summary.
MetricLowMidHigh
bundle EV (gross)$0.00$0.00$0.00
Total fees per bundle$0.00$0.00$0.00
Net after fees per bundle$0.00$0.00$0.00
Profit after fees per bundle$0.00$0.00$0.00
Break-even price/bundle (mid)$0.00

Purchase EV & Profit

Purchase expected value and profit after selected fees and costs.
All bundlesLowMidHigh
Gross EV$0.00$0.00$0.00
Total fees$0.00$0.00$0.00
Net after fees$0.00$0.00$0.00
Profit after expenses$0.00$0.00$0.00
ROI vs cost---
Bundles: 0 | Price/bundle: $0.00 | Total cost: $0.00

Content Snapshot

Magic: The Gathering Foundations Beginner Box Content Snapshot

The calculator resolves the complete generated product model before included-pool controls or optional Sift score the result.

Contents
10 themed half-decks
Product detail
2 tutorial half-decks
Product detail
200 modeled card slots / beginner box
Rows
Loading

Product Structure

This Magic: The Gathering Foundations Beginner Box is modeled from the complete product components listed below.

Modeled product10 themed half-decks
This component is drawn as part of the complete physical product before included-pool controls and optional Sift are applied.
Included component2 tutorial half-decks
This component is drawn as part of the complete physical product before included-pool controls and optional Sift are applied.
Included component200 modeled card slots / beginner box
This component is drawn as part of the complete physical product before included-pool controls and optional Sift are applied.

All modeled contents are drawn first. Included-pool controls and optional Sift are applied afterward and never redraw or backfill an excluded result.

Non-game inserts are not counted toward EV unless the generated model explicitly lists them.

Release-specific model analysis

What drives Magic: The Gathering Foundations Beginner Box

Product profile. This beginner box resolves 200 card positions across 124 named outcomes. The model snapshot dated September 3, 2026 contains 68 Common, 41 Uncommon, 10 Rare, 5 Basic Land. Its largest slot groups are 124 beginner. Every listed outcome contributes to the published baseline unless the visitor applies a post-draw filter.

Largest modeled weights. Forest (0280) (Basic Land) (15.0 expected per beginner box), Mountain (0278) (Basic Land) (15.0 expected per beginner box), Island (0274) (Basic Land) (14.0 expected per beginner box), Plains (0272) (Basic Land) (14.0 expected per beginner box), Swamp (0276) (Basic Land) (14.0 expected per beginner box). These are frequency leaders in the product model, not a promise that any individual opening will contain them.

Release-specific card examples. Adamant Will #488, Aggressive Mammoth #551, Ajani's Pridemate #135, Ancestor Dragon #489, Angelic Edict #490, Arcane Epiphany #29, Battle-Rattle Shaman #533, Bear Cub #552. Seeing the named pool makes it possible to compare this release with adjacent sets instead of treating every sealed product as the same generic pack calculation.

Reference snapshot value concentration. At the TCGplayer Market snapshot dated October 11, 2026, 124 modeled outcomes have a usable direct or documented fallback price. The largest deterministic contributions come from Death Baron #521 ($5.33), Plains (0272) (Basic Land) ($3.64), Mountain (0278) (Basic Land) ($3.00), Forest (0280) (Basic Land) ($2.70), Island (0274) (Basic Land) ($1.82). Together those five rows account for 34.5% of the modeled gross value. This dated reference does not update with the live calculator's prices or Sift settings.

The baseline product model is constructed first, including any documented chase exclusions. The calculator then draws the complete baseline product. Included-pool controls and optional Sift evaluate that completed draw afterward and do not alter its collation.

Showing all cards
Modeled Beginner Box card rows, prices, fees, and expected products per copy.
NameSetCard #RarityTreatmentValueSeller feesProducts / copy
Total expected cards/bundle after toggles and Sift0.00
Expected / beginner box0.00
Preparing...
EV and Monte Carlo draw the full product first, then apply disabled pools and Sift. Disabled pools do not backfill.