Duskmourn: House of Horror Nightmare Bundle EV Calculator
Estimate the expected value (EV) of a Nightmare Bundle using daily generated TCGplayer price snapshots and the same slot-accurate pack models used for Duskmourn Play and Collector Booster pages.
Model assumptions & evidence
This bundle combines fixed contents (foil full-art basics), weighted promo pools, and randomized Play/Collector booster openings in one model. Simulations always draw full pack and promo contents first, then apply optional Sift filtering afterward so EV follows true opening order.
Set theme: Duskmourn: House of Horror’s Nightmare Bundle is themed around haunted-house horror collectibles, pairing eerie showcase promos with both Play and Collector opening experiences.
Play Booster wildcard rarity weights, default-land art allocation, and equal promo selection are model assumptions. Kaito’s two Play Booster Fun mythic treatments share one card’s weight equally. Simulated ranges do not reproduce measured factory pack correlations.
Value & Sift
Marketplace inputs
Included componentsChoose which drawn product components count toward EV.Custom contents
Sealed Price / EV
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| Source | Product price | Break-even price/product (mid) | P/E | Basis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mana Pool | — | — | — | Unavailable |
| TCGplayer | — | — | — | Unavailable |
| eBay | — | — | — | Unavailable |
| Amazon | — | — | — | Unavailable |
Simulation Results (after Sift)
Nightmare bundle EV
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Low | $0.00 |
| Mid | $0.00 |
| High | $0.00 |
After fees (per bundle)
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Net | $0.00 |
| Profit vs buy-in | $0.00 |
Totals for all bundles
| Metric | Low | Mid | High |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gross | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Fees | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Net | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Profit | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| ROI | — | — | — |
Content Snapshot
Nightmare Bundle Content Snapshot
The simulation draws every Play Booster, Collector Booster, fixed land, and promo before component toggles or optional Sift score the result.
- Boosters
- 8 / bundle
- Fixed cards
- 22 / bundle
- Product total
- 136 cards
- Rows
- Loading
Bundle Structure
The custom model combines two booster shells with guaranteed and weighted fixed contents.
Play Booster contents84 cards
Collector Booster contents30 cards
Traditional foil Manor basics20 cards
Borderless Nightmare promo1 of 3
Movie poster promo1 of 3
Tokens, art inserts, and reference cards are excluded. Because the generated feed does not provide usable direct Japanese-language prices, every Japanese Showcase row intentionally uses 40% of its matching English-language price.
Release-specific model analysis
What drives Duskmourn: House of Horror Nightmare Bundle
Product profile. This nightmare bundle resolves 136 card positions across 1,122 named outcomes. The model snapshot dated October 11, 2026 contains 438 Rare, 224 Uncommon, 221 Mythic Rare, 168 Common, 65 Basic Land, 6 P. Its largest slot groups are 100 dsk uf, 92 dsk u, 91 dsk cf, 80 dsk rm f, 79 dsk c. Every listed outcome contributes to the published baseline unless the visitor applies a post-draw filter.
Largest modeled weights. Forest - Full Art (Full Art) #276 (4.00 expected per nightmare bundle), Island - Full Art (Full Art) #273 (4.00 expected per nightmare bundle), Mountain - Full Art (Full Art) #275 (4.00 expected per nightmare bundle), Plains - Full Art (Full Art) #272 (4.00 expected per nightmare bundle), Swamp - Full Art (Full Art) #274 (4.00 expected per nightmare bundle). These are frequency leaders in the product model, not a promise that any individual opening will contain them.
Release-specific card examples. Abandoned Campground #255, Abhorrent Oculus (Borderless) #344, Abhorrent Oculus (Mirror Monster) #344, Abhorrent Oculus #42, Acrobatic Cheerleader #1, Altanak, the Thrice-Called #166, Aminatou, Veil Piercer (Borderless) #1, Ancient Cellarspawn (Extended Art) #47, Kianne, Corrupted Memory (Borderless) #2. Seeing the named pool makes it possible to compare this release with adjacent sets instead of treating every sealed product as the same generic pack calculation.
Reference snapshot value concentration. At the TCGplayer Market snapshot dated September 3, 2026, 1122 modeled outcomes have a usable direct or documented fallback price. The largest deterministic contributions come from Archon of Cruelty (Movie Poster) #371 ($8.57), Swamp - Full Art (Full Art) #274 ($5.28), Crypt Ghast (Borderless) #368 ($4.70), Goryo's Vengeance (Movie Poster) #372 ($4.31), Living Death (Movie Poster) #373 ($3.91). Together those five rows account for 19.5% of the modeled gross value. This dated reference does not update with the live calculator's prices or Sift settings.
The baseline product model is constructed first, including any documented chase exclusions. The calculator then draws the complete baseline product. Included-pool controls and optional Sift evaluate that completed draw afterward and do not alter its collation.
| Name | Set | # | Rarity | Treatment | Source | Value ($) | Fees ($) | Bundles / copy |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total (Expected / bundle) — active categories & Sift | 0.00 | |||||||