Duskmourn: House of Horror Nightmare Bundle EV Calculator

Estimate the expected value (EV) of a Nightmare Bundle using live TCGplayer market prices and the same slot-accurate pack models used for Duskmourn Play and Collector Booster pages.

This bundle combines fixed contents (foil full-art basics), weighted promo pools, and randomized Play/Collector booster openings in one model. Simulations always draw full pack and promo contents first, then apply optional Sift filtering afterward so EV follows true opening order.

Set theme: Duskmourn: House of Horror’s Nightmare Bundle is themed around haunted-house horror collectibles, pairing eerie showcase promos with both Play and Collector opening experiences.

Note: Japanese showcase rows default to 40% of the English price when no direct pricing is available.

6 Play Boosters 2 Collector Boosters 20 traditional foil full-art Manor basics (4× each) 1 of 3 borderless promos 1 of 3 movie poster promos Pricing: generated TCG, Mana Pool, and Cardmarket (TCGCSV from generated snapshots)

Included components ▶

Play Boosters (6 per bundle) Collector Boosters (2 per bundle) Foil Manor basics (4× each) Borderless bundle promos (1 of 3) Movie poster bundle promos (1 of 3)

Card pools mirror the dedicated Play and Collector EV pages. Bundle promos use the official DSC #368–370 borderless cards and DSC #371–373 movie posters. Sift thresholds are applied after random draws, matching pack behaviour.

Value & Sift

Price source for EV

Prices load from generated card-prices snapshots. TCG, Mana Pool, and Cardmarket choices use the same model rows; EV applies Sift only after bundle contents are drawn.

Sift threshold ($) Use Sift (≥ value) when computing EV

Sift is applied after each bundle component is drawn so Monte Carlo outputs mirror real pack behaviour.

Marketplace inputs

TCG seller type

Nightmare bundles

Buy-in per bundle ($)

TCGplayer orders

Adds $0.30/order processing to fee model. Leave 0 if you bake this into shipping fees.

Nightmare bundle EV

Per-bundle expected value interval from Monte Carlo simulation.
Low	$0.00
Mid	$0.00
High	$0.00

Monte Carlo, 95% central interval.

After fees (per bundle)

Per-bundle net value and profit after selected seller fees.
Net	$0.00
Profit vs buy-in	$0.00

Includes seller fees + $0.30/order when bundles > 0.

Totals for all bundles

Total purchase expected value, fees, net, profit, and ROI.
Metric	Low	Mid	High
Gross	$0.00	$0.00	$0.00
Fees	$0.00	$0.00	$0.00
Net	$0.00	$0.00	$0.00
Profit	$0.00	$0.00	$0.00
ROI	—	—	—

Total buy-in = 0 × $0.00 = $0.00.

Sealed Price / EV

Marketplace sealed product price compared to the current break-even price/product (mid).
Source	Product price	Break-even price/product (mid)	P/E	Basis
Mana Pool	—	—	—	Unavailable
TCGplayer	—	—	—	Unavailable
eBay	—	—	—	Unavailable
Amazon	—	—	—	Unavailable

Simulation Results (after Sift)

Confidence band: —

Each bar groups simulated bundle totals after cards are drawn, then Sift is applied to bundle hits. X-axis = bundle value, Y-axis = number of simulations in that range.

Sort rows by

Modeled card rows and expected copies per Nightmare Bundle.
Name	Set	#	Rarity	Treatment	Source	Value ($)	Fees ($)	Bundles / copy
Total (Expected / bundle) — active categories & Sift								0.00
Sanity total (Expected / bundle) — all modeled game cards (gap of 0 cards)								0.00

Sanity check totals (ignore Sift & toggles; includes guaranteed promos and lands)

Model source: data-static/magic/dsk/models/nightmare-bundle.json. Simulations draw the model's pack, fixed-land, and promo slots first, then apply Sift afterward.