Duskmourn: House of Horror Nightmare Bundle EV Calculator

Estimate the expected value (EV) of a Nightmare Bundle using daily generated TCGplayer price snapshots and the same slot-accurate pack models used for Duskmourn Play and Collector Booster pages.

This bundle combines fixed contents (foil full-art basics), weighted promo pools, and randomized Play/Collector booster openings in one model. Simulations always draw full pack and promo contents first, then apply optional Sift filtering afterward so EV follows true opening order.

Set theme: Duskmourn: House of Horror’s Nightmare Bundle is themed around haunted-house horror collectibles, pairing eerie showcase promos with both Play and Collector opening experiences.

Note: Japanese showcase rows default to 40% of the English price when no direct pricing is available.
6 Play Boosters 2 Collector Boosters 20 traditional foil full-art Manor basics (4× each) 1 of 3 borderless promos 1 of 3 movie poster promos Pricing: generated TCG, Mana Pool, and Cardmarket (TCGCSV from generated snapshots)
SnapshotTCG Market + $0.25 SiftBased on TCG Market pricing with Sift applied only after complete modeled contents are drawn.

Content Snapshot

Nightmare Bundle Content Snapshot

The simulation draws every Play Booster, Collector Booster, fixed land, and promo before component toggles or optional Sift score the result.

Boosters
8 / bundle
Fixed cards
22 / bundle
Product total
136 cards
Rows
Loading

Bundle Structure

The custom model combines two booster shells with guaranteed and weighted fixed contents.

Play Booster contents84 cards
Six complete fourteen-card Play Boosters.
Collector Booster contents30 cards
Two complete fifteen-card Collector Boosters.
Traditional foil Manor basics20 cards
Four copies of each of the five full-art Manor basic lands.
Borderless Nightmare promo1 of 3
One weighted DSC #368-370 borderless promo.
Movie poster promo1 of 3
One weighted DSC #371-373 movie poster promo.

Tokens, art inserts, and reference cards are excluded. Japanese showcase rows retain the model's documented 40% English-price proxy when direct pricing is unavailable.

Included componentsChoose which drawn product components count toward EV.Custom contents
Card pools mirror the dedicated Play and Collector EV pages. Bundle promos use the official DSC #368–370 borderless cards and DSC #371–373 movie posters. Sift thresholds are applied after random draws, matching pack behaviour.

Value & Sift

Prices load from generated card-prices snapshots. TCG, Mana Pool, and Cardmarket choices use the same model rows; EV applies Sift only after bundle contents are drawn.
Sift is applied after each bundle component is drawn so Monte Carlo outputs mirror real pack behaviour.

Marketplace inputs

Adds $0.30/order processing to fee model. Leave 0 if you bake this into shipping fees.

Nightmare bundle EV

Per-bundle expected value interval from Monte Carlo simulation.
MetricValue
Low$0.00
Mid$0.00
High$0.00
Monte Carlo, 95% central interval.

After fees (per bundle)

Per-bundle net value and profit after selected seller fees.
MetricValue
Net$0.00
Profit vs buy-in$0.00
Includes seller fees + $0.30/order when bundles > 0.

Totals for all bundles

Total purchase expected value, fees, net, profit, and ROI.
MetricLowMidHigh
Gross$0.00$0.00$0.00
Fees$0.00$0.00$0.00
Net$0.00$0.00$0.00
Profit$0.00$0.00$0.00
ROI———
Total buy-in = 0 × $0.00 = $0.00.

Simulation Results (after Sift)

Confidence band: —
Each bar groups simulated bundle totals after cards are drawn, then Sift is applied to bundle hits. X-axis = bundle value, Y-axis = number of simulations in that range.
Showing all cards
Modeled card rows and expected copies per Nightmare Bundle.
Name Set # Rarity Treatment Source Value ($) Fees ($) Bundles / copy
Total (Expected / bundle) — active categories & Sift0.00
Expected / bundle0.00